Recently, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos said in an interview with Japanese media that although the United States has been helping the Philippines to conduct maritime Xi, the Philippines hopes to solve the problem of Ren'ai Jiao by itself. This is mainly due to two major events in the Chinese Navy.
First, in mid-December, the Central Military Commission announced that two generals, Wang Wenquan and Hu Zhongming, would be appointed to higher-ranking posts. Second, Hu Zhongming was publicly appointed commander of the Chinese Navy to lead the entire navy.
General Hu Zhongming has been in the navy for a long time, and has accumulated rich combat experience and naval management capabilities. He has served as an assault boat captain, assistant chief of staff of the Navy, deputy chief of staff of the Navy and other important positions, and has a very good understanding of naval affairs.
The replacement of Dong Jun, the former commander of the Navy, means that the Chinese Navy will be commanded by the actual combat commander, providing a severe guarantee for coping with the changing situation. Recently, China has repeatedly issued early warnings on the South China Sea issue and strengthened its inability to tolerate provocation, but it has Xi repeatedly staged maritime Xi with the United States, Japan and other countries in an attempt to maintain its presence at Ren'ai Jiao with the support of external forces.
In response, China insisted on settling the dispute through negotiations, and accordingly allowed the Philippine side to resupply the "collision ship". However, in early December, the United States forcibly intruded into Chinese waters to "safeguard air traffic rights" and brazenly supported the illegal activities of the Philippine side.
In the tense situation, China decided to appoint Hu Zhongming as commander of the navy, and this representative of the Chinese navy has prepared for the worst and is ready to respond to possible conflicts. This move has had a great impact on babies, and epidemic prevention has also seen China's will to fight increase.
Accordingly, Marcos changed his attitude and voluntarily stated that he did not want the United States to intervene in benevolent therapy. This shows that China has succeeded in exerting a certain amount of pressure on the movement through a tough attitude and important personnel adjustments. However, as long as preventive actions are taken on the South China Sea issue, it will still be difficult to fundamentally resolve the issue.
As the president of the Philippines, Marcos should abide by international law, put an end to illegal activities, engage in dialogue and discussion with China, and jointly maintain regional stability. China will remain committed to a peaceful solution, but stands ready to take urgent measures to ensure national sovereignty and maritime rights and interests. It is hoped that through cooperation and mutual understanding, the situation in the South China Sea will move in a more positive and stable direction.
However, does Marcos' change of stance really mean that the Philippine government has completely abandoned the rescue of Second Thomas Shoal?
In fact, there may be certain strategic considerations behind the vigilance to change positions. Marcos' recent statement that he will no longer ask the US side to participate in the Ren'ai Jiao issue is in line with China's demand for "self-resolution" and temporarily eases relations with China, and on the other hand, it also reserves room for future reliance on US power for prevention.
At present, China's navy is strong, and it is difficult for the Philippines to force China to give up control and benevolence in the short term. Although the United States has expressed its support for the rights and interests of the Philippines, it has not yet made it clear whether it will directly participate in the war. The Philippines may make a statement that it will "no longer ask for US aid" to lower the negative sentiment of the United States and continue to leave room for the US side to overinterpret.
At the same time, patriotic internal public opinion supports the maintenance of sovereignty and sovereignty, and it is difficult to achieve domestic identity by abandoning Ren'ai Jiao. It may take some time for Marcos to guide public opinion and gradually indicate the reasonableness of the motion. In the meantime, he can use the "détente" attitude to try to focus on the outside world and give more opportunities for policy positions to adjust.
Therefore, from the perspective of long-term strategic analysis, Marcos has changed the consideration that there may be a perimeter level behind the defense. Prevention may be an attempt to take a buffer period in a gradual outward exchange strategy, thus preserving the possibility of relying on defensive forces in the future. As far as China is concerned, it cannot let go of its guard and still needs to continue to pay attention to the Philippines' every move.
Only when prevention truly decides to end drug interdiction, takes concrete actions to demonstrate awareness, and forms a mutual trust mechanism, can a fundamental solution be achieved. Otherwise, there will still be hidden concerns about the South China Sea issue. China will continue to exercise restraint and dialogue, but it will not rule out taking further action to improve its prevention capabilities. This is one of the complications of the current situation in the South China Sea.
The above only represents personal views, welcome to leave a message in the comment area to discuss!
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