If you are not strong, you are a piece of meat on the chopping block to be slaughtered.
Palestinian Gaza, at present, is such a piece of "meat".
In the early morning of April 14, Iran retaliated "very modestly" against Israel's "bombing of the embassy", which can be described as killing four birds with one stone:
One Bird: Iran has made an account of its domestic affairs and silenced the opposition;
Erniao: It has regained face in the international community and shown toughness;
Three Birds: Inflict only minimal damage on Israel, so that Israel cannot find an excuse to retaliate;
Four Birds: It has given the United States enough face and made it impossible for the United States to find a reason to allow Israel to retaliate against Iran.
No, foreign media have already exposed: the United States agreed to the Israeli army to attack Rafah in exchange for giving up retaliation against Iran!
However, this is a "bloody" piece of news!
Rafah, the "last refuge" in the Gaza Strip, has risen sharply from 300,000 before the outbreak of the current round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict to 1.5 million. The small city, overcrowded and unhygienic, was bound to have "catastrophic consequences" for the Israeli attack on Rafah.
Prior to Iran's retaliation, Israel threatened to attack Rafah, which the United States rarely explicitly opposed, and the UN Human Rights Council even passed a resolution calling on all countries to impose an arms embargo on Israel.
And now, the United States, which has intercepted 99% of Iran's missiles and drones and has earned enough face in Iran, has to "choose the lesser of two evils."
Why?
First of all, there is a precondition: Israel is going to war no matter what. Otherwise, Netanyahu will have to step down and go to jail. I have been fighting with Hamas for half a year, and we have neither completely eliminated Hamas nor rescued all the hostages. The opposition within Israel is eager to eat Netanyahu alive.
Now, there are only two paths in front of Netanyahu, either to continue to fight Hamas or to fight Iran.
At this time, the United States began to settle accounts "crackling".
1. Israel fights Iran
At most, it is a "long-range counter-bombing" version of the "Russia-Ukraine conflict". Neither Israel nor Iran can directly threaten each other's homeland through ground or sea forces. Therefore, it is basically only possible to bombard with drones, missiles, F-35s and F-16s, and so on.
The advantage of this is that the humanitarian pressure is greatly reduced. Iran's strategic depth is greater than Gaza's. In layman's terms, it is much stronger than the Gaza Warp Warp and has a much stronger defensive capability, and the distance is far away and has a certain reaction time. In this way, the civilian casualties caused by Israel will be significantly reduced.
The disadvantage of this is that it is expensive! In the hour or two that Iran retaliated against Israel, Israel spent $100 million, while Iran spent less than a tenth of it. The United States is now providing $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, and it is all picking and searching, and it can watch Israel and Iran bomb each other?
2. Israel fights Hamas
Israel's assault on the densely populated Rafah is a strengthened version of the previous Tahrafah in central and northern Rafah. It will inevitably create a humanitarian disaster far greater than that of the previous six months, and the United States will also bear far more humanitarian pressure than it did in the previous six months.
Before Israel attacked Gaza, killing more than 30,000 people, the United States could no longer stand the pressure and abstained from voting. If Israel storms Rafah, the United Nations will vote again and again to condemn and even sanction Israel, and the United States will be able to withstand it?
Therefore, if Israel fights Rafah, it will completely go to the opposite side of the international community, with diplomatic isolation, collective sanctions, embargoes, and so on.
It is not even impossible for Palestine to join the United Nations because of sympathy.
To sum up, Biden will definitely not help Israel to fight Iran, but he will not see Israel annihilated. Israel's projectile land simply cannot withstand long-term attrition. Netanyahu himself understands that it is unrealistic to fight Iran without the support of the United States.
Then, it seems that the United States can't choose either?
Believe that it will always be "America First."
The United States will definitely let Netanyahu storm Gaza.
In this way, at least the United States can borrow the hand of the international community to continuously exert pressure on the Israeli government.
Under increasingly powerful external pressure and increasingly fierce internal contradictions, it is not impossible for Israel to achieve a change of power.
As for Netanya, Biden was already very dissatisfied with him, and his control over him was almost zero. Whoever this guy wants to beat, Biden doesn't allow him to do anything, he does what he does.
If Israel is allowed to storm the Gaza Rafah region, it is just right, and it will not take Biden's brains to remove the disobedient Netanyahu from power, so as to foster a more "obedient" Israeli government.
It's just that, in the end, it was the Palestinians who resisted everything.