Musk recently said that in the future, China's total economic volume (GDP) may be 2 to 3 times that of the United States! Immediately triggered a heated discussion, some people basically agree that some even feel more than 3 times... In short, most of them are more excited. However, I think everyone should not be busy with themselves, this question still needs to be calmly considered?
To be honest, it is possible to believe that our future economy will surpass that of the United States, but it is even more different to be said by an American and well-known American (the richest man on earth), and some people may be more willing to believe this statement.
But I think Musk is smart because he's saying predictions about the "future" without being concrete, in other words, how long is the future? Compared with many people predicting that we will surpass the United States around 2028, his "future will reach 2 to 3 times that of the United States", which is very cunning, because this sentence is actually very abstract, and it makes others unable to pick it out, mainly to make americans say what he says.
The GDP of the United States this year is expected to reach about $22 trillion, if it is 2 to 3 times this figure, it is 44 to 66 trillion US dollars, and our total GDP last year was about 15 trillion US dollars, which is nearly 30 trillion US dollars away from 44 trillion US dollars, which is equivalent to 2 times that of last year, and if it is 66 trillion US dollars (last year's global GDP was only 78 trillion US dollars), it is an increase of more than 50 trillion US dollars. And this is still a static comparison, but in reality, the United States is unlikely to stagnate in the next few years.
At present, our per capita GDP is less than one-sixth of that of the United States, and if our per capita gdp can reach $50,000, that is, one-fifth of the United States, then the total amount can be almost three times that of the United States. But this is equivalent to the current per capita growth of 5 times, and we have obviously not yet reached that level of labor productivity and economic development. Therefore, we need to look at his expression calmly, in fact, when the GDP reaches a certain amount, such as more than 20 trillion or 30 trillion US dollars, its economic growth rate is not so high, and even stagnate, unless there is an industrial structure upgrade or scientific and technological innovation as a support and driving force.
In fact, Musk's saying this is not necessarily a good thing for us, as we all know, the one on the other side of the ocean now is aimed at us everywhere, and its first worry is to be surpassed, at least in the heart is very unhappy! In this way, it will have a great stimulus, which will make it even more open and secret. In fact, we would prefer a quiet development!