Zhang Wenhong: "New crown" is a hard dish, which requires "slow work" and "fine work"

Dr. Zhang Wenhong updated weibo on the occasion of the Spring Festival.

The content is as follows:

It's the Spring Festival of another year, and compared to the global anxiety and uncertainty of the New Year, it seems that a Chinese "Chinese New Year's Eve" has passed, and the monster called "Xi" really seems to be quiet. Although there are sporadic or even small-scale clusters of cases in many places in The country, they also quickly return to calm, which is generally called "social clearance".

I saw that as of 7 p.m., the pre-sale box office at the beginning of today had exceeded 1.4 billion! It exceeded the Spring Festival of 2019 before the epidemic. At least from the popularity of the cinema, everyone's psychology seems to have gradually come out of the fear of the epidemic, and the prevention and control of various places has begun to slowly get rid of the one-size-fits-all, and although there are still various restrictions on the Spring Festival home for the New Year, it is not so far away.

Many foreign doctors around me have also gone home for the New Year, but many have also stayed. While staying, I began to walk around Shanghai, especially in some of the cultural attractions around our hospital, which are very interesting and have become a good place for holiday hiking. The site of the first congress, the former residence of Song Qingling, the former residence of Zhang Ailing, the former residence of Ba Jin, and the location of "Love Myth" Wuyuan Road, Anfu Road and Yanqing Road are all written about the history of the city, and they are not far from Huashan Hospital.

A few years ago, the leaders of Shanghai Municipality personally came to the Public Health Center to mobilize, because the pressure of the imported epidemic was particularly large at that time, and the entire clinical treatment team was slightly nervous. After Chinese New Year's Eve, the Spring Festival rounds began to become peaceful. When I checked the room in the first year, Professor Li Feng and I of the expert group were more likely to greet the team of director Chen Jun, director Liu Ping, director Li Tao, and the expert team of the Children's Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University who were still struggling in the ward. The patient's condition is very stable. This feeling is unimaginable in the first and second year of the epidemic during the Spring Festival.

This says at least a few things:

1. As long as there is no large-scale medical run, even if there is no specific drug now, the disease is completely under our control. In the future, China will certainly be able to achieve the anti-epidemic model of no medical run and low case fatality rate that we hope to see through epidemic control and innovative drug research and development.

2. At the end of the "Mystery of Omikejong", humans have basically understood the characteristics of the virus strain and developed ways to deal with it. But just to say that Omikeron is the perfect attenuated strain given by God and does not need a vaccine at all, I disagree. According to the UK Health Safety Agency (UKHSA), the case fatality rate of Ami kerong is 0.03% if not vaccinated, similar to seasonal influenza; as age increases, the case fatality rate gradually rises, and the case fatality rate of 60-69 years old is 2.65% if not vaccinated, the case fatality rate of Omilon is 8.87% if not vaccinated, and the case fatality rate of Omilon is 8.87% if the elderly between 70-79 years old are not vaccinated. The case fatality rate of Omikron is 21.54%, and if two doses of the vaccine are given, this case fatality rate is reduced to 0.02%, 1.02%, 5.64% and 13.07%. If given with three doses, the case fatality rate is reduced to 0.0086%, 0.09%, 0.42% and 2.61%. Humanity is able to deal with Omiljung today, and some countries are ready to end the control of the epidemic because the hospitalization rate and case fatality rate after the new crown vaccine have been greatly reduced.

3. Even with vaccinations, there will be differences in the opening and ending control times of countries around the world. This is mainly because after vaccination, even in international data on three doses of the vaccine, we still see a higher case fatality rate (up to more than 1.8% in elderly patients). To avoid this, we also need specific drugs and medical grading management, as well as special protection for this high-risk vulnerable population, whether with vaccines or drugs.

4. During the Spring Festival, when I paid my respects to the old experts of the department, Professor Wang Jiarui, who was already 90 years old, a well-known infectious disease expert in the mainland who had long been engaged in the prevention and control of epidemic hemorrhagic fever and made a major contribution, asked me how the epidemic was, and I leaned into his ear and said loudly, "The worst days will slowly pass, China knows how to deal with this virus, but it will not be so hurried, if we want to survive this epidemic with a very low case fatality rate, it may take a little longer."

"New crown" is a hard dish that requires "slow work" and "fine work", and I think China knows how to "Chinese New Year's Eve. ”

"Thousands of households always exchange new peaches for old charms." We Chinese always have to have a lively New Year to have fun. Fortunately, this year is already a little better than last year, and next year will certainly be better than this year. All of our efforts are aimed at protecting lives from threats while keeping normal life less disrupted. The future fight against the epidemic should be the process of our continuous efforts to regain a normal life.