I can tell you with certainty that the Soviet Union will attack Germany without any hesitation.
Of course, when saying this, it is estimated that some small partners will think of the Great Thunderstorm Plan that the Soviets did not have time to implement.
In fact, we don't need to mention this plan, just according to the historical trend at that time, you will come to the conclusion that the Soviet Union will attack Germany.
So if you want to make this matter clear, Xiaobian feels that we can't just start from world war II itself, your analysis is definitely not comprehensive enough, to say that we have to start from a strange Western pattern formed after the end of world war I.
Weird Western pattern
So why is the pattern of the West after the end of World War I weird?
After the end of World War I, between 1920 and 1933, the soviet and German military services cooperated very closely.
Some small partners do not understand this history, feel a little strange, in fact, this is not unusual, that is, two isolated people, can not force a group to warm up.
First of all, the Soviet Union, its political system is not accepted by the Western countries, the Western countries are always running out, everywhere to make things difficult for the Soviet Union. Let's not say anything else, the First World War is not over yet? It would have been the October Revolution in Tsarist Russia, and after the success of the revolution, the Soviet Union demanded to withdraw from the First World War, and the British, American, and French gangs did not agree to it, and later sent troops to directly interfere with the internal affairs of the Soviet Union.
Therefore, the Soviet Union can be said to be a thorn in the flesh in the eyes of the Western countries, and it is eager to take a knife to pick this meat thorn.
And the Germans? This is also not welcomed by the West, after all, it is the initiator of the First World War, except for the United Kingdom and the United States, which one did not suffer the disaster? Especially in France, after the end of the First World War, a ten-piece supplement pill was eaten, and it was not necessarily enough to replenish the flesh and blood.
Of course, because Britain and the United States were far away from the battlefield, they died some individuals, consumed a certain amount of property, and did not have much loss, in order to balance Europe, so as not to let Europe have a situation in which France was dominant, and more or less supported Germany in the open and in the dark.
But on how to hold on, because of the consequences of The First World War, the Germans had to accept punishment, at most simply, huge reparations, and troops who could only retain a hundred thousand men.
As a direct result of this, the German territory was not only reduced, but also pinched by Poland with a Danzig corridor.
In the face of this situation, then, everyone understands that it is impossible to do without a strong army in their hands.
Eventually, the Soviet Union and Germany, which were not welcomed by most people in the West, huddled together.
This process of heating up included the establishment of arsenals and experimental bases in the Soviet Union by the Germans, and the joint development of weapons and equipment by both sides.
It was impossible to have a lot of weapons on German soil, because of the Treaty of Versailles.
And the Soviet Union? They also took turns studying at the German military academy, and the two sides also observed each other's military exercises.
You don't know that the Soviet Union's theory of great depth strategy came into being at this point in time, and it was supplemented and perfected after World War II.
And the blitzkrieg was also slowly extended in this period of time, but the German blitzkrieg was perfected faster than the Soviet Union's great strategic theory of depth, and there was no other reason, this was because of the Great Purge of the Soviet Union.
This cooperation ended in 1933, so why did it end?
Because at this point in time, Hitler came to power.
You don't know that before Hitler came to power, Soviet intelligence agencies conducted an investigation of Hitler.
Finally, in 1931, it was concluded that after Hitler came to power, military conflict between Germany and the Soviet Union was inevitable.
After all, is Nazi ideology resting there? It is also natural to draw such a conclusion.
Well, speaking of this, I would like to ask the big guys, in 1931 to reach such a conclusion, do you think the Soviets will not prepare a few backhands?
At this stage, the Soviet Union and France were getting closer.
Speaking of this, it is estimated that some friends will ask: "Why should France be close to the Soviet Union?" ”
Look at what you said, it feels like France would be nice not to dig a hole for the Soviet Union. France he is not stupid, the Soviet Union can detect the intelligence, France can detect it?
You must know that France is the most sensitive to changes in Germany, after all, the First World War, which tossed France badly, good bones are not scattered. If nothing else, let's talk about the reparations for the Treaty of Versailles, more than half of which were paid to France.
So France was very active in this matter, and the agreement between the Soviet Union and France was also quite tidy, and in 1935, there was also a "Soviet-French Mutual Aid Agreement", which was to prevent Germany.
Of course, this kind of agreement was not only with France, but also in Czechoslovakia.
Why? Before the outbreak of the Soviet-German war, this kind of joint agreement treaty was a lot of things, of course, it didn't work, it depended on the final result, and the result was that everyone saw it.
So why were the Germans able to start World War II?
Why? In Western countries, you have one to count, except for France and Britain, which one is bigger? The answer is that there is no one, one by one, weak and uncontrollable, and nothing can be done.
After all, the impact of the First World War has not been eliminated, and there is a financial crisis in the world.
France would have wanted to come out, otherwise it would not have signed an agreement with the Soviets, but the problem was that France's internal vigilance against the Soviet Union had not been eliminated, and the internal quarrels were endless, plus the bones of the First World War had also been broken, and the tone had not yet been reversed, and the financial crisis was also pressed enough.
So it's the British who can really talk, and the people who can talk enough, and the French have to follow the British.
So the big guys saw that before the outbreak of the Soviet-German war, before the Soviet Union and the Germans signed the Soviet-German Non-Aggression Pact, the Soviet Union and Britain and France had a long talk.
The content of the talk is actually to prevent the Germans.
We will not dwell on this in detail, but in general, the British are desperately fooling themselves with a policy of appeasement, and he is still thinking of the german dream of attacking the Soviet Union?
The whole negotiation process can almost be said to be insincere, at least the Soviets did not see the slightest bit.
To put it simply, if the Soviet Union were to resist Germany, it would need three hundred divisions, and if it were to unite you, the British and the French, it would mean that if you were to unite a hundred, he would not be able to do so, but he would be able to achieve seventy or eighty divisions!
As a result, the British helplessly told the Soviets: "We can come up with two divisions!" Of course, looking at the angry expressions of the Soviets, the British finally suggested: "Do you want to stop coming?" ”
Two divisions plus two more, this is the sincerity of the British.
In the end, the Germans and the Soviets signed the "Soviet-German Non-Aggression Pact", at this point in time, the Soviets are also rudderless, can only mean that the enemy of the enemy is his friend, otherwise according to the British thinking, the Soviets will have no friends, no friends, the German guns will not be guaranteed.
And one thing you have to notice is that when the Soviet-German Non-Aggression Pact was signed, the Soviets were still fighting with the Japanese in nomenkan?
The Soviets were also out of luck, so they signed the Soviet-German Non-Aggression Pact, which of course surprised the British and exploded.
So the Germans began to feel at ease, the disaster on the European continent, the French and the British finally failed to hold up the Maginot Line, to the point of staged the supposedly tragic retreat of World War II, the Dunkirk evacuation.
Well, let's get things done here first.
It is not difficult to conclude, then, that the Soviet Union has long been guarding against the Germans, and that it has been busy for more than a year or two.
In this busy process, the Soviets got disappointment, in fact, if the pattern before World War II, the Soviet Union and France, Britain in the early days united, the Germans could not jump.
You must know that when the Soviet Union and France and Britain talked about unification, the most anxious person was Hitler, who desperately sent a friendly message to the Soviet Union.
As a result, the British policy of appeasement united Germany and the Soviet Union.
So what preparations did the Soviet Union make in order to deal with the war that would break out between the Soviet Union and Germany later?
Let's pinch out for a year, the Soviet-German war began on June 22, 1961, and ended on May 8, 1945.
So what did the Soviet Union do in the previous years?
The first is their steel production, which in 1940 was approaching 20 million tons, pig iron reached 15 million tons, and oil reached 31.1 million tons, all of which were long.
These things are the raw materials of the war machine!
Then there is the material reserve, which grew from four billion rubles to seven billion rubles from the reserves of four billion rubles from June 1940 to June 1941.
This is nothing, they also adjusted the industrial layout, moving some industries in the west to the east, which is one reason why the Soviet Union was able to resume production quickly after the Germans invaded the Soviet Union.
Then there was the army, which in 1939 had a universal compulsory military service system, and by June 1941, there were more than 5.37 million troops in the navy, army and air force.
This is all preparation for war, and there has been a huge increase in aircraft, tanks, and ships.
On the eve of the war, the Soviets had arranged a total of one hundred and seventy divisions along their western borders.
What does this series of events illustrate? First of all, the First Point is that the Soviet Union understands the outbreak of war between the Soviet Union and Germany. The second point is that the Soviet Union was prepared for this war.
So the appearance of the big thunderstorm plan, that is, it is very likely, after all, the attack is the best defense, waiting to be beaten, which is the worst.
So why did the Germans fight the Soviet Union first?
The Germans were not stupid, and he understood the Soviets' intentions. In fact, at that time, the Germans had two choices, one was to cross the sea to fight Britain, and the other was to fight the Soviet Union.
Choosing one out of two, the Germans chose the Soviet Union. In fact, this is also expected, after all, to fight the British to cross the sea, the German army cattle, but the navy, you still don't mention, in addition to their submarine to give some force, it is really not OK.
But if you don't fight Britain, but besiege Britain, it's different, there are bombs in the sky, there are submarines in the sea, this is easy to do.
In Hitler's view, as long as England is consumed to the limit, he is not afraid that he will not surrender.
And the Soviet Union was his greatest enemy, and if Germany really fought the British, Hitler was most afraid of the Soviets sending troops to hit his big waist in the back garden.
So in contrast, of course, the Germans had to fight the Soviet Union.
And the Soviet Union? Waiting for a suitable opportunity, after all, the Germans showed that they wanted to fight Britain.
So, well, the result does not need to be said by the editor!