Financial Associated Press, January 17, today a total of 110 shares up and down, 22 shares up and down, the sealing rate of 83%; Cylon Pharmaceutical 6 boards, Jiuan Medical, Qianhong Pharmaceutical 5 boards, Delis, Fucheng shares, Jinshi Technology, Haixin Food, Gravity Media, Jinling Hotel are 4 boards, GEM Shutaishen, Hanyu Pharmaceutical, Jebsen shares 2 boards. On the disk, 3295 stocks closed up, 1178 stocks closed down, new crown drugs, digital currencies, software services and other gains in the front, new crown testing, Chinese medicine and other sectors closed down.
Industrial Securities said that the market has suffered bumps since the beginning of the year, but it is currently in the bottom area. On the one hand, the repair of undervaluation in sectors such as financial real estate will continue to materialize after experiencing volatility. On the other hand, the adjustment space of popular tracks such as "New Half Army" has also been relatively sufficient. The current wave of markets similar to "mini version 2014" is brewing, and its timing depends on the wide credit process:
1) The market is already in the time window of "steady growth" and marginal "wide credit", and the core logic of the market continues to cash in and strengthen: although the new social financing in December 2021 is slightly lower than expected, the stock social financing of 10.3% year-on-year is still higher than the previous value of 10.1%, and the M2 year-on-year 9.0% is also higher than the expected 8.7%, indicating that the credit environment is still trending. In addition, the new special debt quota of 1.46 trillion yuan has been issued in advance, and some major projects in provinces and cities have also been issued earlier than in previous years, and social financing is expected to further pick up in January. All kinds of signals and data are constantly verifying the direction of marginal "wide credit".
2) At the point in time, the index market in 2014 was not officially established until november 21, 2014, after the central bank cut interest rates, and it is also necessary to wait for signals such as social financing and RRR cuts. But from the timing of the layout, just as the market finally proved that every adjustment from August to October 2014 became an excellent buying point, it is still in the window on the left side of the layout.
3) But the difference between the present and 2014 is that, on the one hand, 2014 is a comprehensive systemic relaxation, while the current policy relaxation is relatively limited under the general tone of real estate "housing and not speculation" and infrastructure "support but not lifting", and it is more likely to be a phased and supportive relaxation. On the other hand, 2014 gradually evolved into a round of leveraged cattle, and the current market leverage force is weak, institutional funds are still the dominant force in the market. Therefore, the final deduction form is similar to the "mini version 2014", and the time and rhythm depend on the process of wide credit.
Market overview
Indicators show that the market short-term sentiment bid rose to near the active area, continued to rush higher after the morning shock, and then entered a state of narrow oscillation at the high level.
In terms of individual stocks, Cylon Pharmaceutical led the rise in 6 consecutive boards, Jiuan Medical and Qianhong Pharmaceutical 5 consecutive boards, Delis, Fucheng shares, Haixin Food, Jinling Hotel, Gravity Media, Jinshi Technology all 4 consecutive boards, GEM Shu Taishen, Hanyu Pharmaceutical, Jebsen shares 2 consecutive boards. The performance of the board stocks is strong, and 13 of the 17 stocks on the board on Friday continued to rise and fall.
In terms of indices, today's full line repair, the Shanghai index contraction closed up 0.58%, the ChiNext index volume closed up 1.63%. At present, the index is temporarily viewed as a bottom, and it is still necessary to continue to rush higher.
Northbound funds, today's total net purchase of 1.707 billion yuan. Among them, the Shanghai market net purchase of 323 million yuan, the Shenzhen market net purchase of 1.383 billion yuan.
Focus sectors and individual stocks
Stimulated by good news, the direction of the digital economy has set off a rising tide, which is relatively general, and is currently mainly based on the two directions of digital currency and big data. Rough statistics, the direction of the limit of nearly 50 stocks, there are many ChiNext and science and technology board rose more than 10% of the stocks, detailed targets can be seen at the end of the article "up and down analysis chart".
On the news side, Qiushi magazine published on January 16 will publish an important article "Continuously Strengthening and Optimizing the Mainland Digital Economy", which pointed out that the development of digital economy is a strategic choice to seize a new round of scientific and technological revolution and new opportunities for industrial transformation. The agency said that the introduction of this "Plan" has made a systematic design and overall layout of the mainland digital economy, the whole industrial chain of the industrial digital economy has ushered in top-level policy support and guidance, the software industry is expected to usher in a new round of boom cycle, and the industrial digital economy sector contains historic investment opportunities.
The new energy vehicle industry chain continues to be active, and in the near future, it is mainly based on individual stocks in the direction of intelligence. Guangdong Hongtu 2 boards, Hanchuan Intelligence, Shandong Weida, Howson shares, Kuangda Technology, Great Wall Technology, Ruima Precision, Founder Motor, Ningbo Huaxiang, Rongtai shares, Huguang shares, etc., and many shares rose by more than 10%.
This direction has been relatively hot recently, many institutions are pushing, and there are many industry minutes, and the current focus is mainly on intelligence. Continue to dig deeper, subdivision involves computing power, MCUs, silicon carbide, power semiconductors, sensors, automotive displays, automotive optics, intelligent driving software, integrated die casting, lidar, automotive interaction and other subdivisions.
The prefabricated cuisine sector continued to differentiate, with Jinling Hotel, Haixin Food, Fucheng Shares, and Delis all having 4 consecutive boards, and the adjustment of individual stocks that fell behind was different.
The new crown testing sector index led the decline today, Jiuan Medical, Qianhong Pharmaceutical 5 consecutive boards, Jimin Medical 2 consecutive boards, Beihua shares, Sailier Medical up and down, Shuoshi Biological, Oriental Biological, Botuo Biological, Heatscape Biological, Wanfu Biological fell more than 12%. At present, the funds are mainly focused on Jiuan Medical, and the back row of bids is mainly to make up for the rise, and the pullback of individual stocks with large gains is also very large.
The concept stocks of new coronavirus drugs continued to strengthen, with Jingjing Pharmaceutical 3 boards, Hanyu Pharmaceutical, Shutaishen, Dayang Biological, Haizheng Pharmaceutical 2 boards, Tuoxin Pharmaceutical, Guangshengtang, Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, Shengquan Group, Jianyan Institute, Xinhe Cheng, Frontier Biologics, Haite Biology, Junshi Biology up more than 11%. In the context of Yaben Chemical's second entry into the palace, today's performance is quite good, although there is differentiation but relatively benign, and there is no money loss effect for the time being.
On the whole, the performance of the index is relatively average, and the theme plate is a bit of a bull market. The digital economy today staged a rising tide, the direction of differentiation or ebb, the probability will be with the new crown drugs, traditional Chinese medicine, prepared dishes these recently strengthened directions to form a seesaw effect, behind you can pay attention to the rotation rhythm between these themes, non-faucet target cautious chase, you can pay attention to the opportunity of repeated rotation of low suction Bo.
Today's limit analysis chart: