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Article: Five hundred articles in the world
Editor: Five hundred articles from the world
First, I would like to point out that there are some risks associated with such a hypothetical discussion.
However, from an economic and fiscal point of view, the Sino-American war is indeed a topic that needs to be taken seriously.
Defense Minister Li Shangfu mentioned that if a war between China and the United States would be "a disaster that the world cannot bear", then what does this mean? The global industrial chain is torn apartFirst of all, when the Sino-US war breaks out, the global industrial chain will collapse in an instant.
As we all know, the global economy is like a big web, interdependent among countries.
Chinese-made electronics rely on high-end chips made in the United States; At the same time, U.S. agriculture is also dependent on Chinese market demand to drive its growth.
Once the supply chain is broken, it will not only affect the two main stakeholders in China and the United States, but also affect all other countries and regions.
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For example, if the United States decides to block semiconductors that exit at noon, many Chinese electronics manufacturers may face shutdowns and stagnation.
Similarly, rural areas and retail businesses in the United States are more likely to be hit hard.
The "first island chain" region is caught in the flames of war, and secondly, the geopolitical landscape will be damaged, especially in the "first island chain" region.
Imagine if the Taiwan Strait issue leads to a war between China and the United States, how will countries located in the region such as Japan and South Korea be affected. Both countries have military bases where the US military has built infrastructure and stationed soldiers, and they may also become direct targets.
Not to mention entities in fragile states like the Philippines and even Taiwan, which could also face devastating blows.
Perhaps the most serious consequence of starting World War III is that this scenario can easily lead to World War III.
Today, there is no mechanism in the international community that can prevent the outbreak of confrontation between the two major global powers.
Observing the Russia-Ukraine crisis, even at this level, the international community has not been able to implement or design effective intervention programs; Not to mention that the conversion of Sino-American semiconductors and agriculture is a new scale! Hypothetical Assumptions are that, in the worst-case scenario, a regional local war could expand into a full-scale war, and the use of nuclear weapons becomes an almost inevitable option.
If so, we will face consequences that go beyond the devastating consequences of the Second World War.
How to prevent war between China and the United States? So what can we do to prevent this from happening? First, multilateralism and international cooperation are essential.
Although there are problems in various international organizations such as the WTO, WHO, and the United Nations, they have become the most effective mechanism for safeguarding peace and ideas and defusing tensions.
Second, military means cannot be considered the preferred option in solving problems.
Because of its high cost, it is both economic and includes human life and global stability.
Finally, peaceful and diplomatic approaches are certainly wise to address differences.
Issues such as the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea need to be resolved through dialogue and negotiation within a peaceful framework.
To sum up, Minister of National Defense Li Shangfu said that an outbreak between China and the United States during a war would be "a disaster that the whole world cannot bear," and this is not only a military issue, but also has a bearing on the global economy, politics, and even human civilization.
Therefore, both China and the United States and other countries around the world should attach great importance to this issue and take all possible means to prevent and avoid such catastrophic consequences.
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