Who will fall in the Ukraine crisis?
Takashi Hashimoto
The author's circle of friends is mixed, and people from all walks of life have it, including firm "beauty powder" and firm "Russian powder". In the first few days of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, President Biden and the European Union issued more than 10 sanctions in a row, so "US fans" believed that Russia could not eat danger, but after a week, President Putin still sat firmly in the position of president, and "Russian fans" began to think that President Biden was "poor in donkey skills". The author once wrote a column "Who bears the responsibility for the tragedy of Ukraine" and mentioned that no matter what the outcome, the biggest victim is Ukraine, and Russia and the United States must bear the responsibility, not only the responsibility of those who started the conflict, but also the moral responsibility of the person who provoked the conflict.
The Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union was divided into two major camps, the Western camp led by the United States, and the Eastern camp headed by the Soviet Union. Because of the support of China, which pinned down a large amount of soviet power, and eventually the United States won the Cold War, the United States was able to win not only by its own strength, or the strength of its own camp. Today, the Japanese media said that key figures in the United States and China will talk in Rome, and the author left a message: Sullivan really regards himself as an onion, and his own country is still sanctioning another country, but he requires the sanctioned country to obey his own command and not give a sweet date, which is too whimsical.
In order to alleviate domestic contradictions and for the sake of the midterm elections, President Biden believes that only a partial Cold War can save the United States, and only a partial Cold War can save his vote. The author once again studied the history of ancient Europe and found that the history after the Roman Empire was the history of the antagonism between the East and the West, and the continuation of the opposition between the two major political systems of Eastern Rome and Western Rome. The Orthodox states that inherited the mantle of The Eastern Romans, namely Imperial Russia, Greece, Ukraine, Romania, and Serbia. The Western Roman Empire experienced a long dark age after the demise of the invaded barbarians, until the emergence of Martin Luther's Protestantism, the Christian state became the successor of the Western Roman Empire, and the United States in the New World also belonged to this source.
According to Japanese studies, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is, in a sense, "a confrontation between Russia and the New Crusaders." The Cold War after World War II divided the world into East and West camps, and the Berlin Wall was built in Berlin, and Khrushchev built the Berlin Wall to prevent the invasion of barbarians from the West (the United States). In 1991, the Berlin Wall was torn down, and Soviet leaders conditionally agreed to German reunification on the condition that NATO would not expand eastward. However, after the end of the Cold War, the Western countries led by the United States took advantage of the continued downturn in the Russian economy, and the country was overwhelmed and had no time to take care of it, and the Western military organization (NATO) expanded eastward five times, laying the groundwork for another East-West conflict. Only this time the dividing line between East and West will no longer be the Berlin Wall, but will be the Dnieper, the gateway to Russia.
President Biden believes that using the economic advantages of the United States can force President Putin into a corner, and this time allowing Ukraine to join NATO will make Russia face NATO nakedly, and President Putin will also submit to his feet. When I read American history, there are various "legitimate" reasons for the involvement of the U.S. military in various wars (conflicts). If the US military enters Panama, it is the Panamanian leader who sells drugs. And this leader was actually supported by the Americans, because they demanded that the Americans return the management of the Panama Canal in accordance with the treaty signed between the two sides, and overnight became the world's largest "drug dealer". The same is true of the Iraq War, where black General Powell "justly" holds a bag of white powder and says that Saddam Hussein is developing weapons of mass destruction, and finally the U.S. military occupies Iraq and captures Saddam Hussein, but no evidence of weapons of mass destruction has been found.
At the same time, the United States also likes to provoke other countries and induce these countries to bear with their actions, and the United States can rely on its military superiority to crush the other side. In the last year of the Trump era, the constant "provocation" of China is to let the other side take a shot, show the justice of the United States being "beaten", and then solve the problem militarily, but the United States has not achieved its wishes.
Children know that "the first to do is the bad guy", but you only see the scene of the action, but you do not see the situation before the action, that is, the various small actions in the United States. During the Vietnam War, the United States sent spy ships to the Gulf of Tonkin in northern Vietnam, constantly stirring up North Vietnam and luring North Vietnam to attack, when the Vietnamese Navy shelled, the U.S. military finally found an excuse to intervene in the Indochina War, and finally sent a large number of U.S. troops into Vietnam. However, such an intervention ended in the defeat of the US military, because Vietnam had the support of the Soviet Union and China. Americans have learned to be obedient, and now wait for the other side to intervene, let the world condemn you, no one dares to support you morally and materially, so that you will lose.
Biden's Ukraine is Kennedy's "Bay of Pigs Incident", when the CIA trained 3,000 well-trained Cubans, thinking that as long as they can board Cuba, they can seize power, Castro will flee, and if there is a problem, the US military will intervene to help, but Kennedy eventually abandoned these people, and the Cuban exiles were isolated on the Bay of Pigs beach for 3 days, and then they were all annihilated, and the United States did not give them any support.
President Biden also inherited the democratic tradition of retreating from Afghanistan and leaving the United States behind its allies in a hurry. In Ukraine, Zelenskiy expects the United States to fulfill its promise that as long as Russia exports, the United States will help Ukraine, provide a lot of military assistance, and help Ukraine join NATO, but even the outdated MiG-29, no country dares to provide it publicly. Russian troops entered Ukraine, and the U.S. military and NATO watched from the other side, and Biden said that economic sanctions would definitely defeat Russia, but Russia said it would use rubles to pay off its foreign debt. (Because of the sharp decline in the exchange rate of the ruble under economic sanctions, Russia used the ruble to forcibly pay off its foreign debt.)
In Washington, it is well known that President Biden does not like Russia and does not like President Putin, perhaps because his predecessor had a better relationship with President Putin. But liking it or not is one thing, reality is another. Russia is a small economic country, but it is also a military power, not Grenada, not Panama, but a country that can throw atomic bombs at each other with the United States. The Japanese media have been reporting from the United States recently, saying that in the face of such pressure, President Putin will not be mentally abnormal if he does not accept the softness. This kind of look is the "fake news" issued by the White House, President Putin's mental state is definitely more normal than Biden's, and when you step on his tail, he will definitely hit you back. Thinking back to the last month of Trump's presidency, almost everyone was worried that the president would not accept defeat and pressed the nuclear button. The author said that President Putin was originally a member of the KGB and the first to participate in the burial of the Soviet Union, when he wanted to vote for the West, after being rejected, he was forced step by step, normal people will be driven crazy, if they back down, NATO's feet will reach their homes.
When weak Ukraine challenges the great Russia, it is equivalent to a mouse bravely hanging a bell on the cat, but the other rats behind the instigation of the mouse escape, and the fate of the mouse with the bell can be imagined. To put it another way, another supporter of Ukraine, Britain, has its own North Sea oil fields, so it agreed to financial sanctions against Russia, saying that this is the best support for Ukraine. The British prime minister said, Ukraine, you are working against Putin, and when something happens, we will accept Ukrainians, at least 200,000 people. Of the 1.5 million Ukrainian refugees currently flowing into Eastern Europe, 15,000 have applied to travel to the UK, and only 300 have been approved. What did the British do in the face of daily killings in the face of surface-to-air missiles and candlelight evenings of solidarity outside Buckingham Palace? The implementation of the "financial atomic bomb" SWFIT caused the Russian ruble to plummet, and Russia decided to use the ruble to repay its foreign debt, killing 1,000 enemies, and the United States and the European Union injured themselves 1,000.
Prices in the United States are now rising rapidly, and the public calls it "Biden inflation", which is again encountered in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, energy prices continue to rise, raw materials continue to rise, if the conflict can not end in the near future, it will have a serious impact on Biden's political life. It can be said that it is a fatal blow to the Democratic Party, us vice president Harris held a press conference with the polish president, and when asked about refugees, he laughed inappropriately and had a very low political evaluation. "There are no good people in Hongdong County", the Democratic Party has been terminally ill, once the midterm elections are unfavorable, the Trump faction of the Republican Party will be "ready to move", for President Biden, the US president has a term of 4 years, he will leave the White House for the shortest time is 3 years, and the Americans will have to endure him for 3 years. The Ukraine crisis was not only an opportunity for him, but perhaps a death knell.
Original title: The Ukraine crisis in the United States is not only not an opportunity, but an unprecedented challenge