Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said in an interview that "the fate of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is a foregone conclusion." Peskov said that the United States admitted that it had provided long-range missiles to Ukraine, but this would not change the outcome of Russia's military operation, the outcome was already doomed, and the trend of the situation also showed that Russia would win. Peskov is so sure that Zelensky is gone, what is the basic logic behind it?
First: The continuous "blood transfusion" of the United States to Ukraine is one of the key reasons why the Ukrainian army has the ability to resist. However, there are too many derivative problems faced by the United States military aid to Ukraine, and it is not destined to last forever.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has said more than once that 90% of the aid funds for Ukraine will flow into the United States to promote the prosperity of the U.S. military industry and economy. Blinken's remarks seem reasonable at first glance, but a closer look reveals that they are false propositions, because the United States has not received significant benefits from Ukraine, and the costs are passed on to American taxpayers. After paying taxes, American taxpayers originally hoped that the government would use the money in the field of people's livelihood, but as a result, the Biden administration gave part of the money to Ukraine, and the money went into the pockets of the military-industrial complex. Under such circumstances, the rich will become richer and the poor will become poorer, and the social contradictions in the United States will become more and more acute.
Second: In addition to US military aid, European countries have also provided military aid to Ukraine. However, the strategic goal of European countries is not to help Ukraine defend its territorial integrity, but to take the opportunity to expand defense spending.
National defense is not only a guarantee for a country's survival and development, but also a key to determining whether a country can be independent or not. The reason why most European countries look to the United States is precisely because they are too dependent on the United States for security. If it can take advantage of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to increase defense spending and strengthen its own military strength, its dependence on US security will be reduced, and Europe will be one step closer to achieving strategic autonomy. When Europe achieved its goal, Ukraine also lost its usefulness.
Thirdly: Russia is a nuclear power, and no country wants to put its own people in a nuclear-dangerous situation for the sake of foreigners. Therefore, this dooms the possibility of Western countries directly declaring war on Russia for the sake of Ukraine to be close to zero.
Musk once said that since Russia's population is more than 3 times that of Ukraine, it is unlikely that Ukraine will win in a full-scale war. The facts are in front of us, and if the Kyiv authorities have unrealistic illusions, they will not reverse the end of the war except to pay a more tragic price.
After the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, Russia and Ukraine have held several rounds of peace talks. At that time, Putin made it clear that if Ukraine remained neutral and did not join NATO, the Russian army would withdraw. Subsequently, the withdrawal of Russian troops from the outskirts of Kyiv showed goodwill. However, this has become a basis for the Ukrainian army to boast of its victory in the "Battle of Kyiv".
Ukraine's peculiar geographical location necessitates neutrality between the two powers, just like Switzerland, sandwiched between the three great powers of Europe. However, the Kiev authorities made a major mistake in decision-making, believing in the nonsense of the Anglo-Saxons, which led to the loss of the country. Zelensky is destined to go down in the annals of Ukrainian history, but his image is unlikely to be "the Ukrainian version of Churchill".
(Text/Woo Tsai)