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Chen Dongsheng: An irresistible logic is that people are reluctant to have children

author:Circle of economists

On June 8, 2021, yabuli China Entrepreneur Forum "Public Topic Forum: Population Problem, How to Resolve? "Held. What kind of strategy should be adopted for the development of Chinese? Chen Dongsheng, founder, chairman and CEO of Taikang Insurance Group Co., Ltd., shared.

Chen Dongsheng: An irresistible logic is that people are reluctant to have children

  In Chen Dongsheng's view, the data of the seventh census present three phenomena: one is the aging of the Chinese population, the second is the population gathering in the provincial capital, and the third is the sharp decline in the fertility rate.

  "The rapid and rapid aging of China is unexpected. Aging has come so fast, and people over 60 years old have increased by 5.4% in the past 10 years, but 0-14 years old, that is, 15 years old, is also an increase of 1% points, so aging is the biggest trend and direction. Chen Dongsheng said.

  At the same time, Chen Dongsheng pointed out that in terms of population flow, the population is gathered in the provincial capital.

  "In addition to Harbin is negative growth, all provincial cities are growing positively, Shenzhen has grown by 7 million in the past decade, Guangzhou has increased by 5 million, Chengdu has increased by 5 million, and several provincial capital cities are the winners this time, such as Zhengzhou and Hangzhou, whose population growth has exceeded my hometown Wuhan, but Wuhan can still do it." Some time ago, we analyzed the top 10 gdp rankings of provincial capital cities, which is actually completely related to population. Chen Dongsheng said.

  Chen Dongsheng introduced that the top 10 cities of China's GDP, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Beijing, 2 in the south, 1 in the north, the rest is the Yangtze River Basin, the eastern regions of Shanghai, Hangzhou, Suzhou, Nanjing, the middle of Wuhan, the west of Chengdu and Chongqing.

  "So today's new round of economic growth, in addition to the traditional Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, is actually the Yangtze River economy is rising, the central and western regions." Needless to say, the north, so the biggest trend of population this time is the great concentration of population to the provincial capital. Chen Dongsheng said.

  Chen Dongsheng said that the third problem is the sharp decline in fertility. The seventh census has made the whole society realize that people are the most fundamental problem. In his view, an irresistible logic is that women who can have children are not willing to have children, which is the most fundamental.

  "The biggest problem of human destiny is not that the progress of medicine has reduced mortality and extended life, this is the era of longevity, this is what we are talking about aging, it is because of scientific and technological progress, this is easy to solve." The biggest problem is that fertile women are reluctant to have children, so fertility rates continue to decline, which is a super challenge for humanity. Chen Dongsheng said.

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