laitimes

How is Taiwanese society torn apart? Torn by what?

author:Professor Cao Xing
How is Taiwanese society torn apart? Torn by what?

Hello netizens!

If Taiwan follows the established policy of construction and development in the chiang ching-kuo era, Taiwan may become the most developed region in the world. However, in fact, after 2000, Taiwan entered the political devil's tunnel of multi-party rotation and infighting, which became an important internal cause of Taiwan's relative stagnation. An important external cause is the coveting, tearing, and prying of the United States and Japan toward Taiwan. In short, the combined force of internal and external factors has prompted Taiwan to fall.

Why did Taiwan become one of the four asian tigers in the last 20 years of the 20th century, and relatively high? But why did he become the last of the Four Little Dragons after many years? What are the reasons for the stagnation of development? I have to assume that if peaceful reunification is successful, will Taiwan once again enter the track of rapid development under the care of one country, two systems? Deciphering the mystery is a very meaningful thing.

I think we can find the answer in the graph of changes in Taiwan's per capita GDP and the state of political parties.

Let's first look at the changes in Taiwan in the 30 years from 1949 to 1979, after the Kuomintang moved to Taiwan. At that time, Taiwan was an agrarian society. After about 10 years of agricultural development, Taiwan only began to develop light industry in the late 1950s, transformed into a labor-intensive industry in the 1960s, and ushered in the rapid development of Taiwan's economy in the 1970s. The reason for Taiwan's rapid development in the 1970s was that Chiang Ching-kuo began to promote the development line of the ten major constructions in the 1970s. As a consequence, by 1979, Taiwan's per capita GDP reached $1,950, ranking among the top 50 in the world, and it was a middle-income area. This cannot but be said to be a miracle. Don't forget that taiwan's rapid development was accomplished under the one-party rule of the Kuomintang. At that time, Taiwan did not yet practice a multi-party system. If you want to know what Chinese mainland per capita GDP was in 1979, the online search is 184 US dollars, and the gap is 10.5 times.

Let's look at the 10 years from 1980 to 1989, Taiwan's per capita GDP increased from $2367 to $7577. In the late 1970s and early 1980s, Taiwan had already reached the world's middle level. In the 1980s, Taiwan was still dominated by manufacturing, but began industrial upgrading, sustained economic development, these 10 years of Taiwanese people to become rich, at the end of the 80s soared to become one of the four Asian tigers, and relatively advanced, not the last. In 1989, the per capita income reached $7577, and the world ranking rose to 35th. You know, in 1989, the threshold for high-income economies was $6,000, and Taiwan had far exceeded this threshold in that era and entered high-income economies, and Taiwan was very rich in materials at that time. If you do a simple calculation, Taiwan's per capita GDP in 1989 increased by 3.88 times compared with 1979. It can be said that the acceleration of these 10 years is very fast.

So, what about 1990-1999? Taiwan's GDP per capita ranges from $8,178 to $13,768. In 1992, it crossed the 10,000-dollar mark and became a developed economy, and Taiwan's 20 million people created a total economy of 40% of the mainland. Taiwan's social arrogance is high, and it has become a very prosperous era for Taiwan's economy. In 1999, Taiwan's per capita GDP was $13,768, more than South Korea's $10,200. Of course, it is not as good as Singapore's $21,800 and Hong Kong's $25,100. Taiwan's increase in 1999 was 1.81 times higher than that of 1989 a decade ago, and seven times higher than 20 years ago. It is an example of rapid development.

All in all, the result of my thinking is that Taiwan's take-off was completed under the leadership of the Kuomintang, is it not the result of one-party rule? Think about it for yourself. Chiang Ching-kuo's last will and testament before his death was to ban the party in Taiwan and implement a multi-party system, which created conditions for the birth of the DPP later. Therefore, Taiwan's development has entered a huge inflection point.

As a result, from 2000 to 2009, Taiwan's per capita GDP ranged from 1.48 to 16,900 US dollars. When Chen Shui-bian came to power in 2000, Taiwan began a history of political infighting, and The sentiment of Taiwan independence not only grew, but also developed rapidly. As a result, Taiwan's GDP per capita was surpassed by South Korea. In the past 10 years, there have been cross-strait exchanges, and the Taiwanese people have also sensed that the mainland is developing rapidly. Taiwan's 1.2-fold increase in 2009 compared to 1999. The pace of development has slowed down at once. What is the reason, it is worth thinking deeply.

Let's look further. From 2010 to 2019, Taiwan's GDP per capita ranged from $19,000 to $25,000. In 2011, it broke through the $20,000 mark, but salaries did not increase much compared with the first 10 years of the 21st century, and the living standards of the people did not change much. In the past 10 years, a new atmosphere has emerged, that is, a large number of Taiwanese people have come to the mainland to work, and the wages are 2-3 times higher than that of working in Taiwan. If the boat does not advance against the current, it will retreat, and at that time, Taiwan has become the last of the four Asian tigers.

In fact, the mainland's development is much faster than Taiwan's. If Taiwan's development is rapid development, then the mainland's development is rapid development. As mentioned earlier, in 1979, the per capita GDP of Chinese mainland was 184 US dollars, and the per capita GDP of Taiwan was 1950 US dollars, and the difference was 10.5 times. However, in 2019, the per capita GDP of Chinese mainland was $10,276 million, and the per capita gdp of Taiwan was $25,000, a gap of 2.4 times. The speed at which gaps are closed is magical. If it is the same technical white-collar worker, the mainland's income is more than 3 times higher than That of Taiwan. Don't you want to know the reasons behind this?

I look back and reflect that Taiwan has improved 1.8 times in the 20 years from 1999 to 2019, and 7 times in the 20 years from 1979 to 1999. According to Taiwan's original development tunnel, conservatively speaking, Taiwan will increase by at least 5 times. Why is that? I think there are two reasons worth explaining.

The first is the internal cause, but also the fundamental reason, that is, from one-party rule to multi-party rotation on the island, the political centrifugal rate has led to a slowdown in Taiwan's development speed, hindering or cutting off the relay source of Taiwan's rapid development of the original kinetic energy. The chain reaction, the confrontation of the island's politics, in turn, led to the tearing of public opinion on the island. It is reasonable to say that the consciousness of Taiwan independence should withdraw from the DPRK, and there should be some wavering and doubt, but the consciousness of Taiwan independence has not weakened, but has increased. The reason is the instigation of the DPP and the retreat and vacillation of the KMT.

The second reason is external factors, that is, the use of Taiwan by the United States and Japan, the struggle against Chinese mainland one country, two systems, and the instigation of Taiwan, resulting in the political stand of the Taiwan authorities on the side of the United States and Japan, not on the side of the mainland. That is why I say that it is not because the Chinese mainland's struggle with the United States and Japan has torn Taiwan apart, because the mainland has repeatedly insisted that Taiwan is China's inviolable territory, but because Taiwan's political authorities have sided with the United States and Japan and have torn themselves apart. Why not find a way to integrate with Chinese mainland into a political and economic community? That is because of the result of Taiwan independence.

Of course, there are many other reasons, such as some Taiwanese who believe that Taiwan has democracy, human rights, and freedom, and some Taiwanese who believe that the spark of Taiwan's democracy and freedom can ignite the plains. It is really a big joke, Taiwan's 23.58 million people want to subvert the social nature of the mainland's 1.4 billion people, is it possible? Moreover, there are still many people in Taiwan who advocate peaceful reunification. And so on, whatever.

In short, if Taiwan follows the established policy of development and construction in the original Chiang Ching-kuo era, Taiwan may become the most developed region in the world, but due to two major internal and external reasons, Taiwan has fallen. Speaking from the perspective of internal causes, Taiwan responded to Chiang Ching-kuo's testament, opened a party ban on the implementation of the multi-party system, the birth of the Democratic Progressive Party, and Taiwan entered the devil's political tunnel of multi-party strife, and its internal strength was exhausted, and not only failed to make Taiwan the first of the four Asian tigers, but was reduced to the last of the four little tigers. An important external cause is the covetousness of the United States and Japan, and the Taiwan authorities have recognized the American father and Japanese uncle and split Taiwan's political power.

The above view, may be the first time I put forward, the first time to meet with all netizens, must be my one-person view, not necessarily correct, can be discussed, for reference only.

Thank you!

Read on