More than a year has passed, why hasn't Xiong'an started large-scale construction? Professor Tsinghua's article explains it thoroughly

According to the website of Hebei Tsinghua Development Research Institute, on July 22, Yin Zhi, a planning and design expert in Xiong'an New Area, made a report on the theme of "Xiong'an New Area Model and the Future of Urban and Rural Construction" for the guests with a profound and unique perspective at the "Tsinghua University Xiong'an New Area Planning and Construction Development Summit Forum". The following is the full text of the speech:

Good morning, I will talk about it first, and the confidentiality agreements I have signed since I participated in the planning of Xiong'an New Area have a large number of piles.

I'm sorry that I can't put any drawings today, nor can I put any of the books I've read, which are strictly regulated. So is there nothing to talk about in this case? I think there's still a lot to talk about.

So first of all, I want to talk about the topic of Xiong'an, as everyone knows that China has experienced 30 or 40 years of reform and opening up. As a populous country, China has not only followed a relatively successful and rapid path of industrialization in the past four decades, but also in terms of digital indicators, we have also followed a path of rapid urbanization. In a very short period of time, the theoretical level of national urbanization, from the early 20% of the early days of reform and opening up, has been raised to nearly 60% now, some are calculated to be 56%, some people say that 58% is about such a range, of course, this rapid industrialization and rapid urbanization process has also brought a lot of problems, and now it is summarized that there are several problems around rapid urbanization, and it is becoming more and more difficult to sustain. One is the high-intensity consumption of resources, from the reserve land resources, water resources in all aspects, on China's rapid and high-speed urbanization road can not go on. The second is the unsustainability of environmental quality, everyone may feel the same, the rapid improvement of environmental protection requirements in the past two years, and even the emergence of stormy environmental law enforcement, which is related to years of arrears and rapid changes in environmental quality, more and more public deterioration of environmental quality has reached the point of intolerable. Third, although we numerically speaking, most of the Chinese have entered the city, but they are not able to enjoy the qualified public service system of a modern city, which is a big question mark, if you really live a good life, you will not see all kinds of education difficulties, and so on a series of debates around the shortage of urban public services.

Perhaps the biggest apparent achievement is that we have indeed improved China's economic aggregates through the construction of a series of development zones, and the most iconic one here is Shenzhen, which has jumped from a small fishing village to a city with a population of tens of millions. The second is Shanghai's Pudong, which has changed from Songjiang County, opposite the bustling area of Puxi, to the rise of a new economic sector that is now at the same level as the traditional old Puxi, and even the total economic volume far exceeds that of Puxi. Well, thirty or forty years have passed. Xiong'an, will it be a new round of rise? Or will it be like Tianjin, the Binhai New City planned in the past, and finally end up without a disease. This is a very worthy question to think about in front of everyone.

The context of this topic has three levels. First, China's ordinary people vote with their feet, and they concentrate on regions with more economic opportunities, which is still an irresistible trend. The depopulation of Beijing's central city has no way to directly confront this general trend. China's population is concentrated in the most economically developed areas along the coast, to the most developed metropolitan areas in China, and to the central cities with the most employment opportunities, this trend is still very strong from the national statistics, and from the perspective of future projections, this trend will continue. So what's the problem? The problem lies in our traditional sense of concentration, which is to put too much economic momentum on a limited central urban area, so talking about relief now is not to say that Beijing does not need people, Hebei does not need people, but Beijing, the most central core city of the eight districts of the city, can not withstand so many people. To solve this problem, but also to release enough economic momentum, what to do? Judging from international experience and the law of urbanization development in the past one or two hundred years, it can only move from the development of a single central urban area to the coordinated development of a larger region. Of course, the scope of this region is also limited, to be relatively close to the central city, too far away is meaningless, can not say that Beijing several functions to go to Xinjiang, no one went. Therefore, within a limited scope, that is, within the scope of the economic region of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area, looking for new reserve resources to support the release of the overall economic momentum, to support the improvement of service levels, the coincidence was chosen in Xiong'an.

The second is the requirement of the general trend of regional coordination; the third is the series of real dilemmas in economic development and the dilemmas arising from some regional strategies adopted by Hebei Province in the previous period. The coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is not only proposed today, and it has been said for a long time, talking about the greater Beijing area and the development of the capital's economic circle, the voice of the academic circles has been at least thirty years now, and the consensus of high-level leaders can be formed, at least fifteen years. But in such a long period of time, the development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei in the actual implementation process has been swinging, there has not been a very clear landing policy, including Tianjin at that time to demarcate a Binhai New Area, he undertook the function of manufacturing, or crazy high-rise buildings, trying to engage in n CBD and Beijing to compete for high-end functions, there is a deviation in the construction, Yujiapu up to now, the building is built a lot, there are enough people inside? Are there enough real jobs? Hebei Province has also done some regional coordinated, strategic practices, including investment in the Bohai Rim region, Caofeidian area, and investment in Huanghua Port, trying to use the land of Hebei Province to form a new employment center and a new manufacturing center in the Bohai Rim region. At that time, Hebei Province proposed the Bohai Rim Strategy and also proposed a strategy around the capital, that is, to do real estate around the cities and counties around Beijing, and now we can see what kind of state its current development is. This round of site selection of Xiong'an New Area is determined, in addition to relieving the function of Beijing Central City, it is also the non-core part of the capital function of Beijing's main city. There is also how to make Hebei Province in Shijiazhuang Baoding jia Xiong'an such a city group, joint efforts to form a central rise of the benefits, this is from the perspective of the general trend. But the same is a circle of high-level painting, will it develop as well as Shenzhen and Pudong? It is still necessary to seriously study and observe carefully. The rise of Shenzhen is the impetus of the international macro pattern. At that time, China had just begun to open its doors, this area was close to Hong Kong, and his initial start was actually two ends outside, three to make up, and the processing industry was up. The economic momentum that has been suppressed for decades in China's history due to the abnormality of the institutional mechanism is released in an instant, so it is going with the trend.

Similarly, the rise of Pudong is also an act of going with the flow, which is the era when the international situation of China's economy is the best, and it is also the era when the internal system and mechanism are the most active. This era is very different from now, we all know that China's macroeconomic situation has been declining in the past two years, and the three carriages that we have traditionally relied on to drive macroeconomic growth have basically gone downhill in an all-round way, especially after the start of this trade war. Compared with that year, the state or the grass-roots people are good, and the demand for environmental quality is also rising, so the pattern of institutional mechanisms, especially in the past decade, is relatively depressing. It does not encourage further exploration and innovation in the system and mechanism, and even does not encourage the government's responsibility, until the central government has spoken in recent days to see some improvement trends, then Xiong'an is not in a favorable time and the best time compared with these large new cities and new areas in that year. This is also why two years have passed, and so far it has not moved, because many things have not been figured out, and I do not want to cause more waste because of hasty decisions. In such a general situation of going against the trend, I am afraid that the construction of Xiong'an is indeed not as everyone imagines, and construction will be started in a few months and completed in a few years. Its construction cycle and the process of truly forming a mature urban new area where popularity gathers and economic activities gather, is longer than the general national new area and requires more patience.

There is another reason why Xiong'an is slow to move, that is, its ontological conditions are relatively poor. In terms of transportation, this land is not on the node of the large-scale transportation network at the national level that was planned in the past. The adjustment of the operating network of all the major railways, the adjustment of the system of highways, and the establishment of such a large-volume transportation connection with The Baoding Shijiazhuang in Beijing, Tianjin, many of them have to open up new paths. It is necessary to have a new site selection and the construction of a new technical project to solve this problem. The same site selection does not occupy farmland. But everyone who lives in Hebei Province knows that as long as the land around Baiyangdian is not flooded every year, the people will definitely cultivate it. Once in three or five years, as long as a year's crop, the cost can be earned back. Why has no one ever cultivated this land? Because the land is very low-lying, for perennial flood levels, it is 8 to 9 meters low. If it is a small real estate, it is ok to fill in one fill and make up. Imagine that this is a hundred square kilometers of new city, most of the land is in the current state, then it needs a lot of engineering treatment to be able to make this construction land more secure, to solve his flood control problem to solve his waterlogging problem, not to build a flood control embankment so simple. Involving the overall water system of Baiyangdian, the treatment of the water system under normal circumstances also involves the combing of the large water system under the flood situation, and it is necessary to find a way to solve the problem of flood control in this hundred square kilometers, because this water system and the Haihe River system are linked together, and the unified coordination with the Haiyang River system requires a large water conservancy project, so that the water quality of Baiyangdian itself can be solved for a relatively long time. These also take time.

The same disadvantages in this area also include that the administrative division of Hebei Province is of course relatively small, and if you take it out on the map, all the areas of the gathering points in Hebei Province are like sprinkling sesame seeds at the township level and to the village level. Therefore, there are very few absolute open spaces that can really be found in Hebei. It is related to the small administrative division of Hebei Province at the time of the founding of the People's Republic of China. If you look up history, you will know that at the time of the founding of the People's Republic of China, most of our county chiefs and township chiefs were soldiers who had fought in wars and turned to take on the responsibilities of the government. Everyone wants to be closer to the central authorities, and how to arrange so many cadres who want to be closer to the central authorities. The idea of Hebei Province was played, and the administrative divisions of Hebei Province were cut as small as possible to accommodate as many cadres of the same level as possible to take root here. Therefore, if you compare the national map, you know that the administrative division of Hebei Province is all the administrative divisions in the country, with the township as the unit, and the county as the unit is the smallest, and he is a dense sesame cake. Here we want to free up a relatively complete piece of land to build a new city, which exists in a huge demolition and resettlement. Involving the resettlement of a few hundred thousand, more than 300,000 people, of course, this kind of resettlement in addition to providing relatively complete and sufficient land resources for the new city, there is also a very important is to ensure and enhance the overall ecological level of Baiyangdian. The small scattered scattered of this regional settlement and the small scattered chaos of the low-end industrialization that accompany it are associated with each other.

These two problems cannot be effectively solved, and the effect is to build a mansion in the garbage heap, which will not achieve the series of high standards proposed by the central government for this new city. Xiong'an's slowness and the difficulty of starting now are related to the series of issues I talked about earlier, of course, around this issue, dozens of expert groups of various expert groups have also done a lot of work in the past two years, and there are dozens of special topics of study. At least from the theoretical derivation, gradually began to form some problem-solving plans, and also began to do some small-scale engineering pilots to verify the effectiveness of some technical plans in the future implementation, but in general, it is indeed not as fast as everyone thinks. Then from the construction timing, it will not be like the original we did in the new city, play a grid, sell the land, and then everyone will flock to it, within a few years we can work dozens of square kilometers. Judging from its timing, I am afraid that in the next year or two, three things will be done before large-scale urban development and construction. The first is the reorganization and reconstruction of the transportation network, which may have started as early as the transportation hub of this big country railway organized by Zanggang in Xiongxian County. Because whether this station can be completed quickly determines whether its subsequent series of transportation networks connected to it can start construction and play a role as soon as possible. The second is environmental governance, Baiyangdian's current water quality is inferior between the five categories and the inferior four categories, such a water quality situation, Lindian city, painted on the map is a very beautiful landscape, but the real feeling of the scene may be very different from this. It is necessary to spend a relatively large price to do water quality treatment and restore the overall ecological function of Baiyangdian. Only after generally having relatively good background conditions can it be possible to enter a period of large-scale construction. The third problem is that in the past two years, there has been a lot of talk and the relief of Beijing's functions, which is probably also a very key to the success or failure of the construction of Xiong'an New City in the future. What exactly is the solution? Whether it is an administrative order-type relief or a market-guided relief, our country has done this kind of administrative order-type relief in the process of construction history, and it is not called evacuation in the past. This has been done several times, but none of the attempts have really achieved the purpose of evacuation or evacuation, including the large third line and the small third line during the Cultural Revolution. Evacuation projects done by militarized means were quickly wiped out after they were opened and opened. Most of them have returned to their original locations, to the most developed areas. There are many, many issues to be discussed here, such as the university's relief. If a college can't be done well in a big city, can you move him to a new wilderness and he can achieve more? A scientific research institute has no good development in a comprehensive urban ecology, can you move him to a compound in isolation, and it can make greater progress? There are many more of these problems that are worth studying.

Last year, when we consulted on this aspect, we did a similar topic, that is, how to use the opportunity of relief to dock more open international resources, so that this relief can be linked to future and high-quality development. For example, speaking of hospitals, there are indeed many large hospitals in Beijing that need to be relieved, because from its real operation, more than half of the patients are from all over the country, not a community hospital serving the grass-roots level in Beijing, it is such a national super large specialized hospital, then from the international experience, this super large-scale specialized hospital will bring a very large population, it brings not only the patient population, There is also a very large rehabilitation industry after the end of the treatment and medical process, a service industry, and a variety of supporting facilities that provide services for the patient's family. Building new national or highly specialized medical centers away from the metropolitan areas has been very successful in the United States and Europe. The problem that this brings us is that Beijing relieves a hospital to go out. If it is according to the current system, the current hospital operation model, saying that I am here is a hospital of two thousand beds, there are a series of national area indicators requirements, I moved over unchanged. There is not much value and significance, and the various problems that have occurred in Beijing operations will also appear in Xiong'an. So how to dock a more advanced international medical model, how to dock a set of truly international medical advanced models from treatment to rehabilitation to follow-up health tracking services, I am afraid that before the relief, we must study thoroughly, we must understand.

This is just one type of case, similar to a company headquarters moved out, what is the purpose? Is it just a change of office location? If it cannot be combined with a series of new, more open and inclusive policies given by the central government to the Xiong'an New Area, and cannot be connected with our country's Belt and Road strategy and China's strategy of trying to lead globalization, then the relocation of this headquarters may not have a real purpose and will not have a real effect. Then similar to this kind of problem different experts are doing more in-depth research, from scientific research institutes, universities, large company headquarters and large medical treatment, etc., in general, I still hope that this time the relief is not a simple executive order plan. Because if you really do this, in the current society can not be done, it is likely to form a reverse elimination of talents, for example, a large state-owned enterprise leads a large company headquarters, the chairman can be from the perspective of political correctness, pat my head and say that I can move immediately, but it is likely that half of the best employees of this enterprise will resign in an instant, and he can find another high position, and what he takes away may be the guinea pigs accumulated in this company, without innovation ability. Because he can't live without the company, he has no possibility of re-employment in the market. Therefore, everyone will see that these problems actually involve deeper problems in the construction process of Xiong'an New Area, it is not a simple new city construction, let alone a real estate development that seeks wealth with land, it involves the breakthrough of many institutional mechanism contradictions accumulated in the process of reform and opening up in the past thirty or forty years, and further in-depth solution. So instead of saying that Xiong'an New Area is a beautiful blueprint, especially in the construction of many of the people here, you may see more of a beautiful performance map of Xiong'an, but in essence, this performance map is not important at all. What is important is that behind this map can support a series of major changes in the system and mechanism that can support it in the future, why has Xiong'an's further in-depth planning been delayed? Many of the policy factors that have undergone in-depth changes in the system and mechanism have not yet been determined to be directly related. For example, what to do with the land of Xiong'an, everyone knows. He said that he would no longer take the road of making money from the land and the land finance, but have you ever thought about what other road you can take besides this road? Which roads are painting bread to fill the hunger, and which roads can really be walked, this is a very deep problem of China's land system reform. What to do about the future of state-owned land property rights, how to achieve the central government and local governments and actual users, a pluralistic and win-win situation, what to do with collective land in the future, including shouting in the media that it is easy to be homogeneous and equal rights, but whether it is really the case to operate, here may always involve the adjustment and revision of some major laws and regulations of our national land law, then Xiong'an is a high-standard future-oriented millennium city, and it is also a very good experimental field for the reform of institutional mechanisms. In this regard, we will try various ways to resolve some very deep-seated and relatively acute problems accumulated in the reform and opening up in the past three or four decades. I think that's why all the participants up to now have worked in a way that is very similar to the underground party of the past, not to say a word, because many things are highly sensitive and may involve the practical interests of many people. If this information is released at this stage that is not fully prepared, it may bring a lot of bad market hype and bring a new round of speculation in a hurry, which is my understanding of Xiong'an's current state.

Of course, Xiong'an's future value is not worth looking forward to, it is still worth looking forward to. Especially for your construction project-based enterprises, there are many new technical ideas here, and technical standards will be explored and implemented in the new city, which is generally concentrated in several aspects: First, this region will implement the most stringent green building standards in China's history, which is probably not covered by the current one-two-three-star standards of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development. This standard is also being pushed forward in conjunction with a wide range of international teams. Maybe Xiong'an will create four stars and five stars for China's green construction in the future. It will also continue to introduce some hardware standards that are generally in line with international standards through international cooperation. And this kind of green construction will certainly not be like the original hammer deal, check whether your design is green, point a little equipment list is not green, he may penetrate into the entire industry chain link, need a lot of operational assessment and post-evaluation to test the actual effect; the second is related to the smart city, you may go to visit the civic center, here some tried, but because the scale is very small basically smart building. Here now many official communication companies such as China Mobile, Telecom, and Unicom have gone in, and then Xiaomi, Tencent, and Jack Ma have also opened branches here. His initial stage, first of all, the formation of a domestic current level of the highest level, the highest density is also the highest information network, can effectively collect several types of information in this area, the first with the environment-related information, that is, he will enter a real-time according to the city grid to report a variety of physical indicators and chemical indicators every day, to achieve a high-density fine particle size environmental monitoring and monitoring.

The second is information about energy, which is a high-intensity energy IoT community. Everyone always says that to develop renewable energy, China has indeed not engaged in wind power and photovoltaics in recent years, why does he not use it well? In fact, it is a problem of adapting to the network. In addition to technical, such as energy storage problems, there are some bottlenecks, more is the network of the allocation problem, to put it bluntly, our network system is not intelligent enough, there is no way to cope with the unstable energy supply. Neither light nor wind is a stable energy source, it is sometimes a little stronger and sometimes a little weaker. Our push network system can not respond to it in real time, so many wind and light-guided energy can not be on the grid, or can not effectively connect the Internet, and the traditional energy can not form a good matching relationship. This problem in Xiong'an New City is currently to focus on the breakthrough of the key research, that is, to form a domestic best energy Internet of Things system, to achieve effective coordination between renewable energy and traditional energy. Of course, it is also hoped that unconventional energy will account for a higher proportion in the future, including wind, light, electricity and so on. Now some small experimental projects have been groping for the laws of this field, hoping to form a relatively good accumulation of technical experience before large-scale occupancy, rather than finally taking the people and enterprises who actually enter the park as experimental products. The third is this wisdom system related to the flow of people and logistics, living in the current society as long as you have electronic components, as long as you use no matter what card, your life is electronic traces. For the comprehensive collection and analysis of these electronic traces, if used well, it will have great convenience benefits. From the basic health management of individuals, to shopping habits, to all aspects, it can establish a relationship between the market and individuals with accurate demand identification and accurate effective supply. Then for the government, it can also get more technical support from grass-roots community governance to the transformation of the governance model of large and medium-sized cities.

But as you know, all technology is a double-edged sword. When your personal information is overexposed, it may also give many ill-intentioned people all kinds of opportunities, and in China, this problem has become very serious, where does so much of our accurate electronic information come from? It's also from here. So how to make good use of various spatial location information, trajectory information, communication information, and transaction information in such a highly information-based society, while suppressing the prevention of digital crimes, is also a very difficult challenge in this highly intelligent new area, so Xiong'an also needs to do a lot of in-depth research in this field. Including a recent fashionable word called blockchain technology, we don't think it's just Bitcoin, just the hype of this virtual electronic currency, it's just Bitcoin using blockchain technology. Blockchain is future-proofing a brand new, traceable, highly credit-based Internet technology. We now have a lot of the Internet is actually irreversible, you don't know who is using that computer, after he has used all kinds of interference means, he can't even determine whether this machine is at home or overseas. But now a new generation of Internet technology and the rise of blockchain technology, it is possible to achieve point-to-point and accurate identification of information flow. Therefore, many countries are very concerned about this, and he will rebuild a set of corporate credit systems, individual citizens' credit systems and the government's credit system on this basis, so that the government's data fraud is no longer possible, so that all kinds of fraud can be minimized on the Internet. These things may be realized in Xiong'an first in the future.

Including China's gradual restrictions on private cars in recent years, we have begun to realize that As a populous country, if we want to achieve the number of motor vehicles in other developed countries, I am afraid that all cities in the country will become parking lots. Then the bus priority, the diversified use of public transport tools will also be promoted in the Xiong'an New Area. At present, if I remember correctly, the future vision of Xiong'an New City is that 80% of its internal transportation, the traffic between the group and the group and the traffic within the group, are to be solved by public transportation, and the amount of development opportunities for the car he retains is very small, but is not a set of bus systems that can hit the world? China's research in the field of public transportation is still far from in place, for example, everyone knows about building subways. The simplest concept, the subway should be divided into long station distance and short station distance two types to repair, long station distance to solve the connection between the region, is the long distance city group connection. While the short station distance solves the daily, commuting, short and medium distance commuting links. And Beijing has built so many subways, until now has not established this concept of normal division of labor, on the city 500 meters a station distance has run to the far suburbs or 500 meters away from the station. A lot of it is wasted, and the speed cannot be improved. Will there be rail transit between Xiong'an and Beijing in the future? Will there be rail transit with Baoding Shijiazhuang? What is the nature? How should the internal rail transit be solved? This includes transfers between public transport of different speeds and capacities, including transfers between non-motorized vehicles and motor vehicles. It has always been a weakness in the design of our bus system, and whether Xiong'an can make a breakthrough in this field is also doing various technical solutions. At the same time, it also tries to solve a series of problems brought about by the large-scale functional partitioning of large cities, and since China learned from the Soviet Union in the 1950s, most of our cities have followed the pattern of large-scale partitioning. For example, Beijing, the original southeast suburbs of the industrial zone, Shijingshan District is an industrial zone, the northwest suburbs are scientific research and cultural areas, and so on. It is all large-scale partitioning, about three or five hundred thousand people in the city is barely acceptable, when the city of millions of people or even tens of millions of people of the city is actually a very fatal thing, will bring a lot of long-distance traffic. Why can't Beijing solve the congestion problem at such a cost? Because he has no chance to make large-scale land use adjustments. This pattern of large divisions has been set, and this pressure can only be alleviated through an increasingly strengthened transportation network, so the cost is very high.

In Xiong'an New City, such a practice will obviously be abandoned. The use of moderate-scale grouping, high-intensity comprehensive land use, so that everyone's daily life circle can be compressed in an effective and more comfortable range. For example, by bicycle, fifteen minutes can not reach the place of employment. Daily living, employment, shopping, entertainment, can not solve the problem in a relatively small space, and a substantial reduction of long-distance commuting and long-distance transportation, at least from the current progress, the use of moderate group, highly mixed land model. There is also an exploration that is also worth looking forward to, that is, the integration of the city and the integration of industry and city. The integration of industry and city is more understood by everyone, and it has been tossed for several years, of course, there are different integration models. Related to the format of specific industries, the integration of station city is the worst in China for so many years. Our traffic yards are basically independent, including the first round of bidding made by the State Railway, which is generally not optimistic about experts. Still walking the old road of our traditional railway station, take a train station as a landmark building. Be magnificent, beautiful, cool. But the people here are very uncomfortable, if you have gone abroad to see the railway stations in developed countries, go back and look at ours, Beijing West Railway Station, Beijing South Railway Station. Although Beijing South Railway Station has made progress, it is still far from international standards. His form looks more dazzling and cooler, but the actual service function has not been greatly improved, the station area and the industrial area that can be developed around the station has no organic connection, it is basically an island-type station, and now Xiong'an, several major hub stations that have made up their minds will use the method of industry and city integration. If anyone has been to Japan, the image of the station city integration, such as the Oita Railway Station, Kyoto Railway Station, are very typical station city integration, it undertakes a very efficient transportation function, transfer function, but also assumes the function of the city center node. A large number of offices and businesses will form an effective gathering in this area, which will be very noteworthy in the early stage of the construction of Xiong'an.

I am afraid that what everyone needs to pay more attention to and look forward to is the innovation and reform of institutional mechanisms in addition to the innovation of these spatial environments. I can't say the conclusion, but I will talk about some of the things that are currently being discussed, such as what will happen to the land supply in the future? Now some people are discussing that land is not sold to you, you can call it renting first and then buying, but it is completely renting first and then buying. For example, if I pay a very low annual rent for a piece of land, I can start to do construction and start to introduce enterprises. So in the future, what will be assessed year by year? It is assessed according to the standard of the format. This format is not in line with the country's industrial policy, has no innovation, what is the proportion of the population structure attracted, and how many stable tax sources can be provided every year? A policy system with innovation as the core and stable and long-term tax source cultivation as the core. After many years of assessment, the effect is good, can this piece of land be given to you once and for all, or I will reduce the rent, if the assessment is not good, how can I increase the rent? These things may be completely different from the development mode that everyone is used to, land hooking, enclosure, and buying land. There are several options under discussion, but there is no conclusive thing yet. As can be seen from this example, there may be deeper changes, and we expect that there will be no more leasehold land.

What we call land now is the rent of the land. I paid the land rent for ten years, twenty-five Chinese New Year's Eve forty years or even seventy years at a time, and Xiong'an will not use this method to transfer the land, and the possible way may be to solve this problem by the annual rent plus the assessment of the efficiency of the land. So similar, including how to use collective property rights land, how to achieve the normal entry of collective land into the market, and the design rules of the market, can not too much hurt and deprive the original land holders of the interests, and can no longer be like the original government thirty or fifty thousand acres from the hands of peasants to expropriate land, and then transfer to the financial market, millions of acres, the huge profits transferred to industrial assets, transferred to real estate assets, transferred to other industry assets, this road will not go this way, Other ways will be taken to explore this issue, but there is no conclusion as to how far we can go. I know that in the near future, in a month or two, the ministries and commissions of the central government and the relevant State Council will also issue several more important documents on the further reform and opening up of Xiong'an and Hebei Province, which may be related to this matter.

The last problem is that Xiong'an is defined by the central government as a millennium plan to achieve high-quality growth. This kind of high-quality growth is high-quality growth under the premise of green, high-quality growth under the premise of innovation, and high-quality growth under the premise of institutional reform. Creating Xiong'an quality is not a simple problem of building standards and building quality improvement, and even in a sense, it will be considered here at the end. The planning of Xiong'an New Area, let's not say how to say a thousand years, because what remains unchanged for a thousand years is that the climate will not change, the big hydrology will not change, the large mountain-shaped water system will not change, and many other things will still change. The current goal is divided into two stages, one is to take 2035 as a node, and the other is 2050, which is completely consistent with the report of the political blueprint of the 19th National Congress. By 2035, the core area plate is 100 square kilometers, plus the outer plate, a total of about 300 square kilometers of area, will be basically formed. Then by 2050, on the basis of the basic formation of construction, a relatively modern format with innovation as the core can be formed. Where's the game here? It is this future Xiong'an achievement, whether it comes from pure government leadership, or under the leadership of the government by the protagonist of the market to build, this is the most fundamental game. Because when some irresponsible media hype Xiong'an, they are eager to hype Xiong'an into a future communist experimental zone, a communist paradise with a large package from the central government. The central government has a clear statement in this regard, and it will not use the central finance to smash the flowers in a greenhouse, which is meaningless. Because Xiong'an has a strong exemplary role, it is to find a new way of development for China's urbanization in the next thirty to fifty years after the collapse of land finance. Then this way must be a way to get the approval of the market and investors. Because this matter is very troublesome, we involved experts will be warned repeatedly, in addition to the news sent on the website of the management committee and the few messages rarely seen in the CCTV media are true, scattered on a variety of real estate websites, construction enterprise websites, and some of the Ministry of Civil Affairs is not registered at all, the website of the association, the news about Xiong'an, basically 100% false. A few sentences of his content may have been copied from the central outline approval, and 80% of the specific content is false. This is the most embarrassing place for Xiong'an now. By 2035, if this region cannot be recognized by the market, if it cannot attract investment from all over the world, it will mean a comprehensive collapse and failure of the construction of this new area. Whether it is a strong control policy, or a relatively weak control policy, whether it is the establishment of more policy thresholds for stacked bed frame houses, or "let the bullets fly for a while" more summary and improvement in practice, these high quality comes from increasingly complex government regulations, that is, the government's hand is very long. Again, simplifying the overall cost of governance and putting more things on the market, using economic leverage and other strategic levers to raise construction quality standards, this is in the process of discussion and controversy, but I believe that this is the beginning of some public security systems, large regional transportation systems, and the government will not completely let go. He will provide the role and support he should assume, but in addition to this part of the public finances that the government must invest, he will certainly take a path of further opening up the market. Not only is this market open to domestic investor builders, but it is also repeatedly emphasized that it is developed globally. Moreover, in the introduction of more market roles, through the run-in between them, stimulate new innovation capabilities, produce new social governance models, new government-business relations, new corporate power divisions, new government rights, citizens' rights and interests and the balance of market rights and interests, in these few very important points, Xiong'an has just begun to do work, and try to gradually find answers through streamlined top-level design and more rolling exploration in practice. Therefore, since it is a thousand-year plan, it is not a thing that is quick to achieve quick success, it is not a thing that can be achieved overnight, and it is not a gift project. It is a gradual need to be patient, while at the same time to be determined. Because everything we do is after the reform has entered the deep water area, we must have patience, determination, and determination. Only in this way can we finally accomplish this thing in Xiong'an.

The demarcation of Xiong'an New Area is the trend of the times, and there is nothing wrong with it from the general trend. Second, from the perspective of the current situation, at what point in time to do this, it is more back, did not catch up with a good time, and Shenzhen and Pudong than it is indeed more back in current affairs. Third, the standard is very high, the new technology and new model are bold, and the technical plan is a lot, and the current stack is higher than mine. All kinds of technical standards, all kinds of industry associations are doing, but this thing does not determine the future, or it does not occupy an absolute share here, what can really promote Xiong'an's take-off is the central government to Xiong'an's exploration rights in the system and mechanism, and give him a relatively loose exploration space in history. Its fault tolerance will be very good, but while it is fault tolerant and exploratory, it will also have policy instability for a long time, because it is tossed out by feeling the stones and crossing the river, and it will not necessarily be so stable. There may be some big principles that have been set, and there will be left and right swings in the details, and there will be adjustments. Therefore, we should be careful when making medium- and long-term market forecasts. Then there is another one, it will be different from any new district built in our country in the past few decades, and everyone knows how our traditional new area does it. After the government made up its mind to set aside a piece of land, it said that after two years of formation, there were many tens of square kilometers in the end. But Xiong'an will certainly not take such a construction road, it will be built relatively slowly, will be carefully carved, and will continue to explore the land use system, property rights system, government-business relations, government-enterprise relations and short-term economic benefits and long-term public service guarantees, long-term population quality improvement, and so on in every construction process, the development process of each group, and constantly explore the land use system, property rights system, government-enterprise relations, as well as short-term economic benefits and long-term public service guarantees, long-term population quality improvement, and so on a series of complex relationships of reorganization and reconstruction. One of the more realistic estimates is that there may be several groups around transportation hubs, around specific professional plates, about one or two square kilometers of this scale. Small demonstrations or experimental areas come out first. Then there will be larger builds. This is probably a model of a very subversive picture of the traditional new area. Finally, the central government's requirements for it are undoubtedly super high-quality, but whether this high quality can be recognized by the market and whether it can get good cost performance is to be tested in practice. It's really not a paper thing, well, I'll talk about that today. Thank you. (Hebei Tsinghua Development Research Institute)