Pig market: close to May Day, the pig market fell into the situation of "grinding the bottom", in recent days, pig prices fell under pressure, and pig prices staged a "festival fall" curse!
Personally, I think that the reason why pig prices before the holiday do not rise but fall is because of the deterioration of market sentiment!
With the festival approaching, the market price confidence is completely lost, the price difference between the standard fat pigs is upside down, and the breeding end is worried about the risk of "slaughtering cattle" to become stronger, the social side, the group farm and the second fattening households, the pace of slaughter is accelerated, the market presents an obvious "rush" phenomenon, the supply level of live pigs is relaxed, the average weight of slaughter is also rising, and the performance of bearish pig prices;
On the other hand, close to May Day, the consumption of good cash is poor! slaughtering enterprise operating rate is less than expected, since the end of last week, the slaughtering enterprise operating rate has slowly rebounded, however, the growth rate is limited, the mainstream slaughtering enterprises maintain a low level of operation, slaughtering enterprises for pig source demand is limited, by the breeding end of the slaughter concentration, taking advantage of the situation to reduce the price of the mentality is stronger!
However, as the festival approaches, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises is gradually replaced, and the demand for pig sources may increase, and the mentality of resistance to price reduction at the breeding end has become stronger.
It is expected that on April 30, pig prices may be weak and strong, and the national three-yuan pig price will remain at around 14.74 yuan / kg, and the market will show a strong shock situation, but due to the increase in slaughter, the pig price rise or will be limited......
Refined oil market: oil price adjustment, the drop in oil prices will be the largest decline in the year!
However, can you believe that the price of oil has fallen, and it has fallen by 5 cents "greatly"! The price has risen by one or two cents at a time, and the price has fallen by five or six cents at a time, and it is helpless to think about it......
Approaching May Day, the third oil price adjustment this month is coming, tonight at 24 o'clock, domestic gasoline and diesel prices are adjusted as planned, which will also be the second decline in the market this year! However, the decline is not as expected, the cost of residential cars is still at a high level, according to the volume of private cars 50 liters, fill up a tank of oil, it is estimated that it will cost only 2.5 yuan less!
However, in the second half of last week, due to the sluggish economic data of the U.S. manufacturing industry, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut became stronger, and the value of the U.S. dollar weakened.
According to the domestic oil price adjustment mechanism, referring to WTI crude oil quotation of 83.85 US dollars / barrel, Brent crude oil quotation of 89.5 US dollars / barrel, April 29, the 10th working day of this round of pricing cycle, the domestic crude oil change rate or will hover around 1.72%, gasoline and diesel prices are estimated to fall by 70 yuan / ton, and the price of gasoline and diesel is estimated to fall by about 0.05 ~ 0.06 yuan! 92 gasoline decreased by 0.05 yuan / liter, 95 gasoline fell 0.06 yuan, 0 diesel fell 0.06 yuan / (The details are subject to the official reality)
After this round of oil price decline, oil prices during the year showed a level of "5 up, 2 down and 2 stranded", after the price of gasoline and diesel rose and fell, the price increase of gasoline fell back to about 805 yuan / ton, and the price increase of diesel fell back to about 775 yuan / ton, which is equivalent to the annual increase of No. 92 gasoline fell to about 0.65 yuan / liter, and domestic gasoline and diesel prices are still at a high level......
Taking Shandong as an example, on April 30, after the current round of oil price drops, the price of local No. 92 gasoline may be about 8.16 yuan/liter, the price of No. 95 gasoline is 8.75 yuan/liter, and the price of No. 0 diesel is 7.77 yuan/liter......
Everyone told each other that from 0:00 on April 30, various domestic oil prices will be reduced, but the decline is too low, and I hope that the next price reduction can be more violent......