At the end of a match, you usually only know that you won or lost a game in a few-to-few ways (say, 6-3 or 5-7), but few people have carefully calculated how many points you scored with your opponent.
Why is that?
The reason is simple. The basis for the determination of the outcome of a tennis match is not the sum of all the points, but the first calculation of how many rounds have been won, the number of authorities has accumulated to a certain extent to determine who has won a set, and finally the final victory or defeat is determined according to the format of two wins in three sets or three wins in five sets.
From the point of view of the scoring process, the attribution of the score of each ball is the lowest and most basic factor that determines the outcome of the game. Therefore, figuring out the total score ratio between yourself and your opponent obviously helps to summarize and analyze the game more accurately.
After each professional match, the TV screen gives technical statistics. Usually, the first row is the number of Ace balls, and the last row is the total score. Below is a graph of technical statistics for the Monte Carlo final that ended last night.
So, has anyone analyzed the relationship between game wins and losses and total scores? Or how many more points do you have to win the game than your opponent in terms of total score attribution?
Someone really did this research.
Recently, a foreign research institute conducted a statistical analysis of the total scores of more than 1,000 men's and women's professional tennis matches since last year, and the final conclusion was that you can win the final victory by winning 8% more points than your opponent.
In the more than 1,000 games mentioned above, more than 156,000 points were generated. The researchers divided these scores into two categories: winners and opponent errors.
Calculations showed that the winners won a total of 54% of the total score, while the loser won 46% of the total score, with a difference of 8%. In men's and women's competitions, the scoring gap between the two sides is just equal.
Further analysis found that in men's matches, 8% consisted of two parts: 3% more wins than opponents and 5% fewer turnovers than opponents. The 8% composition of the women's competition is: 2% more wins than the opponent, and 6% fewer turnovers than the opponent.
As we all know, there are obvious differences between men's professional competitions and women's professional competitions, the most important of which is in terms of confrontation intensity. The above findings show that the key to winning the men's game is to play more winning points than the opponent, while the key to winning the women's game is to make fewer mistakes than the opponent.
Compared with men's professional competitions, amateur tennis players' matches are closer to women's professional competitions. The above research conclusions also confirm our speculation that the key to winning amateur games is to control mistakes, as long as you have fewer mistakes than your opponents, your chances of winning will be greatly increased.
Based on this, the researchers' final conclusion is that instead of pursuing more winning points, it is better to force or induce your opponent to make more mistakes. In order to achieve the above goals, they also gave the following six suggestions.
First, maintain stability. Stability is the primary goal of amateur tennis fans, and you have to set the goal of playing one more shot than your opponent.
Second, reasonably choose the return line. On the basis of stability, you should try to mobilize your opponents to run. Since stability comes first, under normal circumstances you should change the line when the conditions are ripe, rather than risking the line change when the conditions are not ripe.
Third, ensure the depth of the return ball. In amateur games, as long as you return the ball to the opponent's bottom line, it is difficult for him to launch an effective attack. My experience is that your return ball is in the area between the opponent's serve line and the bottom line, or try to make the opponent stand behind the bottom line to hit the ball.
Fourth, control the bounce height of the return ball. Balls with bounce heights above the knee and below the shoulder are the best to hit, so your goal should be to bounce back the ball either above the opponent's shoulder or below the opponent's knee.
Fifth, use the up and down spins. If you can play the ball with a bounce height above the opponent's shoulder, or if the chipping ball is bouncing below the opponent's knee, you will take the initiative on the field. On this basis, by constantly changing the combination of up and down spins, your chances of scoring will be greatly improved.
Sixth, compress the reaction time of the opponent. Many people increase the speed of the ball by speeding up the swing speed, thereby compressing the reaction time of the opponent. However, speeding up the swing will make your mistakes geometrically higher, so we may as well move into position early and play early, which can also compress the reaction time of the opponent. (Source: Tennis House Author: Yun Cirrus Yunshu)