2021-3-12Yuge said that the poultry industry market, the big broiler chicken is stable and changing, the road to change in the layer industry? The peak season for native chickens has arrived
Entering the middle of March, the big broiler market performed strangely, the national wool chicken price was temporarily stable between 4.5-4.7 yuan, and the chicken chicks did not rise or fall between 4.4-5.7 yuan.
The price range of chicken chicks is a bit large, in fact, most of the transaction prices are between 4.5-5.2 yuan, and the price is so high that it is virtual.
Saying that it is weird means that the consumer market is weak, the price of wool chickens cannot rise, the market is still short of chickens, and the price of chicks is still dead at a high price.
It is reasonable to say that the market lacks chickens, and the price of wool chickens must rise, but according to the current consumer market speed, there is no support at all.
That chicken can't rise, the price of chicken chicks will always fall, otherwise the current cost is the same as the purchase price of chicken, and there are not many chickens.
Some chicken farmers with flexible brains seem to see the signs, as long as the price of chicken chicks is between 4-4.5 yuan, they will enter the chicks, because they see that the future chickens will rise.
The reason is that the current chicken chick price is high, it must be a small number of chicks, now the lack of chickens on the market, then the future is certainly still lacking, the end of April and the beginning of May may rise sharply, and moreover, now the price of chicks is high, there are fewer people entering, so it seems that even if it is more than 40 days after white play, it is also necessary to try to gamble.
This is the psychology of someone entering the chicken at the moment.
Large contract chickens are now also more in, the policy is diverse, giving profit margins of about 2 yuan, such as a company in Hebei region stocking policy:
Chicks 5.6 yuan a piece.
Chicks feed 1 kg per piece: 5,000 yuan a ton.
Large chicken feed per 9 pounds: 4950 yuan a ton.
The maximum cost of medicine is 8 cents per chicken, and others can be purchased separately.
Such a policy, there will be a profit of about 2 yuan, will stimulate the enthusiasm of people who can't wait for the chicken now, so they have entered the chicken.
But now the lack of chickens in the market is a foregone conclusion,
From now to the next 30 days, there will be a shortage of chickens, in the end whether the price can rise, it depends on whether there is a major event in April.
In the article a few days ago, Yuge analyzed why the layer industry is now losing money, the essence is due to too many eggs, and the extra eggs, in addition to the expansion of small and medium-sized laying hen farms, are mainly from the production and operation of large-scale layer farms.
Yu ge also listed in the article that some large domestic factories have invested heavily in projects that have begun to lay eggs.
I don't know whether the trend has evolved in this way, or stimulated by the benefits of Makihara's own pig raising, whether it is layer chickens, broilers, or native chickens in China, major leading enterprises have launched large-scale chicken farm projects.
It is not difficult to see their investment intentions, that is, to form a complete closed loop from breeding chickens to commodity slaughter, self-production and self-marketing, and self-sufficiency.
Judging from the gimmicks of external publicity, it is for healthier food, for the people to eat more reassuring products, etc., but we can also see that once these giant farms are put into production, it will really kill small households.
Look at the current egg price to know, there are more large factories on the road to construction, now the egg price has fallen so low, the future there is still a small household to live no?
It is true that the market economy, competition is the mainstay, who has the ability to eat, there is no ability to drink some soup, look at the current momentum, I am afraid that small and medium-sized households can not drink soup, directly starved to death.
However, do not think that without the market of small and medium-sized retail investors, it will be too peaceful, it will be affordable, it will be healthy, that is a beautiful fantasy, in the market under the control of capital, the price will be higher, and the cost burden of the people will be greater.
The layer industry is now being held hostage by the construction of large chicken farms on the road to overcapacity, and likewise, broilers and native chickens will follow such a path.
In fact, broiler chicken farms are also being built in large quantities, and if nothing else, the current slaughterhouse self-breeding and leading dealer self-breeding farms are enough for the basic demand of the market, coupled with the annual output of hundreds of millions of farms invested by major leading enterprises, slowly these small and medium-sized farms are eliminated.
Netizens who raise native chickens in Hunan complain that it rains all day long and have not seen the sun for a month, which will affect the sales of native chickens.
At present, the Hunan region of the sky dew black quotation 6.2-6.8 yuan, green foot hemp 5.8 yuan, affected by the weather, a slight decline, and in the Yunnan-Guizhou region, the black variety of sky dew can be sold to 7-7.5 yuan, green foot hemp 6.5-7.5 yuan, the difference is not small.
Entering March, the number of native chicken seedlings increased, and the price also fell, and at present, in the high price area, there are Qingyuan hemp 3.6 yuan, guinea fowl seedlings 4.2, five black and green 4.2, Guifei chicken 3, and most of the other chicken seedlings have fallen into the price below 2.5 yuan.
However, affected by the price increase of feed raw corn, this year's chickens to change careers or wait and see at least one-third of last year, so that those who are bold and enter the chicken as usual may not make money when they are out of the barn, nor will they earn less.