Today, the two cities collectively opened high, boosted by the weekend news, and the market sentiment in the morning was high. The Shanghai index quickly rushed higher after opening sharply higher, and the morning trend was dominated by oscillations around the tick moving average. In the afternoon, the shock fell back, and the collective gains of the three major stock indexes narrowed, rising more than 1% at one point in the morning. Meta-universe on the disk, cloud games, polyurethane, UHV, ByteDance, IP monetization and so on led the rise. Chemical fiber, power Internet building materials, construction machinery, coal, and consumer brewing mainly affected by the news in the industry have become a long camp. However, in terms of weight, the brokerage firm has fallen back after a sharp increase in the opening, which has become the key to today's market trend, and we have also emphasized the possibility of intraday rushing up and falling back in the afternoon review video. It is worth noting that today's market volume has been enlarged, indicating that the market has increased the pressure after the upward attack on the 3700 area, and on the K line, the gap has formed a yin line of rushing up and falling, revealing the upper pressure in the strong force.
【Hot funds】: Intraday northbound funds continued to net inflow of 5.366 billion, which has been the ninth consecutive trading day of net purchases. As of the close of the two cities, nearly 100 were up and down, and 4 were down. Funds are mainly active in the direction of meta-universe, cold chain logistics, UHV and so on.
【Market Interpretation】:The weekend news ushered in a heavy landing, and the market was looking forward to the clarity of policy guidance, which opened a high for today's market operation. Among them, securities companies have driven the major stock indexes to rise sharply under the expectation of the comprehensive registration system, and low-valued blue-chip varieties such as building materials and construction have been active. The consumer category, led by Moutai, is actively chasing funds in the direction of brewing, and the direction of science and technology has repeatedly risen with the assistance of themes such as the meta-universe.
From a technical point of view, after the recent Shanghai index has been continuously shorted, the 20 moving average has deviated, and today's stock index has reached a new high and then killed, indicating that the structural above is still selling pressure. At the same time, the 20MA of the 120-minute trend has formed a large deviation, the 60-minute MACD red column has a small top back, and the 30-minute MACD red column has also appeared a small top back, which will mean that the short-term structure will be adjusted at any time, and the Shanghai index will have a high probability of rebound repair, and it is not appropriate to chase up too much.
Overall, the recent rise in stock indexes is mainly due to the expectation of the landing of the weekend policy, which gives the market speculation confidence and space. The index has touched the structural pressure level within the year, especially from the weekly structure, the trend of the box during the year is obvious, above 3700 encountered resistance twice in the year, the area is larger than the pressure of the selling, and the early transaction of more than 800 billion is confirmed.
Therefore, after the intraday rush to fall back and form a gap high open yin line, then tomorrow the probability will usher in a correction, there will be a shock back to fill the gap, and the trend of correction will be the mainstream structure. The intraday market rotation is news-driven on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is mainly the logical presentation of the main line of policy. In particular, the rise of low-value blue chips, as well as the meta-universe, components, and intelligent manufacturing put down by scientific and technological innovation. Therefore, the main line of the market is gradually clear, and the focus is to rest assured that it must have the idea of the layout of the correction.
In short, there will be pullback pressure on the Shanghai index short-term near 3700 points, but the pullback will be a good opportunity for a positive layout of bargains. In addition, due to the full implementation of the registration system, the differentiation of individual stocks next year will be more serious, and the selection of individual stocks should remember to follow the main investment line of policy guidelines. Therefore, the short-term market is still dominated by the opportunity of low-valued blue-chip stocks, and the crowded track stocks that are stagnant at a high level still need to actively avoid risks, but the policy-driven new energy and scientific and technological innovation in the specialized new high-quality value stocks can still be paid attention to in the pullback.
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