The Americans knew about Wagner's insurgency plan two weeks in advance, and the intelligence superiority of the United States was indeed unique, perhaps more powerful than the dollar and the US military. We have to be careful.
In the past three hundred years, Russia has had 21 changes of regime, of which 11 have been abnormal, more than 50%. With 25 percent of the tsars or leaders killed in the process, the Kremlin seat has historically been dangerous. Be careful not to turn the boat over.
The Americans were informed in advance
Wagner's story is really eating melons and eating condensed history. On the morning of the 24th, I felt that it was Wu Sangui switch, merging with Ukraine; At noon, it felt like the Battle of Jingjian, playing the side slogan of the Qing monarch who punished Shoigu; In the afternoon, I felt that it was a chaos in Anshi and released words to change the president; At night, it became the Xi'an Incident, and the army advised; On the morning of the 25th, it became a change in Ma Huangpo, and the Wagner Group, which was infinitely loyal to the emperor, gave advice to the emperor in desperation, and Shoigu still became the Russian Yang Guozhong ...
Wagner's one-day armed spring outing surprised many people. How many vloggers have prepared various video and audio materials of the Russian Civil War, recorded clips overnight, and even prepared Russian-style bloody background music, just waiting for Wagner to enter Moscow and send traffic grabs; How many big Vs ridiculed and filled up, and the jokes of the general construction of Jin Lianggong were ready to go. As a result, Wagner scattered and returned on the outskirts of the city, leaving these people in vain.
Compared with the excessive excitement of the big V commentators in China, the reaction of Americans is very calm. It stands to reason that Wagner announced that he would go north to northern Moscow "Qinwang", the Russian army will definitely return to defense and rescue, there will definitely be many loopholes and chaos on the eastern defense line of Wudong, according to common sense, no fashion and three foot waves, nothing can also create some rumors out of the United States, really big things happen, but do not act, it is really a little weird.
The Wall Street Post reported that the White House strictly ordered embassies around the world not to comment on the Wagner incident, and strictly ordered allies not to choose sides in the Wagner incident, compared to Biden's practice of running trains all day long, this calm is a little scary
There are even rumors that the CIA and the Pentagon ordered 20,000 pizzas, eating melons like crazy but never mixed.
This is strange no matter how you look at it. Sure enough, a day later, the Washington Post published a report in which a number of senior US officials revealed that the US intelligence agencies had learned of Wagner's insurgency plan in mid-June, and assessed that Wagner's actions might lead to the instability of the Great Killer, quickly notified the White House and made relevant plans.
The New York Times and other newspapers were arranged in more detail. On June 20, before the outbreak of the rebellion, a number of US intelligence agencies had collected a number of accurate pieces of information that Wagner was about to "start up", completed the intelligence summary and judgment on June 21, determined the time of Wagner's "King Qin", and gave an emergency briefing to the White House on June 22. A day later, Wagner really got his hands on it.
Such a super intelligence work makes Biden, who has never been very bright, judge Wagner's time very accurately, and there is no joy and sorrow that all domestic big Vs are extremely excited and fall to the bottom. More importantly, based on this intelligence, the White House judged that the garrison of the Russian army at the front will not be relaxed, and asked Zelensky not to act rashly.
Zelensky listened to the Americans and waited for a day, and the next day he could not contain his excitement and began a local attack, and sure enough, he kicked into the iron wall
This Wagner incident once again shows the strength of the United States' intelligence power and the great superiority of the dark line.
"Intelligence Army"
If the United States is a commercial nation, then the US military is an intelligence army.
Since the North American militia meeting, the US military has defeated the enemy through intelligence superiority. The famous Lexington gunfire is the victory of intelligence.
Eight hundred British troops prepared to raid the North American militia, and the Levier Nocturnal Incident occurred. At that time, the wife of Gage, the commander-in-chief of the British army in North America, was an informant of the North American militia, and she learned of the attack plan in advance, and secretly reported to Leveer. Revere's Pegasus summoned the message in the middle of the night, not only diverting the militia's arsenal and emptying the British army, but also quickly mobilizing the militia from many surrounding towns to gather in advance and set up ambushes. Through a surprise attack, killing more than 200 British troops, relying on intelligence superiority, the first shot of the American Civil War was completely victorious.
Since then, the United States has attached great importance to intelligence work. The U.S. Navy's most famous Midway battle in World War II and the Army's most famous landing in Normandy all relied on the advantage of intelligence operations to gain a head start. (The reason why there is no US Air Force is not that the US Air Force does not attach importance to intelligence, but that the US Air Force was only established in 1947 after World War II and was previously part of the Army.)
The famous faintler broke the telegram. The United States relied on science and technology to decipher the Japanese military telegraph code, in order to complete the deciphering and verification accuracy, sent a clear code telegram saying that the seawater desalination was broken, and the news appeared in the intercepted Japanese military cipher telegram, thereby deciphering and verifying the Japanese military code system. With this decipherment, the Battle of Midway became a one-way transparent battlefield for the US military, helping the Pacific Fleet reverse its victory
The Navy will fight intelligence warfare, and the Army is not bad. The biggest intelligence deception war of World War II was conducted by the Army. Before the Normandy landing, the US army set up a fake "First Army Group" opposite Calais Beach, let Patton take the lead, with 300 officers every day to create the illusion of various telephone and telegram intensity, and also engaged in a lot of inflatable tank cannons to confuse German reconnaissance aircraft, successfully deceived the main German forces to the Calais coast, causing an empty defense of Normandy and ensuring the victory of the landing battle
In addition to the US military's victory in the war by means of intelligence warfare, the Americans also pulled many younger brothers through intelligence sharing.
When the Yom Kippur War broke out in 1973, Israel was almost wiped out by the assault of Egypt and Syria. With the air force and tanks depleted, Israel abandoned its usual air-ground coordination and led light infantry with Sharon to make a decisive assault on the Egyptian line in the Sinai Peninsula. The light infantry assault on armored positions was a gamble with no chance of victory, but thanks to the intelligence of American high-altitude reconnaissance, Sharon successfully found the seam between the Egyptian Second Army and the Third Army on the north of the Great Bitter Lake, and carried out a surprise attack here, achieving major results, splitting the Egyptian army in two, reversing Israel's unfavorable form, and Israel turned the corner.
In the Falklands War, it was also American intelligence that ensured the victory of the British. In April 1982, the US SR-71 "Blackbird" hypersonic strategic reconnaissance plane flew directly to the Falklands Islands, including Argentine troops, ship deployment and other reconnaissance photos were all supplied to the British army, according to the investigation report later released by the Washington Post, the CIA fully eavesdropped on the encrypted communications of the Argentine Navy during the Falklands War, and provided all this information to Britain. These gave the British army insight into the fact that the Falklands Army was weakly defended and made up its mind to land on the ground.
Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has grown its intelligence superiority. Before the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Americans obtained a detailed plan for the Russian army's offensive more than a month in advance.
If it weren't for the fact that the Europeans were too stupid to believe the intelligence of the Americans, the Russian army might not have been able to achieve such a huge result at the beginning of the war.
The intelligence and penetration of the Americans may be more terrible than the power of the dollar and nuclear weapons. And what is even more frightening is that the other party sharpens the knife, but we are still "cosmopolitan". For example, the recent news that Fudan University published "Chinese-specific genome" in foreign journals is a manifestation of this paralysis. (See above: Inner thief and outer ghost, Fudan who announced Chinese specific genes, and Pfizer, which recruited pure-blooded Chinese to test drugs)
Aftertaste · Wagner's idea
After Wagner's one-day armed spring outing, many explanations gradually emerged as to why Prigogin resigned at the last moment.
Here is Turkey's Esultan defection.
Prigogin originally thought that Turkey would confront Putin, so he transferred his wife and daughter to Turkey. After the coup, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko ran to Turkey to persuade Erdogan to hand over Prigogin's wife and daughter. Then take the news to negotiate with Prigogin, and finally force the cook to submit." This statement is a good explanation for why Lukashenko would act as a mediator to negotiate with Prigogin.
A circumstantial evidence is that Erdogan is the only foreign head of state to speak with Putin on the phone during the coup. According to TASS, Erdogan reiterated his absolute support for Putin on the phone
There is also a borrowing way that wins numbness:
"Wagner is a fake mutiny, a real troop. Through mediation, Wagner naturally transferred from Wudong to Belarus, and 200 kilometers from Kiev, the strongest 30,000 people of the Russian army suddenly appeared, which is Putin's voice from the east to the west."
This statement is also a bit outrageous, in order to transfer troops to make such a coup drama, consuming their own political capital, it is really a bit too costly, and if the fake drama is really done, it will be too much to lose. Combined with the fact that Putin later sent a special envoy to report the situation, this is certainly not something planned in advance.
Of course, the most unreliable, Wagner defrauded the CIA of $6.2 billion in "defection bounty", and immediately stopped after getting the money. Of course, this is pure banter...
More hilarious claims include Putin's bribery of Prigogin (British Post) and making way for the Shenzhen Entrance Examination (pure jokes). There are many theories.
Of course, we also have masters who guessed a day trip here, after all, the Shenzhen Middle School Entrance Examination cannot be affected (laughs)
What is the actual situation, it may be difficult for us ordinary people to know, maybe in a few years, the end of the war in Ukraine, the declassification of relevant materials, we may really spy on the mystery.
But Russian politics has always been unstable, and the Kremlin stool has always been pointed, and there have been 11 coups in the past three hundred years, an average of one in 28 years. There were 21 regime changes, 11 of which were abnormal changes (coups), accounting for more than 50%. 21 "tsars" or leaders, 5 killed, a mortality rate of 25%, surpassing the presidential shredder South Korea.
What has already happened is bound to happen again, and historically, Putin's seat is quite dangerous. Hopefully, he will steer carefully and not turn the boat over. A stable Russia is not only a top priority for the Russian people, but also for us.