All along, everyone has always been worried, including xiaobian, once the "wanderers go home" and "reconquest war" start, they are worried that our maritime energy (oil) channel, the Strait of Malacca, will be blocked, and they are worried that there will not be enough oil.
Some netizens said that they would not drive to work, some said that they would ride bicycles, and some said that they would not block and then drive when they recovered, saving energy in various forms, supporting "wanderers to go home" and "recovering wars", and the enthusiasm before supporting them was high.
But after communicating with a friend who does car fuel, what he said has a certain truth, I share the exchange of views to feed the reader, not necessarily right, but at least reflect the general public's advice and suggestions about the country.
The text is as follows:
This friend, who has been in the oil and gas industry for 20 years, said that we are not afraid of the Blockade of Malacca, which is a false proposition and has the following views:
China now imports 70 percent of its crude oil. Some netizens said why not explore and mine by themselves? Because our own production costs are relatively high, from the actual operation situation, the oil production cost of most domestic oilfields is more than 70-80 US dollars, that is, about 500 yuan.
Since 2015, the international crude oil price has been relatively low, the import price is far lower than their own exploitation, if they are re-mined, there may be a loss situation, it is not cost-effective, so we choose to import.
It should be emphasized here that it is not that we do not have the ability to produce oil, but that it is not cost-effective to produce at present. Let's do the math.
First, if the "wanderers go home" and "recovery war" are launched, if the energy channel of the Strait of Malacca is blocked, this special situation will really occur, and all our oil fields will be produced in large quantities, and the oil production can ensure more than 50% of the country's supply.
Second, China's self-produced oil rigs have a strong capacity, onshore oil rigs, such as Honghua, gemstone, orchid, Kerui, etc., with an annual output of 400 units, there is no problem, this way can accelerate oil production, can increase by about 20%, so that the output reaches about 70%.
Third, the sea is blocked, and we have 4 channels for importing oil on land, including 2 from Russia, 1 in Central Asia and 1 in Myanmar. These four channels can increase by about 15%, as long as these four supply channels are guaranteed, so that 85% of China's crude oil supply can be ensured.
Fourth, about 5% of our imported crude oil is used for power generation, although the brakes are cut, but the special handling in special periods can be replaced by coal. Doing the above four points can ensure 90% of the electricity supply.
Fifth, we develop the use of new energy vehicles, while calling for public travel for the whole people, which is no problem for our national quality, and some netizens have said that they want to walk, bus or ride bicycles, and even some say that they can donate their own wages. This would reduce our oil consumption by 10%, up from 100% of the above five methods.
Sixth, if we have a strategic reserve of oil for 110 days, and our oil rig can produce these productions in 90 days, we can prepare in advance, and then we can use and extract them as they go. In recent years, many drilling rigs have been idle, all of which have been restored to use, and production capacity has soon risen.
Therefore, based on the above 6 reasons, even if the "wanderers go home" and "recovery war" start, even if the malacca Strait oil channel is cut off, the impact on China's crude oil supply is minimal, and there is no need to worry at all.
And what everyone is really worried about is that once the "wanderer goes home" and "reconquest war" is launched, the blockade cannot affect oil, but it may affect exports, affect consumption, and industrial production may decline, but this is not necessarily a bad thing, because the demand for crude oil may decline, so that the supply of crude oil is enough for our military machinery and all industries and residents to use, and everyone does not have to worry.
The above is the friend's view, not necessarily all right, but at least a kind of thinking, there are many views that are worthy of praise and reference.
However, what I want to say is that we are still preparing for a "reconquest war" with the greatest difficulties, and we cannot take the enemy lightly and make all preparations.
The motherland must be reunified, and it will be reunified, and the return of Taiwan is the trend of the general historical trend.