Text/Junjian
Although the war in Afghanistan ended in the defeat of the United States, the Taliban also won a crushing victory, and afghanistan is now a mess left by the United States. Sources say that nearly 10,000 militants have poured into Afghanistan in the past few months, and the Taliban are now at risk of civil war, and the United States may once again take advantage of the opportunity.
(Taliban)
According to foreign media sources, as early as a few months before the WITHDRAWAL of the United States, the United Nations reported that 8,000 to 10,000 militants from Central Asia and other places flowed into Afghanistan, these people are basically extremists and have an intricate relationship with the "Islamic State". For the Taliban, these extremists lurking inside Afghanistan are time bombs and fuses, and the Taliban are in dire need of a stable environment, but the Islamic State itself is a hidden danger, the Taliban are trying to fight them, but if the Islamic State gathers new armed forces, the Taliban may face another difficult civil war.
(Streets of Afghanistan)
Recently, the Islamic State has given the Taliban a surprise attack. On 8 October, a massive bombing in Kunduz province was caused by a suicide attack in a crowded mosque area that affected people worshipping at the scene, killing at least 55 people and injuring more than 140 others. In other words, the cumulative number of casualties reached more than two hundred. Immediately after the incident, the Islamic State declared itself responsible, which is clearly the latest provocative signal from the Taliban.
(It is said that this is the scene of the explosion)
At present, the Taliban is already working hard to carry out operations against the Islamic State, but the Taliban is not willing to accept US intervention. From the 9th to the 10th, the Taliban sent high-level representatives to Doha to have face-to-face dialogue with the negotiating team sent by the United States, and the two sides discussed the Doha agreement, bilateral relations, lifting the sanctions freeze, and providing assistance. However, the atmosphere was very awkward, and the Taliban warned the United States not to interfere in the situation in Afghanistan and made it clear that it would not cooperate with the United States in the fight against the Islamic State. The United States also claimed that the talks were only contacts, but did not represent a change in attitude in Washington.
(Taliban spokesperson)
It can be seen that the United States and the Taliban still do not trust each other, and the Taliban would rather face the challenge themselves than lead the wolf into the house again. No matter how strong the Islamic State is, it is still within the scope of what the Taliban can deal with. But if the Americans are allowed to return to Afghanistan, the Taliban will be "not human inside and out." Moreover, the 20-year war in Afghanistan by the United States has brought nothing more than killing and chaos. Many Afghans believe that the United States is not here to help them at all. Therefore, there is no need for the Taliban to consider cooperating with the United States in the fight against the Islamic State.
(Afghans evaluate the United States)
However, the Taliban are facing a complex situation on their own, and the pressure is also very high. As noted above, if the Islamic State colludes with the 10,000 extremists pouring into Afghanistan, the Taliban will face serious security challenges. Moreover, the Taliban now face more than that, the Taliban are "poor and white", not only to rebuild the country, but also to ensure the livelihood of tens of millions of Afghans. More than 10 million Afghans now face the threat of famine, and millions more suffer the consequences of the collapse of the health care system, according to UN statistics. The economic blockade imposed on the Taliban by the Us-led Western countries has further exacerbated the situation. If Afghanistan is once again plunged into chaos or even civil war because of these problems, the Taliban will be in a difficult situation, and the West may once again take advantage of the situation.