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Talk about the Spring Festival stalls.
This Spring Festival file, there are actually 11 movies competing on the same stage, does it sound very scary?
But a little bit of selection, in fact, there are only 5 left to focus on.
Miracle, Four Seas, Pratunam Bridge
"This Killer Is Not Calm", "Sniper"
("Bear Haunting" and "Pleasant Goat Gray Wolf" belong to children's films for children, and I am already a big child, so I will not watch it.) ）
The above 5, according to the heat ranking, probably predicted, yes
Miracle > the Watergate Bridge > all over the world> this killer is not very calm ≈ sniper
Of course, this is just a preliminary heat prediction for me, after all, I haven't seen the positive film yet.
After watching the positive film, my predicted Douban score generally does not exceed ±0.2 points, except for "Dune", which is 0.3 points higher than I predicted.
But I never predict the Spring Festival stalls for sure, every year the Spring Festival stalls are more chaotic, and the audience who usually do not watch movies will also join in the fun, resulting in my prediction model also being biased.
You can choose your own preferences through the genre of the movie.
On the first day of the year – just like in previous years – I'll be very quick to watch all the movies and give you feedback.
Warm up today.
Miracle · Stupid Kid
"Miracle" is still the biggest expectation of this Spring Festival file, and I also said last time on Weibo live, this is the first work to look forward to in 2022.
Wen Muye cooperated with Yi Qianxi, Wang Chuanjun, Yong Mei, Huang Yao, Zhang Jiayi and other starring, which is very worth looking forward to.
Wen Muye's talent is obvious to all, and he is also a new generation of directors who have grown up from the grassroots. This "Miracle" also focuses on some low-level characters in the city, completing the transformation of their own lives, I believe it will not disappoint.
Yi Yanqianxi is steady and steady, step by step to become a qualified actor, it can also be regarded as a kind of transformation. From traffic to strength, this road can be walked, and naturally there are his own efforts.
I hope that this movie in the Spring Festival file can create miracles.
The film can be called tailor-made by Yi Qianxi, the story tells that Jing Hao, played by Yi Qianxi, and his sister struggle in Shenzhen, and the sister needs to raise 100,000 yuan in medical expenses within 4 months when she falls ill. In order to save his sister, his brother Jinghao founded the Haojing Electronic Components Factory, personally served as the director of the factory, and also got acquainted with a group of "unreliable" strange people. Such a story, of course, will remind people of "Medicine God", obviously, it is also Wen Muye's best play.
Looking at the story type and "I am not a medicine god" is a bit similar, but also Wen Muye has been a great success of the work, so it should not be lower than expected, there is heat and quality, it should be a big hit.
the whole world
Director Han Han, starring Liu Haoran, Liu Haocun, Shen Teng, Yin Zheng
The appeal of this combination is also very strong, and Han Han once again focuses on small-town youth and composes Korean comedy.
At present, the network wants to see 300,000 popularity, lower than "Miracle Stupid Child", but still ranks second.
Han Han's first three films are as follows:
"After Forever" 7.1 points, 630 million
"Ride the Wind and Waves" 6.8 points, 1 billion
"Flying Life" 6.9 points, 1.7 billion
Therefore, it can be guessed that Han Han's "Four Seas" this time is still a public rating of about 7 points, and the box office is about 1.5 billion.
Surely, is it possible that he will be particularly good-looking and then explode? Then I don't know, anything can happen in the Spring Festival stalls.
Pratunam Bridge
The 2022 Spring Festival file pattern is finalized, "The Water Gate Bridge of Chosin Lake" is definitely a king bomb.
The first "Chosin Lake" is already the first domestic box office, and the second part has at least 2 billion take-off and 3 billion appetizers.
Directors: Chen Kaige, Xu Ke, Lin Chaoxian
Starring: Wu Jing, Yi Qianxi
Even if it is to see a sequel, the box office will not be low.
But there are still other problems - there are many good movies in the Spring Festival file, and the competition for scheduling is fierce. There is another war film, Zhang Yimou's "Sniper", which will be diverted. And in the Spring Festival stalls, many people will choose to watch comedies and so on...
The popularity of wanting to see is only 230,000, which is lower than the previous works.
Therefore, it is unlikely to surpass the previous game, and it is almost the same to grab the first place in the Spring Festival stall.
In addition, the two big hits of the Spring Festival file have Yi Qianxi, no matter who wins, Yi Qianxi is definitely the final big winner.
This killer is not too calm
Happy twist, Mary. There is no Shen Teng.
But there is another comedy "Super Family" withdrawn, so Ma Li's "This Killer Is Not Calm" should be - really funny, at least more funny than another.
Quality can play, only dare to fight with "Super Energy" and "Four Seas" at the same time, so there is still a certain degree of expectation.
Of course, it is still that sentence, this is only a preliminary prediction, I will not give a formal forecast without watching the positive film.
sniper
The theme of the crash "Chosin Lake", in front of the pearl jade, "Sniper" unless the explosion is good, it can only be suppressed.
No way, the popularity of this movie is also at the bottom - although it is directed by Zhang Yimou.
However, I think that the level of director Zhang Yimou has always been on the line, and this film about the sniper showdown between the Anti-US And Aid Korea certainly has something to watch.
The Spring Festival file has always been a winner-take-all, with the top 2 top 3 movies taking away the big box office, and the remaining few movies in small parts of the box office.
It has also happened before, a few days before the opening, the quality of the film with a fierce momentum is not good, and it is gradually surpassed.
So, although I made a rough prediction, it is not impossible to deviate.
However, there is a saying, I also said last week, the economic downturn caused by the cold winter, so that the film industry also began to cut those works that are not of good quality, leaving only those that can be beaten.
Therefore, it is very likely that these movies are above 7 points, or even one or two 8 points.
What if it looks good?
For the audience, this is a great joy.
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