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On the international stage, a high-profile news story sparked widespread speculation and discussion. China has come up with a peace initiative that some Russian generals see as a potential sign of support. However, is that really the case? We will delve into this issue in this article, along with an analysis of the motivations and details behind the incident.
From the Russian side, they may have a glimmer of hope. There are reports that some Russian generals believe that China's proposed peace plan leaves some room for manoeuvre, hinting at possible support for Russia in the future. However, is this interpretation completely accurate?
A head from the Center for Far Eastern Studies in St. Petersburg, Kirill Kotkov, made an unusual point in an interview. He believes that China's peace plan is not as simple as it seems, and there may be more subtext. First, he noted that China has shown loyalty to Russia, but that loyalty may be limited to China itself, not other countries. Second, if the United States and Ukraine do not accept the plan, China has the opportunity to openly support Russia on the international stage, thereby changing the geopolitical landscape.
However, does this interpretation hold up? Kotkov believes that although China has proposed a 12-point peace plan, it has not yet changed the actual course of the Ukrainian battlefield. However, this does not mean that China will immediately support Russia. In fact, if the United States rejects the peace plan, then Ukraine and Russia may continue the military conflict, while China maintains its neutrality.
China's foreign policy has always been centered on respecting the sovereignty of all countries. This is also China's position in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and it is also China's consistent diplomatic tradition. Although this statement is relatively euphemistic, it clearly expresses China's position in support of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of all countries, including Ukraine. That is one of the reasons why Ukraine welcomes the Chinese proposal.
Recently, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with his Ukrainian counterpart and mentioned the phrase "China-Ukraine is a strategic partnership", a term that the two countries have not mentioned for some time. The statement appears to be aimed at improving Sino-Ukrainian relations, especially on the first anniversary of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
All parties generally appreciate China's peace plan. The Russian Foreign Ministry expressed its appreciation, although it considered that the time was not ripe. Ukraine, for its part, welcomed China's support and expressed its willingness to engage in dialogue with China.
However, an important point was made by the former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Romanenko, who considered China's peace plan acceptable, but needed to include provisions regarding the complete withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine as soon as possible. This underscores Ukraine's core goal of recovering territory and achieving Russia's demilitarization and denuclearization. However, if China makes this request, it will not be fundamentally different from the position of the US and European countries, which may affect China's position in mediating conflicts.
Nevertheless, Ukraine does not seem to be in desperate need of China's support at the moment, as the United States and Europe have already provided a lot of assistance. Ukraine has become an arsenal of the United States and Europe, sitting on the threshold of Russia and confronting Russia. Russia, by contrast, is in a different situation and desperately needs external assistance. This also explains why Ukraine prefers China to remain neutral.
In general, the jury is still out on whether China will support Russia, but in the current situation, Ukraine seems to prefer that China remain neutral. After all, in the current international context, it is wise to proceed cautiously. It would be safer for the authorities to wait for the conflict situation to become clear before making a final decision. In any case, this issue will continue to arouse widespread attention and discussion in the international community.
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