As the driving force behind the turmoil in the South China Sea, the United States is now also constantly supporting the Philippines, including sending strategic bombers and other combat forces during the "Shoulder to Shoulder" military exercise. Some time earlier, the Philippine Coast Guard's largest tonnage coast guard ship also appeared in the waters near Senbin Reef in the South China Sea, and the coast guard ship has been sailing in a square trajectory. According to the analysis of the outside world, it is very likely that the actions of the coast guard ship are related to some kind of exploration behavior, and just after the Philippine ship was revealed to be sailing in a square trajectory in the waters near Xianbin Reef, the Philippine side recently pointed out that more than 40 Chinese ships have appeared in the waters near Xianbin Reef, and the appearance of these ships is very likely to be related to China's future reclamation operations near Xianbin Reef.
Judging from the information disclosed by the Philippine side, the more than 40 surface ships sent by China to the waters near Xianbin Reef include three warships from the mainland navy, including two 054A missile frigates, one Type 056A frigate and three carrier-based helicopters, four coast guard ships include Haijing 3303, 4202, 21551 and 21556, and three oceanographic survey ships include Haishu 3301 and Yuexia Yuzhi 20027. Yuexia fishing refers to 20030 vessels, and the other 34 vessels are Chinese fishing vessels. Although the Philippines claims to have sent its largest tonnage patrol ship to spy on Chinese vessels, the Philippines has also significantly amplified its capabilities, because according to the Philippine side, Philippine Coast Guard ships have single-handedly stopped China's reclamation operations at Sembin Reef.
In the joint military exercises staged by the United States and the Philippines, the Philippines has practiced a number of anti-ship strikes with the United States, including the use of F/A-50 light fighters of the Philippine Air Force and the projection of AGM-65 Maverick air-to-surface missiles, as well as the deployment of GBU-38 laser-guided bombs by F-16 fighter jets dispatched by the United States to Misawa Base in Japan, and the use of B-52H strategic bombers. The AC-130 aerial gunboat attack aircraft came to carry out simulated attacks on ground targets, and the war research institute believes that this may be the reason why the Philippines dares to call for more than 40 Chinese ships today.
Regardless of the strength of the Philippines' so-called largest tonnage coast guard vessels, can the Philippines really intercept more than 40 Chinese ships with a single ship? If the Philippines really has this kind of strength, then why has the Philippines been so frustrated in the past period of confrontations with the China Coast Guard in the South China Sea, and after a series of water cannon attacks, Philippine ships have suffered a lot of damage to shipboard equipment or directly raised the white flag, it is obvious that the Philippines is boasting about its capabilities again. In the past, Ren'ai Jiao has been the focus of confrontations between China and the Philippines, but it is clear that the Philippines is currently shifting a large number of confrontations to the area around Xianbin Jiao, and the PLA's Type 055 10,000-ton missile destroyer has been flexing its strength in the South China Sea for several days. The War Research Institute believes that the Philippines should also weigh it carefully before provoking.
With the US Navy's USS Roosevelt nuclear-powered aircraft carrier leaving the South China Sea, the War Research Institute believes that the Philippines has actually lost the power to support itself in the process of provocation, which also means that if the Philippines causes a miscalculation, I am afraid that even the United States will not be able to support the Philippines in the first place, so for the Philippines, it is the most correct choice to give up provocations in sensitive waters such as Ren'ai Jiao and Xianbin Jiao. Text/Iris