Source: Huaxia Graticule
Huaxia Jingwei Network, November 4: According to Taiwan's "China Times News Network", the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation released the latest poll on the 2nd, and when faced with the mainland's armed solution to the Taiwan issue, only 1 in 1 percent believed that the Tsai authorities were very well prepared, and at the same time, 60 percent of the people believed that war would not break out between the two sides of the strait. You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, pointed out that Taiwan is facing a situation similar to that before the "London Bombing" in World War II? Why are Taiwanese nerves so big? However, You Yinglong also put forward a 3-point analysis, pointing out that the Taiwanese people still have deep hidden worries about the cross-strait war.
You Yinglong said on Facebook on the 3rd that Taiwan is facing a situation similar to that before the "London Bombing" in World War II? Such an association obviously comes from the beginning of October for four consecutive days, when various PLA military aircraft entered the southwest region of Taiwan in a large number of times, with 56 sorties in a single day, a total of 150 sorties, breaking the historical record.
You Yinglong found that even though as many as 680 PLA military planes of various types entered Taiwan's "air defense identification zone" in October, Taiwanese people still live a normal life, and the vast majority of people do not worry about a day when the two sides of the strait will start a war. Is such a clear public opinion response reasonable? Why are Taiwanese so insensitive? Why are Taiwanese nerves so big? Have Taiwanese become "cooked frogs"?
After analyzing the results of the polls, You Yinglong pointed out that the overwhelming majority of Taiwanese people are calm and right about the recent sharp rise in military affairs in the Taiwan Strait, which is likely to be based on traditional wisdom, based on the experience of the past few decades, and the hostility between the mainland and major countries in the world headed by the United States in recent years, and the international community has paid unprecedented attention to the situation in the Taiwan Strait. Won't play really," in a word, Taiwanese are not intimidated."
However, You Yinglong believes that from three aspects, the Taiwanese people still have very deep hidden worries about the cross-strait war once they start:
First, when the mainland resolved the Taiwan issue by force, less than half of the adults in Taiwan society had confidence in the Taiwan military's ability to effectively defend Taiwan, and those who did not have confidence were only 1.6 percentage points less than those who had confidence, which was undoubtedly a serious crisis of confidence. I would like to ask you, less than half of the adults in a place are confident in the military's defensive capabilities, once the two sides of the strait go to war, how will the war continue? Except for the United States entering the war.
Second, if a war breaks out between the two sides of the strait, 50 percent of Taiwanese over the age of 20 basically agree that pro-China forces in Taiwan may be a major problem. This reveals that there is a widespread and deep worry within Taiwan society, which can be called the "anti-Shi Lang complex," fearing that once the two sides of the strait go to war, the movements of pro-China forces on the island will cause problems and troubles that are difficult to solve on the island. This is both a question of historical remnants and a living question of realpolitik.
Third, in the face of the mainland's possible use of force to resolve the Taiwan issue, most Taiwanese adults do not believe that the Tsai administration is fully prepared, especially among young, highly educated people.
You Yinglong said bluntly that Tsai Ing-wen, as the supreme leader of the Taiwan region, should have honestly explained to the whole people the real threat facing Taiwan, how the Tsai authorities are facing and responding to this threat, and the sacrifices and costs that may be required to deal with this threat. But to put it flatly, Tsai Ing-wen and her "ruling" team have done very little, so that most people have the unfortunate conclusion that "the Tsai authorities are not fully prepared in the face of the mainland's possible solution to the Taiwan issue by force."