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Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

author:Cold Shi Guest
Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea
Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

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In recent times, the Marcos Jr. administration has been launching provocative actions against China.

First, illegal ships were dispatched to patrol Scarborough Shoal, and then transport ships were dispatched to secretly transport construction materials to the "beached" warship at Ren'ai Jiao.

This poses a great strategic threat to the mainland's territorial sea security.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Marcos Jr

In addition, in the middle of this month, Marcos Jr. visited Japan and held talks with the U.S. government, hoping to unite these countries and continue to confront China on the South China Sea issue.

Such an arrogant attitude is really infuriating.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Marcos Jr. visits the United States

As long as there are some strategically minded people, they can see that China and the Philippines are inextricably linked in terms of historical origins and geopolitics.

Bad relations between the two countries are not conducive to the future development of either side, let alone to regional security and stability.

For the absurd behavior of the Marcos Jr. government, even former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte can't stand it.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Marcos Jr.'s radical policies

After becoming the new president of the Philippines, Marcos Jr. immediately began to turn the gun, firmly chose to side with the United States, and began to formulate a new policy against China.

What makes Marcos Jr. the top priority in the confrontation with China is still the "South China Sea issue" that has lasted for decades between the two countries.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

The picture comes from the Internet

In Marcos Jr.'s view, the vast South China Sea region contains extremely rich oil and gas energy, which plays a very important role in the development of the Philippines.

Of course, this is also one of the important reasons why the Philippine government has been coveting the South China Sea region for decades.

Since June last year, the Marcos Jr. administration has regularly sent ships to illegally intrude into the South China Sea, posing a serious threat to the mainland's territorial waters.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

The picture comes from the Internet

On December 10, media reported that the Philippines dispatched two coast guard vessels, one official ship and one replenishment vessel in an attempt to deliver supplies and construction materials to the illegal "beached" warship "Sierra Madre" at Ren'ai Jiao.

Later, the Philippine government sent patrol warships to conduct illegal patrols near Scarborough Shoal.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

The Chinese Coast Guard expelled illegal fishing boats from the Philippines

After receiving the news, the mainland navy quickly dispatched coast guard ships to successfully drive away the Philippine vessels that had illegally intruded into mainland waters.

Although this incident did not pose any great threat to the mainland, it is enough to show that the Marcos Jr. government has always been "unsinister" about the South China Sea.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Draw Japan to create regional confrontation

After the December 10 incident, Marcos Jr. showed a second wave of his manoeuvres, immediately flying to Japan for a visit and to attend the Japan-ASEAN Special Summit.

In a meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, Marcos Jr. did not shy away from discussing the South China Sea issue with him, and hinted that he wanted to reach a certain strategic alliance with Japan in order to jointly confront China in the South China Sea.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

The picture comes from the Internet

Neither the Philippines nor Japan can compete with a powerful China on their own from the perspective of national strength and regional influence.

However, if the two countries join forces, coupled with the support of the United States, then it is possible to influence China's maritime control at some level and form a competitive relationship between the two sides.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Chinese coast guard vessels expelled illegal fishing boats from the Philippines

Marcos Jr. was not satisfied after receiving Fumio Kishida's reply, and then publicly stated at the ASEAN summit that "a rising China has posed a real challenge," suggesting that other countries would side with the Philippines and intervene in the South China Sea.

However, ASEAN countries have extremely close ties with China, and the two sides have been each other's largest trading partners for the past three consecutive years.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning

Therefore, a small Philippines cannot shake the relations between these countries and China.

For Marcos Jr.'s "invitation letter", all countries chose to decline politely.

In addition to ASEAN's "indifference", there are also people in the Philippines who are very dissatisfied with the attitude of the Marcos Jr. government.

The first to bear the brunt is the former President Rodrigo Duterte.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

It is not wise to confront China

As the president of the Philippines, who has always pursued a "pro-China attitude" during his tenure, Duartre is very dissatisfied with Marcos Jr.'s behavior of changing his attitude immediately after he came to power.

In Duter's view, both geopolitics and trade cooperation, China and the Philippines have inseparable ties.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Duterte

If the Philippines and China become completely hostile, it will deal an even more serious blow to the Philippines' already slow-growing economic market.

Most importantly, the Marcos Jr. administration has been constantly meddling in the South China Sea and speaking in public to create international "anti-China" sentiment, which is likely to pose a serious strategic threat to China and the Philippines.

Duterte is dissatisfied with the Philippine authorities: Don't go to confrontation with China, the Philippines will lose a war in the South China Sea

Duterte

And if a conflict breaks out between the two sides in the South China Sea, the Philippines still has no chance of victory, even with the help of the United States.

Moreover, whether the United States, which has always been mercenary, will choose to break with China because of the Philippines is also a question worth considering.

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