In this conflict, which has lasted for more than two years, Ukraine has reached the last moment, and it is not far from what the Yankees said about "fighting to the last Ukrainian".
Today's Ukraine is facing a desperate situation on both fronts.
On the one hand, there is the frontal battlefield, since the loss of Avdeyevka, the Ukrainian army has been losing and retreating. According to the information released by the Russian Ministry of Defense on April 10, in the previous day's fighting, the Russian army eliminated 360 Ukrainian troops in the Donetsk direction, more than 20 Ukrainian troops in the Kupyansk direction, 395 Ukrainian troops in the Avdeyevka direction, and 180 Ukrainian troops in the Kherson direction and Yuzhnodonetsk direction, a total of 955 people, in addition to destroying a large number of captured artillery, radar, electronic warfare systems. Such casualty data, even if Russia mixes half of the water, it is quite amazing, it can be seen that the current battlefield situation has been one-sided, and the Ukrainian army is powerless;
On the other hand, there is Western aid. At present, the United States has basically cut off all aid to Ukraine, although European countries still support Ukraine on the surface, but according to Zelensky, they really get very little key aid, especially Germany, whose Chancellor Scholz directly refused to aid Ukraine's German-made Taurus cruise missiles, which made Zelensky very dissatisfied and suspected that Germany intended to keep these missiles for self-defense.
The situation is unfavorable, and public opinion in the West is also rapidly turning.
In the past, Trump proposed to "cede land and seek peace", directly cede the territory of eastern Ukraine and Crimea, and resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict within 24 hours; recently, there has been news of "carving up Ukraine" in Europe, and it is said that Poland is the most active country in "carving up Ukraine", and in addition to Poland, Romania and Hungary are also quite interested.
Some people ask, in this desperate situation, why is Zelensky unwilling to negotiate?
In fact, the decision on whether Russia and Ukraine will negotiate peace has long had nothing to do with Ukraine, and it was previously decided by the United States, but now after the United States withdrew, France took over the baton on behalf of Europe.
According to the information provided by foreign media, France has most likely sent part of its troops into Ukraine to fight, according to Macron, even if this French army is wiped out, it will not implicate NATO and the United States, and France will not ask its allies for help.
France's intention is obvious, that is, to carry the banner of aiding Ukraine, so Macron must send troops into Ukraine to confront Russia head-on, only by confronting first, France is qualified to represent Ukraine and Europe at the negotiating table, this is Macron's purpose.
Under this strategic purpose, Ukraine can only choose to fight with its back.
According to The Times, a few days ago, a military adviser to the Ukrainian army said that Ukraine needs to learn from the Israeli army and adopt an Israeli-style policy of compulsory conscription for women. The reason is very simple: Almost all the female soldiers in the Ukrainian army are volunteers, and the Ukrainian army has never forcibly conscripted women into the army, and the Ukrainian army advisers mean that they will learn from Israel's compulsory conscription of women in the future. In addition to the mobilization of women, the Ukrainian parliament has officially passed the criminal mobilization bill a few days ago, allowing those prisoners in prison to join the Ukrainian army.
This year's U.S. election is a major event that affects the global geopolitical landscape, and the impact on the Russia-Ukraine conflict is even more far-reaching. So to predict the development of the situation between Russia and Ukraine, we can focus on France and Macron's actions.