The impact of the situation in Ukraine on A-shares

Most of the people who speculate in stocks at present were born in the era of peace and have never experienced war, and China's stock market has never experienced the test of war, so some of the current analysis of A shares is only a little pitiful theory about the impact of war on the stock market to support.

The geopolitical situation in Ukraine this time seems to feel closest to us, it is also relatively close to us, and it is also the closest confrontation between the three major military groups in the world, which is far from being as simple as the previous Bullying of small countries by the United States.

In such a situation, A shares have been in a volatile trend, has been oscillating for a month, it seems that the situation in Ukraine has not had much impact on A shares, that is just the surface of the index trend, in fact, it has a great impact on A shares.

Originally the market after the beginning of the year is still good, Poly United, Zhejiang Construction Investment and other leading stocks to the market to make a good start, originally such a good market atmosphere should continue, but with the outbreak of the Ukrainian war, A shares changed, became elusive, began to be like a fickle girl, said change will change.

On the whole, the stock market is the game platform of funds, and what funds need most is security, especially large funds, and the current situation in Ukraine has brought hidden dangers to security, so funds have begun to become cautious, no longer have the previous calm layout, step-by-step play, but quick harvest, a shot to change a place, but also privately the so-called large capital value investment of the hypocritical face, revealing the essence of speculation and profit-seeking.

The war in Ukraine, which took place in Europe, is far away from us, so why is the money of A shares in the limelight?

Quite simply, what everyone is worried about is not the contest between Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine is just a platform for Russia and the United States, the European Union, a place to be sacrificed. Funding concerns are the spiral of control and the direct militarization of Russia and the US-led NATO. After all, the war between nuclear weapons groups is full of uncertainty, so let's analyze the situation in Ukraine.

1, Ukraine, under the leadership of a clown, has become the laughing stock of the whole world, has become the vanguard of the great power struggle, the victim, no matter who wins or loses, Ukraine is abolished, and there is one less truly independent sovereign state in the world. The Ukrainian leadership will not really think about the Ukrainian people, and without mentioning the usual governing strategy, it will be said that this time Ukraine will distribute weapons to all ordinary people, let the people face russia's military front, this is to let Russia fall into the ocean of people's war? No! This is a conspiracy by the vile Ukrainian government to delay time by sacrificing the Ukrainian people in order to achieve political goals. Obviously, the current conspiracy is very effective.

2, Russia, in order not to let a group of ill-intentioned big men, with weapons all day long at their doorstep of their own malicious sway, thus made a move to send troops to Ukraine, the appeal is not to occupy the entire territory of Ukraine, but to demand that Ukraine depoliticize, militarize, not join NATO, remain neutral. At the same time, in order not to give the West a magnifying glass to find the opportunity to frame the stolen goods, this military operation does not target innocent Ukrainians. However, in the face of a group of Ukrainian people who take up arms and are enemies and lay down their weapons are the people, street fighting becomes very cruel.

Russia's military operations have not swept through the pear court with thunderous momentum as expected, but have become difficult, which has given the European Union and the United States hope. If Ukraine loses all its combat effectiveness within two or three days of the start of the war, the Western countries will acquiesce to this fact and remain indifferent. But now, not only is the Ukrainian side still resisting, but Russia seems to have made little progress, and Kiev has not been able to take it for a long time. Therefore, the Western countries see the hope of dragging down Russia's fragile economy through the quagmire of the Ukrainian war, once Russia cannot take Ukraine for a short time, then Russia's economy will face collapse, or withdraw from the army, Ukraine will join NATO, and Russia will be defeated. Either that Russia has stepped up its efforts to turn Ukraine into ruins, thus giving the West the opportunity to criticize and seek troops. So, the mistake is that Russia has given the West the illusion that the mighty Polar Bear Empire is no different. Originally wanted two people to fight, one of the tiger back bear waist, tall, quite intimidating, originally everyone thought that the other party will be abused to the skin, the result of a move, found that it is just a silver pewter gun head, the middle is not useful, so the other side is no longer afraid, rushed up.

However, everyone should not underestimate Russia, once Russia has signs of unsustainable, or NATO and the United States are becoming more and more aggressive, then it is not ruled out that Russia will take the lead in using strategic weapons, and it is a big deal that everyone will start from scratch.

3, the United States, NATO: a group of hooligans, liars, and scoundrels who fight for democracy and sovereignty. From the beginning of the United States statement that it will not send troops to Ukraine under any circumstances, to the current continuous deployment of troops, closer and closer to Russia, and the elder Biden said two strategies, one is to launch World War III, and the other is to impose more severe sanctions. At present, the sanctions measures seem to be useless, and the greater role is to kill the enemy one thousand and damage eight hundred. (Old Biden's subtext: In the face of the big war, our American tradition is that the little brother goes first, and when the little brothers can't move, I will clean up the mess, on the one hand, I will make money for the little brothers, on the other hand, the little brothers are weaker at that time, and the big brothers are even more said to be the same, don't you see the First World War and the Second World War? ）

NATO: From the beginning of the cold-eyed, ready to accept zelenskiy's government-in-exile, to now providing weapons and ammunition, and providing mercenaries to support the free participation of its own people in the war. Discussions are under way to accept Ukraine's application for eu membership.

Once the application is approved, Ukraine will immediately face a devastating Russian blow, and the world may see the true strength of the polar bear.

And it is also because of the approval of this application that NATO has the excuse to send troops, and once the troops are sent, Russia will absolutely fight back immediately, then the most worrying thing in the world will appear.

In general, simple sanctions can not trap Russia, and the European Union does not dare to fully sanction Russia's energy industry, but it is precisely the energy industry that is vigorously supporting Russia's fragile economic system. On the other hand, trade between China and Russia will also form a strong support for the Russian economy.

Then the only thing that can get Russia is through war, once the war expands, perhaps in addition to crude oil, gold, natural gas prices will rise sharply, the other will bring devastating disasters.

Maybe some people say, isn't it negotiating? If negotiations really work, then why is there a war, and negotiations are just a way for the victors to ask for chips. Now everyone has not won or lost, and the negotiation is just a rip-off.

As of now, the U.S. crude oil, gold rose sharply, the U.S. crude oil broke through $100, and gold has a trend of new highs. So don't analyze any more plates later, this time it is not technology to speak, but geopolitics.

Selection aspect gold, crude oil, natural gas, low suction. At present, the war is not at its most intense, and the price is still rising!