Yesterday, one of the three peripheral strategic issues that need to be resolved before taiwan is seized, the issue of the possibility of cutting off the wartime oil transportation route "Persian Gulf-Strait of Malacca-Taiwan Strait."
After the article was issued, it aroused the heated discussion of all "enthusiasts" and they offered advice. It also proposed a better method, and the most talked about method is: if you collect Taiwan, there is not enough fuel, everyone said that they walked or rode bicycles to work, or changed electric scooters, in short, they can dedicate everything and fully support the recovery of Taiwan. Everyone is enthusiastic and waiting for this great moment to come.
Today, I will continue to talk about the second of the three questions of "wartime oil blockade, US intervention, and timing of Taiwan seizure.": In the process of recovering Taiwan, (1) Will the US military intervene? (2) What kind of intervention will be taken? (3) What means and measures should be taken to respond?
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="36" > first, will the United States intervene when Taiwan is recovered? </h1>
Some netizens said that they did not dare, and if they dared to do so, they would undoubtedly lose, because the United States would not take advantage of the time, place, and people in the far seas, and even if the islands concerned and the US and Rok bases were used as support, they would undoubtedly lose; some netizens said that if they dared, they would definitely intervene.
For this issue, Xiaobian believes that the possibility of US intervention is relatively large. There are four reasons for this:
First, because the recovery of Taiwan means the real rejuvenation and rise of the Chinese nation and its outward development, and the purpose of the United States is to curb my rejuvenation and rise, to curb my development into the depths of the ocean, and Taiwan's "unsinkable aircraft carrier" is the best "springboard" for the development of the ocean, the United States is worried that its "back garden" The Pacific Ocean will be invaded by me, even if Japan and the Philippines help it guard the gateway to Taiping, but the United States still does not want to see such a thing happen. Therefore, he will certainly not watch us happily close the stage, and will definitely "trip up" and make means, and will not let us take it smoothly and smoothly.
Second, the United States also has to give his allies an explanation, due to the new crown pneumonia, the US debt to the ceiling to pay off the money, The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan and other reasons, so that the beauty of the face is lost, the credibility of the decline, especially the withdrawal of Afghanistan, scared Tsai Ing-wen and other like birds of fright, feel that the United States is not reliable, these have forced the United States on the Taiwan issue can no longer show weakness, otherwise Japan, South Korea, Australia and other "little brother countries" how to see? Who will trust him and follow him in the future, and how will he lead others?
Third, judging from the remarks of US political leaders, Biden said with a mistake of mouth that he wanted to "assist in the defense of Taiwan", and Among the previous presidents of the United States, Biden was the first to say so publicly, which also led to Tsai Ing-wen and others continuing to "resist China, resist reunification, and seek independence." The incoming US ambassador to China Burns shouted: The United States has the right to sell arms to Taiwan by turning its "soft underbelly" into a "hard bone." From these "hawkish" words, it can be seen that in the future, I will interfere with Taiwan and the United States.
Fourth, the US warship and plane can cross the Taiwan Strait at every turn, the plane arrives near the adjacent area of China for reconnaissance, and the unmanned diving device is actually familiar with the meteorological, hydrological, electromagnetic environment, and air conditions in the sea and airspace near the Taiwan Strait, reserves and updates data, and draws up nautical charts and aerial maps to prepare for future intervention.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="67" > Second, what ways may the United States intervene when it closes? There are six</h1>
One is to intervene in secret or behind the scenes. In order to avoid frontal conflict and reduce the intensity of the conflict, the US military is very likely to use military bases such as Guam, Japan, and the ROK to provide support to the "Taiwan independence" Taiwan military in terms of information, intelligence, fuel, weapons, and ammunition; because many of the Taiwan military's equipment is sold by the United States and has the characteristics of mutual compatibility, the US military may connect with the Taiwan military to network information or information chains, provide battlefield situation information and strategic-level information for the Taiwan military, and even replace the Taiwan military with a link information system to command and adjust the Taiwan military's configuration.
The second is the side support intervention. Mobilizing its 1-2 aircraft carrier strike groups and encouraging the Japanese army to come together, deploying all of this around Guam and the Taiwan Strait, while the Taiwan army "plays the leading role," it helps them to consume our air power, in fact, it does not allow me to control the air superiority, and in the case of air supremacy cannot be obtained, it will affect me to land on the west side and win opportunities for the Taiwan army.
The third is to intervene under the pretext of "humanitarian relief". Once we start to close Taiwan, the United States may use "humanitarian relief" as an excuse to enter the strait waters, the purpose of which is to interfere with our landfall on the beach and win more preparation time for the Taiwan military. The U.S. military has not done less of this kind of thing, and the most recent time was that the US warships interspersed the Formation of the Chinese and Russian Navies in Peter the Great Bay, that is, to make trouble.
The fourth is to cut off our energy transportation channels. Cut off the oil and energy channel in the Persian Gulf-Strait of Malacca-Taiwan Strait, because the United States and Singapore are allies, and in wartime, this sea passage may be blocked and China's maritime oil, cargo and other transportation and supply will be prohibited.
The fifth is to jump out directly and face to face with me to intervene. Some people say that this is unlikely, but we have to defend it, because the US military has recently been active in the sea and airspace on the southwest side of Taiwan, which also makes us think that he may be prepared in this direction, so we should not be whimsical, the United States does not dare to intervene, will not intervene, that is, to prepare for the "wanderer home" operation with his intervention, our strategic line can despise him, but there is a little attention, tactically we must pay attention to it, and we must not be careless.
Sixth, it is through public opinion propaganda to exert pressure and intervene. The United States will certainly create public opinion pressure in the international society and fight a public opinion war and psychological war in order to smear China and leave a "pretext." The intensity of this intervention is relatively low, and the possibility is very large, which is inevitable.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="95" >3. If the United States intervenes, what methods and means can be taken to deal with it? </h1>
First, the US military provides information, intelligence, fuel, weapons, ammunition, and other aspects to the Taiwan military. We can use electronic suppression to interrupt the communications of the "Taiwan independence" Taiwan military, use the Strike Group of the Liaoning and Shandong aircraft carriers to build barriers in the sea and airspace on the south side of Tainan, cut off the communication signals, cut off the sea passages by the aircraft carriers, cut off the air passages by the fighter planes, cut off the taiwan island's contact with the outside world, and form a situation of catching turtles in urns and severely punishing war criminals.
Second, for the side support to intervene in the struggle for air supremacy, in addition to our fighter planes taking off to fight and fight at the same time, we can send out drone swarms, small groups of multi-way, long-distance, and split-wave us aircraft to carry out external forced, besieged, and attacked US aircraft taking off on US aircraft carriers, to ensure that air supremacy is firmly in our hands, to create favorable conditions for grabbing the beach and landing, and at the same time, the "Dongfeng Express" also test-fire to deter the US aircraft carriers from approaching.
Third, for those who use "humanitarian relief" as an excuse to make trouble, a designated area is demarcated in advance, but it is by no means the west side, it is definitely not the place where I landed and grabbed the beach, it can be the east side, or the southeast side, that is, to prevent the United States from using humanitarian rescue and ships and planes to make trouble and delay our operation of taking over Taiwan.
Fourth, for cutting off our energy transportation channels, there are six ways to remedy it. (1) Djibouti - Arabian Sea - Pakistan - Xinjiang into the inland; (2) Djibouti - Indian Ocean - Bay of Bengal - Myanmar - Yunnan into the inland; (3) Persian Gulf - Gwadar Port - Pakistan - into Xinjiang; (4) Iran - through Afghanistan - into Xinjiang; (5) Russia's Far East Pipeline Skovolodino sub-station, through China's Heilongjiang Province and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region to Daqing. (6) Through carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, the establishment of a "small Middle East" in the western region will be solved.
Fifth, for those who directly intervened in the conflict between the US military and china, the "guy affairs" were all on and all the firepower was open. Judging from the current situation, the strength of our air force and rocket force is not inferior to that of the US military, and it is enough to directly carry out a contest, because he does not have any advantages, if his aircraft carrier approaches from the second island chain of Guam to the first island chain, then there is no need to say anything, that is, the air and sea refuse to stop, the Liaoning warship, the Shandong warship, the J-20, the bomb-6K, the bomb-20, the "Dongfeng Express" and so on can be loaded and aimed, dare to interfere, choose the opportunity to shoot, sink, and shoot down.
Sixth, we should wage a battle of public opinion, psychology, and jurisprudence with the United States to eliminate "pretexts." It is announced to the whole world that Taiwan is a local "armed separatist regime," that the recovery of Taiwan is the finale of the war of liberation, that Taiwan has been China's inherent territory since ancient times, and that it is time to look back.
The last thing to say is that judging from the recent military push carried out by the United States, even with the support of the US military, Taiwan will not be able to last for 3 days. The motherland must and will be reunified; this is the trend of the general historical trend.
The third question is the timing of the closing (to be continued, please pay attention to).