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On November 15-16, the G20 Summit will be held in Bali, Indonesia, which has attracted widespread attention. After US President Joe Biden confirmed his attendance, the outside world paid close attention to whether Chinese leaders would also attend, and the possible meeting between Chinese and US heads of state attracted much attention.
Since the second half of this year, China and the United States have deepened their distrust over the Taiwan issue and US chip export controls, and competition and contradictions have escalated. At the same time, people of insight in politics and business are working hard to break down the physical barriers since the new crown epidemic and open a new window for exchanges between the two countries.
This summer, a group of senior U.S. political and business leaders with extensive China experience called for cautious and frank exchanges between the two governments. They published an article in the Wall Street Journal titled "We want to rebuild U.S.-China relations." One of the founding members of the group was Max Baucus, former U.S. ambassador to China.
Mr. Baucus, 81, is considered a moderate in the Democratic Party and served as a U.S. senator for 35 years as ambassador to China during the Obama administration. He has visited China eight times and supported China's accession to the World Trade Organization and granted China most-favored-nation trade status.
In an online interview with Phoenix Weekly on the eve of the November 8 midterm elections, Baucus predicted the future policy direction of the Biden administration and offered reflections and suggestions on the current state of the U.S.-China relationship, stressing that "the United States and China need to realize that there is no point in cooperating with each other and pointing fingers at each other." ”
Baucus spoke about the possible impact of the midterm elections, arguing that if the House is controlled by Republicans, it will increase the Biden administration's difficulty in passing an agenda in Congress. He noted that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives could block some agendas from advancing while reducing Congress' spending budget. If both the Senate and House of Representatives fall into the hands of Republicans, it will trigger more political confrontation and cause greater uncertainty about the political ecology of the United States.
For the next two years, Baucus believes that the Biden administration will still focus on domestic issues, especially economic issues. He stressed the importance of inflation, supply chain issues and jobs, and said the Biden administration needs to address these issues, whether running for re-election or not, because economic issues are of primary concern to the American people. At the same time, he believes that China's leaders also need to focus on domestic economic issues in the new term.
Baucus also cited the Republican Party's advantage on economic issues, noting that this is partly due to the Biden administration's huge spending on the coronavirus pandemic, which has exacerbated inflation problems. He believes Republicans are likely to reduce spending in Congress, which will add complexity to the domestic political game.
Regarding U.S.-China relations, Baucus acknowledged that the current atmosphere is more like a "new Cold War," especially in the ideological, military, and technological spheres of increased competition. However, he also pointed to some positive signs, such as the phone call between the Chinese and US foreign ministers to discuss the G20 summit, as well as some opportunities for people-to-people exchanges, indicating that the two sides may open some small windows for cooperation. He called for the need for both sides to build trust, recognize the importance of cooperation, and said there was no point in pointing fingers at each other.
When it comes to climate change, Baucus believes that separate issues are key and that unrelated issues should not be bundled together. He stressed that the two sides should continue to cooperate on climate issues without interference from other disputes.
Finally, Baucus emphasized the importance of direct communication between the two peoples, arguing that while social media is helpful, human communication is the more powerful way. He cited success stories, such as the U.S.-China Cooperation Agreement on Audit Regulation, as well as a number of visits and exchange opportunities, showing that it is still possible to improve bilateral relations as long as both sides are willing to work hard. Ultimately, he stressed the importance of building trust as a cornerstone of bilateral relations.
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