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Iran's revenge is left in one hand, the United States emphasizes that "Israel has won", and Biden does not want the war in the Middle East to expand

author:Xue Xiaorong

On April 14, 2024, Iran launched a large-scale attack on military targets in Israel, which, according to Iran's official explanation, resulted in a victory over a specific target, and Iran decided to end the special military operation. Just as Iran prepares to withdraw, the outside world is very concerned about whether Israel, which has been the target of the beating, will launch a large-scale bloody retaliation as a result. Unexpectedly, according to various information from the outside world, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Gallant said on the phone with US President Joe Biden and US Secretary of Defense Austin respectively that Israel would not retaliate against Iran. U.S. President Joe Biden has told Netanyahu that although Israel has suffered massive retaliation from Iran this time, Israel has won in practical terms, and so far, Israel's losses have been minimal.

Iran's revenge is left in one hand, the United States emphasizes that "Israel has won", and Biden does not want the war in the Middle East to expand

At a time when speculation is rife that Israel will retaliate bloodily against Iran's attack, the United States wants to hold back Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's improvised moves and tell him that Israel has won. Judging from the US move this time and Israel's endurance of this vicious breath, this once again proves to the outside world that the master-servant relationship between the United States and Israel is very clear. The United States is the master, Israel is just a tool used by the United States to implement its Middle East policy, and the reason why Biden told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Israel has won is also based on many considerations.

Iran's revenge is left in one hand, the United States emphasizes that "Israel has won", and Biden does not want the war in the Middle East to expand

First, Iran has been preparing for a large-scale attack on Israel for more than two weeks, and according to Iran's temper in the past, Iran will immediately and decisively attack Israel as soon as it is bombed by Israel. This time, however, through two weeks of diplomatic mediation, Iran has spread the news of Iran's attack on Israel to neighboring countries, especially the United States. The fact that the United States already knew that Israel would be attacked by Iran proved that the Iranian attack was just tickling. From this point of view, President Biden believes that Iran has lost momentum for a while, so Israel has won and should not retaliate against Iran.

Iran's revenge is left in one hand, the United States emphasizes that "Israel has won", and Biden does not want the war in the Middle East to expand

Second, in terms of the actual effect of the attack, the outcome of Israel's encounter was not as disastrous as the outside world thought, so Biden persuaded Netanyahu that Israel had won. On the other hand, Biden's persuasion of Netanyahu is because if Israel launches large-scale reciprocal retaliation against Iran, it will only complicate the current situation in Gaza and allow the countries of the Middle East to intervene in the conflict as spectators. Israel may face collective pressure from the countries of the Middle East, after all, Israel was the first to bomb the embassy and trample on the Vienna Public International Law, which in itself is a violation of the Charter of the United Nations.

In a certain sense, Iran's retaliation is based on fixed self-defense, so Iran has gained support from countries in the Middle East and understanding from the international community. Therefore, Biden told Israel that Iran has declared itself successful in the special military operation and is ready to turn the page on this matter, and Israel should not dwell on this issue, and the result of this entanglement is that Israel may fall into a group fight. Therefore, in order to prevent the development of events, US President Biden also had to persuade Netanyahu in very mild language that Israel has won, and psychological comfort can allow Netanyahu to pick up the face that he has fallen to the ground, which is Biden's psychological tactic.

Iran's revenge is left in one hand, the United States emphasizes that "Israel has won", and Biden does not want the war in the Middle East to expand

Third, in addition to preventing Israel's retaliation from triggering a collapse in the Middle East, the most important thing is the United States' own strategic calculations. As mentioned above, after Israel was fattened by Iran this time, the United States immediately extinguished Israel's revenge mentality, which once again proved to the outside world that in the relationship between Israel and the United States, the United States is Israel's master, and the United States is also Israel's protective umbrella. Therefore, this time the United States persuaded Netanyahu not to retaliate, and Israel has already won, in fact, it is also based on the comprehensive consideration of the United States' own strength and its Middle East strategy. From the perspective of US strength, if the United States really wants to help Israel quickly resolve the current Middle East issue, the US Central Command is stationed in the Middle East, and it is completely possible to wave in the army at the first moment of the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and completely solve Hamas.

The Yemeni Houthis immediately followed up with a direct and public provocation against the United States, and the United States did not take corresponding action when it was angry, but just fired missiles at the Yemeni Houthis in a painless manner, warning the Yemeni Houthis not to cross the line, and the United States has no way to face the local forces of the Yemeni Houthis, and the United States is certainly not willing to directly face Iran. Today, there is already a Palestinian-Israeli conflict, a Red Sea crisis, and a conflict between Israel and Iran, and the United States really does not want to let the Middle East go on in chaos.

Iran's revenge is left in one hand, the United States emphasizes that "Israel has won", and Biden does not want the war in the Middle East to expand

It is clear from the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine that Ukraine is about to be unable to withstand it, and the United States' strategy of dealing with China in Asia has been revealed. In order to stabilize the global situation and to be able to exert joint efforts against China and Russia in the eastern and western directions, the Middle East must be stabilized and Israel must swallow this breath.

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