Text | The main author of "The Little Prince of Real Estate" is Yi Lian
I once thought that buying Dingqiao was a winner in life.
Tinglan House opened several times before, and many people trusted the relationship to fall in advance. When the last issue opened, it crashed into the Hangzhou notary lottery. On July 18, 2018, 258 houses were launched, with a total of 2352 households registered, of which 877 were houseless families, with a winning rate of 11%.
In August 2019, Wulin Shangcheng was first opened, with an average price of 30200-34200 yuan / ㎡, 337 units, 4822 groups of family registration, the winning rate of 7%; in September of the same year, 125 units and 2638 groups of families were registered, with a winning rate of 4.74%.
Looking at the property market records, how surprising it is now, at that time, there were buyers who consulted: how to choose Tinglan Province and Willow County? And the problem was typical at the time.
The peak moment of Dante Bridge second-hand housing is not the third quarter of 2019, but the middle of the year a year ago. Looking back today, I really never expected that the ultra-low winning rate of new houses did not lengthen the market for second-hand houses.
Is the luck of life, is the sense of smell or good, in 2018, there is a group of Dingqiao investors dumped goods and left. "Wulin Jiuli, high-rise 108 square top floor, 3.89 million without parking spaces, converted to a unit price of nearly 37,000, less than two years." My friend looked proud: I was bought by a demolition household, which was bought by about 1.4 million at that time.
There are also a group of people who stick to Dingqiao, believe in Dingqiao, and many investors are so hesitant. However, after that time, the second-hand house in Dingqiao gradually withdrew from the hot search list of the property market step by step, and today it is no longer the queen of the topic.
When the landlord takes the initiative to reduce the price, when the receiver has to consider for a long time, this plate that was developing commercial housing as early as thirteen or fourteen years ago, this has been quite mature, and there will be a better residential area in the future, what is wrong? Dingqiao, which has not increased its price for two years, is there still an investor who cares?
Someone left a message saying: Dingqiao's landlord is a good Buddhist system, too much hype!
1
At the end of October, the second-hand house in Dingqiao added new recruits, and the current landlord Huanming Mansion was delivered.
The façade is gray, using stone + aluminum plate + large area of glass; the community is not large, and the supporting facilities are relatively scarce; however, the buildings have made an overhead layer, and there will be some reception areas, fitness areas, etc. in the future; Tianyang Property, property management in place.
▲Donghuan Famous Residence
Two ladders and two households, in fact, can achieve the effect of one ladder and one household, and some things can be placed in the doorway aisle. The rough delivery of the listing, the sense of space in the room is OK, and part of the area can be transformed.
In general, the quality of Donghuan Mingdi is at the middle and highest level in the Dingqiao area.
At present, Donghuan Mingdi has listed 37 sets on the shell network, and the rough listing price is generally 32,000-35,000 yuan / ㎡, which is 4,000-7,000 yuan / ㎡ higher than the average opening price at that time.
▲Some second-hand houses in Donghuan Mingdi
At first glance, the second-hand house price is not bad, and the upside-down price difference is also obvious.
But as long as you compare, you will find that it is still too cruel -
The new house is the same price point, and the benchmark second-hand community house price has rushed to 40,000+. Sandun North, seattle and free city in the same main urban area, 40,000 +. Even the second-hand house in Dajiangdong has been exposed to be almost 30,000.
You know, Donghuan Famous Residence is still the listing price, not the transaction price!
2
In the main urban area of Hangzhou, second-hand house prices have been caught up by more and more emerging plates, and have been far left behind by some plates of the same level, and Dingqiao second-hand houses are indeed not very competitive.
Not to mention 40,000 +, even 35,000 yuan / ㎡ can not be traded is a problem.
Mingjingtai and Wulin Jiuli, in Dingqiao are the two most expensive real estate projects for second-hand houses. Longhu development, Longhu property, by the buyer recognition is relatively high, high-rise transaction price is basically 34,000-38,000 / ㎡, specifically depending on the real estate and decoration.
The intermediary brother told me that last month, he sold a house with a famous observation deck of 89 square meters, full of two years, 6 floors, the landlord hardcover, the total price of 3.3 million, equivalent to a unit price of about 37,000 yuan / ㎡.
▲Famous Observation Deck
The price of CTS Chengshi Mansion and Sunshine City Feili Bay is slightly lower, basically around 32,000-35,000 /㎡.
I saw one of the most value-for-money houses in Phillips Bay recently. The construction area is about 88 square meters, the developer hardcover, less than two years, the landlord is selling urgently, the listing price is 2.7 million, equivalent to a unit price of 30505 yuan / ㎡.
Although the landlord is an urgent seller, but with the price of hardcover, it is really cheap. Now the price of hardcover new houses is higher than this.
▲Philippe Bay
To the east, it is the old Town of Dingqiao, and the price is cheaper——
Zhonghao Four Seasons Mansion, all stone dry hanging façade, unique temperament. 89㎡ housing, the listing price is basically around 2.70-2.8 million, and the unit price is between 30,000-33,000/㎡. Kunlun Tianlai was in a similar situation. Sometimes there will be very cheap listings, such as this set of 89 square meters, rough, high floors, listing price of 2.63 million, the unit price is only 29455 yuan / ㎡.
3
If you take the two time points in mid-2018 and now, the second-hand house prices of the entire Dingqiao plate basically do not fluctuate.
The middle of 2018 is the peak of Dingqiao——
The agent said: "At that time, there was no house for sale, and the good floor could not be picked at all." At the most exaggerated time, the unit price soared up to 40,000+. A 118㎡ bungalow in Wulin Jiuli was sold at a total price of 5 million yuan, with a unit price of 42,000 yuan / ㎡. The upper east of the core location of Dingqiao, 89 square meters with decoration of 3 million, 3.1 million have been sold, and the decoration of 3.2 million. Zhonghao Four Seasons Mansion 89㎡, 32,000 /㎡, 33,000/㎡ easy transaction.
In the second half of 2018, the market turned cold, and Dingqiao was full of owners who took the initiative to adjust prices. To use the popular phrase of the moment: there is no "house price control alliance".
2019 began to pick up a little bit, and now it is basically stable, almost the same as then, and may still not be as good as the most brilliant moment.
At present, on the shell network, the best products in the east are 89 square meters, most of which are within 3.05 million, and those who are well decorated are hung up about 3.1 million. The bungalows in Wulin Jiuli are listed at 38,000/㎡, and there are also those listed at 40,000/㎡. At least it shows that the price of bungalows is not so high at that time.
▲Upper East Part of the second-hand house
4
Why can't dingqiao's second-hand house prices go up?
First of all, Dingqiao (especially in the Changmu area) faces the same problem as Chongxian: Tianziling.
The agent told me bluntly: "Sometimes when it rains or rains, there is a little smell in the air. "It's not very serious, but some people care a little bit.
Second, there are too many affordable housing and resettlement housing, and the plate positioning is too rigid.
For example, in the area of Dingqiao Town, the Summer Palace, HouzhuJiayuan, Dingqiao Jingyuan North Garden, United New Garden, etc., account for about 60% of the number of houses.
▲Part of Dingqiao community
The living environment of resettlement housing is not as good as that of commercial housing, but it is better than the low price. The unit price is more than 20,000, and the small apartment type is less than 2 million, which can be done, attracting just need to buy a house.
In addition, there are many resettlement houses, and the flow of people is dense and chaotic. For some home buyers, it is also a problem.
Third, the product is not high-end enough to raise the banner of improvement.
The large apartments of Wulin Jiuli and Mingjingtai are very good to sell, mainly because these two products are good enough. In several other communities, small apartments are better to sell, and large apartments are basically not sold.
This shows that there are people in the sector who need to improve, but the product is not enough to attract them. Once the loss of home buyers is improved, the plate is just in need of buying a house, and the house price will be difficult to go up.
Fourth, dingqiao developed earlier, there was no new topic hype for a long time, and future expectations were missing.
Business is not lost in the downtown area, there are Dinglan Plaza and Wumart supermarket, kfc, Starbucks, Pizza Hut, Burger King, etc.; there are also many schools, Caihe Xiaodingxin Primary School, Caihe 2 Xiaodinghe Primary School, Caihe Middle School Dinghe Campus and so on.
But in the past two years, other areas have developed at a high speed, but Dingqiao has fallen silent.
▲ Dinglan Square
Fifth, there is a lack of consensus among investors, new houses do not attract too many investors, and there is no "price alliance" in second-hand houses.
The heat of the new house is not high, which already indicates that the second-hand house will be difficult to ship in the future. Only a few high-priced listings appear, and it is difficult to clap alone. Of course, for home buyers, this is a good thing, just to return the house to residential properties.
5
Dingqiao's positioning in the Hangzhou property market is a large residential area. Coupled with the relatively long development period, the expectation of the entire plate planning has been very limited.
However, I think that Dingqiao can still be included in the first choice for self-occupation for families who just need to be and first reformed. The next flashpoint of the plate is when more packages are cashed in.
About 210,000 square meters of Dingqiao Tianjie, has signed a contract with Bona Cinema and Yonghui Supermarket, and is expected to enter more than 260 brands, which will open in the third quarter of 2021. A sky street, changing a city, has been verified by multiple plates.
▲Dingqiao Longhu Tianjie under construction
Metro Line 3 runs through Xingqiao via Dingqiao, then to Wulin Square, and finally to the Future Science and Technology City and Xiaoheshan, which is expected to open in June 2022.
Not far from the northwest side of Jianding Road Station, about 200,000 square meters of Peach Blossom Lake Park is under construction, and the park will open as soon as next year.
Sam's Club is scheduled to open in December 2020.
We admit that we will envy those "leapfrog" developments, such as Sanjianghui, Asian Games Village, Future Science and Technology City, Gouzhuang, Xiaoshan Science and Technology City... But you have to fasten your seatbelts.
And like Ding Qiao, take it slowly, not in a hurry, "gradual" development, but do not make people anxious. At the foot of Gaoting Mountain, where there will be peach blossoms, there may be many deficiencies, but we have time to wait for it.