The U.S. government's recent ban on Huawei from acquiring chips has failed to generate as much repercussions as sanctions on Huawei in the past. Analyzing the reasons, first, China has become accustomed to US technology sanctions; Second, the actual effect of this sanction is limited; Third, the game between China and the United States has entered a period of relaxation.
China has become accustomed to U.S. technology sanctions
In 2018, the United States began to crack down on Huawei, which caused an uproar in China at the time. The stock market fell in response, and public opinion was in an uproar. But after multiple sanctions, China has grown accustomed to the U.S. technology blockade. This time, the United States banned the export of chips, and the reaction was obviously much calmer.
The Chinese public and business community have long been aware of the fierce competition between China and the United States in technology, and the United States will continue to use means to suppress Chinese companies. This has become the new normal. After getting used to it, Chinese companies and people learn to face external pressure, instead of panicking. At the same time, frequent sanctions have also made China recognize the reality, accelerate independent research and development, and reduce its dependence on American technology. It can be said that the US sanctions have instead promoted China's scientific and technological progress.
The actual effect of this sanction is limited
This time, the United States intends to crack down on Huawei's laptop business. However, experts believe that the effect of this sanction is limited. The reason is that laptops are mainly using 10nm process chips at this stage, while the most advanced 5nm chips are first used in mobile phones. Huawei's mobile phone business has long been self-controlled, and it is fully capable of producing 10nm chips for notebooks.
What's more, the global notebook market is shrinking, and this "cake" is getting smaller and smaller. Huawei is only a small part. This move by the United States may cause Huawei to lose orders for notebook chips, but the impact will be limited after all. On the contrary, it may cause American chipmakers to lose Huawei, a major customer.
The game between China and the United States has entered a period of relaxation
At present, there are signs of easing in Sino-US relations. High-level talks between China and the United States have begun, and both sides are aware of the need to manage differences and prevent conflicts from spiraling out of control. This is different from the fierce confrontation between China and the United States in the past year or two.
Against this background, the United States has no intention of starting a new round of science and technology cold war against China. It also understands that the sanctions have had limited effectiveness. Therefore, the United States has taken a relatively low-key move this time, and China's response has been relatively calm. It is expected that there will be no major confrontation between China and the United States in the field of science and technology in the short term.
The reason for the calm response to the US sanctions is due to various reasons such as China has become accustomed to technology sanctions, the effect of sanctions is limited, and China and the United States have entered a period of relaxation. This marks a new stage in the Sino-US technology game. China should remain rational and calm in its response, and continue to promote self-reliance and self-reliance in science and technology.
First, we should further accelerate independent innovation in science and technology. If China wants to break its dependence on external technology, the key is to rely on independent innovation. It is necessary to increase investment in research and development, focus on breakthroughs in core technologies in high-tech fields such as chips and artificial intelligence, and ensure self-sufficiency in important fields. At the same time, it is necessary to pay attention to introducing, digesting, and absorbing advanced foreign technology and localizing it.
Second, we should be cautious about China-US cooperation in science and technology. At present, there is a relaxation in Sino-US relations, but there is still scientific and technological competition in the medium and long term. China needs to clarify which technologies can be exchanged with the United States and which fall within the scope of national security. We should not rely too much on the United States for key technologies related to national security.
Third, we need to strengthen the system of scientific and technological security. It is necessary to establish a scientific and technological security review system and conduct a prudent assessment of foreign investment related to national security. At the same time, strengthen the protection of core technologies to prevent the leakage of key technologies. We will further improve the system of laws and regulations on scientific and technological security to ensure national scientific and technological security.
Fourth, cultivate awareness of scientific and technological security. The broad masses of scientific and technological workers should establish a sense of self-reliance and self-improvement in scientific and technological security. We must not underestimate the impact of the technological blockade, and we must maintain a sober understanding of the importance of technological security. At the same time, the enthusiasm for open cooperation in science and technology should not be affected by the external environment.
Fifth, we need to seek the understanding and support of the international community. China should actively publicize its peaceful stance on scientific and technological development to the world and promote the understanding and support of all countries for China's scientific and technological development. At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen scientific and technological exchanges and cooperation with the vast number of developing countries to create favorable conditions for common development.
The current situation of the Sino-US science and technology game is complex and changeable. China needs to face up to the challenges and take them in stride. Through independent innovation and other measures, China's scientific and technological strength will continue to increase, and finally realize the self-reliance and self-improvement of key core technologies, and effectively ensure the national scientific and technological security.
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