Since the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian War on February 24, the performance of the Russian army has been far lower than expected, not only Kiev and other major cities are still under Ukrainian control, the Ukrainian military frequently publicized the news of the great victory, so that the West began to collectively sing the decline of Russia, thinking that the Russian army is likely to suffer the same defeat as the first Chechen war.
On March 6, according to the British newspaper Guardian, in the 10 days since the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian War, more than 11,000 Russian troops have been killed, 285 tanks, 985 armored vehicles and 109 artillery pieces have been destroyed, and 44 fighters and 48 helicopters of the Russian Air Force have been shot down. The losses of the Russian army in just 10 days have exceeded the total casualties of the US military in the Gulf War, the Iraq War and the Afghan War, and the Russian army that was once feared by NATO is very difficult in actual combat, and the British media believes that if Russia continues to fight, it will only expose more weaknesses of the Russian army, and NATO countries will no longer fear Russia.
Podoliyako, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, said: 10 days after the start of the war, the Russian army faced unexpected and stubborn resistance in Ukraine and unprecedented sanctions from the West, and the attitude of the Russian side has changed significantly. In the early stages of the war, Russia insisted on full control of Ukraine, but did not expect such stubborn resistance in Ukraine, Russia has realized that the cost of war is too high, and Russia and Ukraine have begun to have constructive negotiations.
From an objective point of view, the Russian army did expose several serious problems in the Russo-Ukrainian War, such as poor logistics, which led to the forced abandonment of many armored vehicles by the Russian army. In addition, the Russian Air and Space Force lacks enough precision-guided munitions, resulting in Russian fighters can only use aerial bombs and carry out dangerous low-altitude bomb drops, and many advanced Russian fighters have been shot down in recent days, which has been seized by the Ukrainian authorities to publicize it. In addition, the Russian army also lacks Achathan integrated drones, and can only use helicopter gunships and fighter jets to clear the strongholds of the Ukrainian army, which invisibly increases casualties.
Moreover, Russia is completely inferior in terms of public opinion and propaganda, and the Western media has been suppressing reports in favor of Russia, which makes it easy for the outside world to misunderstand that the Russian army is gradually losing and retreating, and the Ukrainian army has the initiative on the battlefield.
However, "the skinny camel is bigger than the horse", and although the Russian army has suffered some setbacks, it is far from being "killed" by the Ukrainian army. According to the news announced by the Russian Ministry of Defense, the Russian army has destroyed 2203 military facility targets in Ukraine, that is to say, the main purpose of the Russian army at the beginning is not to kill or injure Ukrainian officers and soldiers or capture cities, but to disintegrate the operational capabilities of the Ukrainian army, and has completed putin's statement at the beginning of the war to make Ukraine "de-militarize" the goal.
Putin has made it clear that Russia's goal is not to occupy Ukraine, and the Russian army has also shown great restraint in the process of attacking, and dare not easily use heavy firepower to attack the city, which has made the Ukrainian army take a lot of advantages, the Ukrainian army is shrunk in the city, and even civilians are used as "shields", making it difficult for the Russian army to capture a big city like Kiev. The West took the opportunity to provide the Ukrainian army with a large number of anti-tank missiles and man-portable air defense missiles, the Ukrainian army adopted tactics similar to "guerrilla warfare", using individual missiles to launch sneak attacks on the Russian army, and indeed obtained a lot of results, which also made the Russian-Ukrainian war appear a strange scene: the Ukrainian army has been publicizing how many tanks it destroyed the Russian army and how many helicopters it shot down; and the Russian army is trying to publicize how many military facilities of the Ukrainian army have been destroyed, and both sides believe that they have achieved strategic goals. is the advantageous side. The goal of the Ukrainian army was to make Russia retreat by giving the Russian army as many casualties as possible, and finally agreed to stop. The goal of the Russian army is to completely dismantle the command and operation ability of the Ukrainian army, so that the Ukrainian authorities will lose control and knowledge of the army, and achieve the goal of de-militarizing Ukraine.
Because of this, the Russian military has been prepared to pay a certain number of casualties, the Ukrainian military has been reporting good news, although it has eliminated part of the Russian army's living forces, but it can not prevent the Russian army from completing its goals, and now the Ukrainian Navy has been forced to sink its flagship "Getman Sagaidakin"; the fighters of the Ukrainian Air Force have also been lost, and it is necessary to "borrow" fighters from the West to maintain combat effectiveness; most of the medium- and long-range air defense systems of the Ukrainian air defense forces have been destroyed. Man-portable anti-aircraft missiles (MANPADS) could only be relied upon to "fight guerrillas"; as for the Ukrainian Army, it lost its mobility and could only stick to the big cities. That is to say, today's Ukrainian army has basically lost the characteristics of a modern army, completely degenerated into a "guerrilla" equipped with advanced Western weapons, the Ukrainian army can only rely on the Western "blood transfusion" to maintain combat effectiveness, once the Russian army completes the encirclement of the entire territory of Ukraine, the Ukrainian army that has lost the external supply line can only face the desperate situation of running out of ammunition and food.
Senior Ukrainian officials at this time believed that Russia could not bear the casualties of the war and The Sanctions of the West, apparently "firing cannons before the palanquin arrived – too soon to be happy." On March 4, Russian President Vladimir Putin drew a line for the Ukrainian side during a phone call with German Chancellor Schoelz: Ukraine must guarantee neutrality and nuclear-free status; Ukraine should achieve "de-militarization" and "de-Nazirification"; Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea; and Ukraine recognizes the "Donetsk Republic" and the "Luhansk Republic". This means that Russia has not yet made any concessions to Ukraine, and If Zelenskiy does not agree, Russia does not mind continuing to fight. With the establishment of humanitarian relief channels on the Ukrainian battlefield, once the Ukrainian civilians have completed the evacuation, the goal of the Russian army will be to capture the big cities and annihilate the living forces of the Ukrainian army, at which time the Ukrainian authorities may lose the last bargaining chip.
The Ukrainian authorities are also aware that it is difficult to continue to resist the Russian offensive, so they have been asking NATO to set up a no-fly zone in Ukraine to offset Russia's air superiority. However, the US-led NATO directly rejected Ukraine's request, and even the assistance of fighter jets to Ukraine was not active. Judging from the latest news, it is not Russia that has changed attitudes, but Ukraine. On March 6, Russian-Ukrainian negotiator Arahamiya said Ukraine was no longer committed to submitting an application to join NATO. With the gradual loosening of Ukraine's attitude, the Russo-Ukrainian war finally saw a glimmer of hope of calming down.