In the ATP singles ranking released yesterday, Djokovic is once again at the top of the table with 8340 points, followed by Medvedev with 8230 points, and the gap between the two is only 110 points.
On March 7, Medvedev topped the world for the first time. Three weeks later, Djokovic regained the world number one throne. However, the points of the two are very tight, and the owner of the world's first throne may change at any time.
Ahead of this year's French Open, Djokovic will be deducted 1190 points. Among them: 90 points from last year's semi-finals in Belgrade were deducted on April 25, 500 points from the previous year's Madrid Masters champion were deducted on May 9 (the previous year's championship points were discounted), and on May 16, 600 points were deducted from last year's Final of the Masters in Rome.
Because of the hernia surgery, Medvedev will withdraw from all previous matches before the French Open, so it is unlikely that the points will rise during this period. Before the French Open, he was deducted 250 points. Among them: 150 points from Barcelona's final in the previous year were deducted on April 25, 90 points from last year's Madrid Masters R16 round were deducted on May 9, and 10 points from last year's R32 round of the Rome Masters were deducted on May 16.
The French Open will kick off on May 22, after the ATP will update its standings four times. Considering the points and time deducted by Djokovic and Medvedev, the situation of the two competing for world number one will be more complicated.
According to calculations, if Djokovic wants to maintain the world number one throne before the French Open, he must win at least 850 points in Belgrade, Madrid and Roma, and he must do any of the following three conditions:
1. Win in Madrid or Rome;
2. In Madrid and Rome, one stop reaches the final and the other reaches the semi-final;
3. Win the title in Belgrade and reach the final in Madrid or Rome.
Currently, Zverev is third with 7465 points, is it possible for him to surpass Djokovic?
The answer is possible, but unlikely. Zverev will need to win at least 915 more points than Djokovic in three races in Munich, Madrid and Rome. Now, if Djokovic does not withdraw from all the previous matches of the French Open, Zverev will almost never achieve this goal.
So, can Zverev surpass Medvedev?
The answer is still possible. To achieve this, Zverev would have to win at least 1,745 points in three races in Munich, Madrid and Rome. For example, he won one title and one runner-up in the two Masters tournaments in Madrid and Rome, and reached the final in Munich.
The next question is, what is the situation with Nadal?
Nadal currently has 6,935 points, ranking fourth in the world. He had a broken rib during the Indian Wells tournament and is expected to make his comeback at the Rome Masters as early as possible. On the whole, Nadal could not surpass Medvedev before the French Open in any way, nor could he surpass Djokovic and Zverev.
Beijing time last night, Nadal posted on social media that today is the first time in 4 weeks to step on the pitch to train, the whole feeling is a bit unreal. Here's a picture of Nadal's training taken yesterday.
The day before yesterday, Tsitsipas successfully defended his title at the Monte Carlo Masters. He ranks fifth in the world with 5980 points, and is deducted 1155 points before the French Open. Among them: 300 points for last year's Barcelona runner-up on April 25, 125 points for Estoril's runner-up on May 2, 300 points for the previous year's Madrid Masters runner-up on May 9, 180 points for last year's Quarter-Finals of the Rome Masters on May 16, and 250 points for last year's Lyon champion on May 23.
Before this year's French Open, Tsitsipas would have been unlikely to surpass Medvedev, or Djokovic, in any case, but he could theoretically surpass Zverev and Nadal.
To surpass Zverev, Tsitsipas would need to win at least 1,125 more points than the other side in the three races in Munich, Madrid and Roma, but this is very difficult.
To overtake Nadal, Tsitsipas needs to win at least 140 more points than the other side in the three races of Munich, Madrid and Roma, which is less difficult than surpassing Zverev.
Overall, I think before this year's French Open, Djokovic is likely to lose the world number one throne, while Medvedev may "lie back" to the world number one. In addition, Zverev's third position in the world is the most secure, while the world's fourth place will probably be Tsitsipas, and Nadal may fall to the fifth place in the world. (Source: Tennis House Author: Yun Cirrus Yunshu)