May Day holiday is coming, in the domestic pig market, previously, pig prices showed a situation of more than a fall, due to the consumption of good is difficult to cash, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises is low, the breeding end is bullish confidence is insufficient, the risk of pressure on the fence concerns are heating up, retail investors, group farms and two breeding pigs competitive slaughter, market sentiment deteriorated, pig prices show a downward trend of gravity!
According to the analysis of institutional data, the pig price fell this time, the average price of pigs fell from 15.25 yuan / kg to 14.73 yuan / kg, the pig price fell by 0.52 yuan / kg, and the profitability of pig fattening has gradually weakened.
However, due to the consumer demand in the off-season, the rise in temperature has inhibited the performance of the market demand for fat pork, the domestic slaughtering enterprises have narrowed the price difference between the white and the white, according to official sources, the average ex-factory price of lean white pigs in the country is 19.78 yuan / kg, the average price of pigs slaughtered is 14.73 yuan / kg, the price difference of the white is -5.05 yuan / kg, and the average processing loss of the sample slaughtering enterprises is about 70 yuan, and the slaughtering enterprises still have the sentiment of reducing the price of pigs!
At present, the May Day holiday has entered the countdown, the festive atmosphere of the market has gradually become stronger, the pattern of pig purchase and sales has changed, and the market has shown a situation of "supply and demand increase"!
On the one hand, the breeding end is generally expected to be slaughtered before May Day, although the pig price is less than expected, however, the breeding end is more worried about the prospect of pig prices, especially, after the May Day holiday, the inertia of consumer demand has fallen, the temperature has further risen, and the risk of large pigs pressing the fence has increased sharply, and the market has no shortage of "slaughtering cattle" risk in the future, therefore, the breeding end is relatively positive, and the average weight of pigs slaughtered has also risen to about 124 kg!
On the other hand, the festival is gradually realized, orders in the downstream market have increased one after another, the operating rate of domestic slaughtering enterprises has continued to rise, the demand for pig procurement has gradually increased, and the average daily slaughter volume has also risen slightly!
Therefore, the phased market purchase and sales show a double increase in the situation, however, due to the high inventory of frozen pork in domestic slaughtering enterprises, the frozen pork storage capacity rate of this week is about 24%, the May Day holiday, the demand for catering and tourism industry has rebounded, frozen pork or will be concentrated in rotation, for the pre-holiday slaughtering enterprises to stock up or have a certain inhibition!
According to data analysis, the slaughtering enterprises adjusted the price of pigs, it is expected that on April 30, the average price of three-yuan lean pigs outside the country was about 14.74 yuan/kg, up about 0.01 yuan/kg from the previous day!
Personally, I believe that supported by the festival, pig prices may maintain a strong trend in the short term, however, after the holiday, the demand for follow-up will deteriorate, and the price may once again appear significantly weaker!
List of live pig prices in the north and south provinces of the country on April 30: