Is Iran going to attack Israel like crazy? This is an important signal!
Two things have just happened:
First things first: the US media claim that the US and its allies believe that Iran and the forces it supports are about to launch a massive missile or drone attack on Israeli targets. These attacks are likely to occur in the coming days and will be carried out using high-precision strike missiles.
Second thing: On the evening of April 11, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Minister of Foreign Affairs, had a telephone conversation with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Secretary Blinken briefed the U.S. side on the current situation in the Middle East. According to the U.S. State Department, Blinken's purpose in making the call was to ask China to urge Iran to exercise restraint.
In Zhan Hao's view, this has released three important signals:
The first signal: Iran's strike at Israel is inevitable and certain. The logic of the inevitability lies in the fact that Iran, as the leader of the Shiite sect of Islam, has had its embassies bombed abroad, and it is impossible for him to swallow his anger, so a counterattack is inevitable, and it is only a matter of timing; the logic of determination lies in the fact that, judging from the degree of anxiety of the United States and the signals released by the US and Israeli intelligence services, Iran's launch of a counterattack against Israel is already a definite thing, and it is only a matter of choosing the time.
Some comrades-in-arms may ask, why hasn't Iran launched a counterattack after so long? In Zhan Hao's view, there are three main reasons: First, because this matter is too big and may trigger a large-scale war in the Middle East, Iran should make an assessment of what kind of counterattack is most beneficial to Iran; second, Iran must make preparations, and Iran's counterattack against Israel will definitely not be Iran itself, and it will not be a one-time attack, so he needs to coordinate and prepare with his allies; third, Iran wants to maximize the value of this counterattack, and Iran has done a lot of propaganda internally, in fact, it wants to use this incident to mobilize for war. These three are the main reasons, and of course there is also the factor of Ramadan.
The second signal: the United States is very nervous. The tension of the United States was fully manifested after the Israeli attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria, and now it is calling China to try to get China to pressure Iran to exercise restraint. When Israel brazenly bombed other people's embassies, did you invite China to participate in the opinion? What's more, didn't the United States attack the Chinese embassy in the last century? How could China do such a thing? However, the United States still made this phone call even though the United States knew that China would not do it, and this fully reflected the nervousness of the United States.
The third signal: the United States does not want to intervene in Iran's retaliation. There is no doubt that Israel did not listen to the United States in attacking the Iranian embassy, and the United States certainly will not easily pay for this matter, so the United States reminded Iran early on that as long as it does not affect American facilities and as long as the retaliation is moderate, the United States will not participate. It is no exaggeration to say that this is a rare loss of America's security blessing for Israel.
China plays an important role, the United States and Israel don't want to do whatever they want!
If China were not in a position to balance the world, it might face the bullying of the United States and Israel, and the Middle East countries would not be able to face the United States and Israel. After all, Israel has won all five wars in the Middle East, and it is still in the absence of the United States.
The most important reason is that, on the one hand, China does have influence over Iran, and on the other hand, the situation in the Middle East cannot really be played without China, and China's attitude often determines the development of the situation.
However, China is furious about Israel's attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria, and has repeatedly condemned Israel before.
So, what is China's attitude towards Iran's counterattack against Israel?
According to information disclosed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Foreign Minister Wang Yi said in a phone call with Blinken that China strongly condemns the attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria and stresses that the security of diplomatic institutions cannot be violated and the sovereignty of Iran and Syria should be respected. This escalation is the latest manifestation of the spillover of the conflict in Gaza, and it is imperative that the conflict in Gaza be quelled as soon as possible. China calls on all parties to the conflict to earnestly implement UN Security Council Resolution 2728, immediately cease the fire and stop the hostilities, and prevent the humanitarian crisis. China will continue to proceed from the merits of the matter, play a constructive role in resolving the Middle East issue, and contribute to the de-escalation of the situation. In particular, the US should play a constructive role.
Foreign Minister Wang Yi's remarks mainly reflect four meanings:
The first meaning: Israel has made a serious mistake, so it deserves to be beaten, and it is impossible for China to put pressure on Iran.
The second meaning: the escalation of the situation is the spillover of the Gaza conflict, so whether Iran retaliates against Israel is not the most important thing, the most important thing is to calm the Gaza conflict, which requires the United States to play a role. Iran has made it clear to the United States that it will not retaliate as long as the United States can get Israel to end the conflict in Gaza. However, the United States will certainly not do that, so Iran is just showing an attitude that it will retaliate as it should retaliate. So, if the United States can't stop the Gaza conflict, don't say anything.
The third meaning: China calls on all parties to earnestly implement UN Security Council Resolution 2728, immediately cease fire and stop hostilities, and prevent a humanitarian crisis. This is also addressed to the United States, which must end being at the mercy of the Jews.
The fourth meaning: It is impossible for China to do what the United States wants. China will continue to play a constructive role in resolving the Middle East issue based on the merits of the matter itself, which means that China will adjust its strategy according to its own needs, rather than letting the United States do it.
Iran's blow to Israel will be continuous and long-lasting!
U.S. media reported that the United States and its allies believe that Iran and the forces it supports are about to launch a massive missile or drone attack on Israeli targets. These attacks are likely to occur in the coming days and will be carried out using high-precision strike missiles.
According to Bloomberg, while the United States has urged Israel to cease fire in the Gaza Strip, the Biden administration has also said that the United States is prepared to support Israel in the event of a retaliatory attack. Biden said on the 10th: "We also want to address the Iranian threat of a major attack on Israel." As I told [Israeli] Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, our commitment to Israel's security and its defense against threats from Iran and its proxies is strong. Let me repeat, we will do everything in our power to protect Israel's security. On the same day, a Pentagon official declined to comment on reports that the United States was preparing to intercept Iranian missiles and would be involved in Israel's attack on Iran. The official told the British newspaper The Telegraph that the US government "understands Iran's rhetoric" and that "both Israel and the United States are taking it seriously."
Iran's counterattack against Israel this time will not be a one-off time, but will be long-term. Why do you say that? Because it is now the resistance of the Islamic countries to the Israeli invasion of Palestine. Over the past six months, Allah, the Houthis, Hamas, and armed groups in Iraq have launched attacks against Israel. In the past, Iran's support may have been leisurely, but now that Israel has begun bombing Iranian embassies abroad, it means that Israel could attack Iranian soil at any time. In such a situation, Iran, of course, will fully support these armed forces against Israel.
Compared with the past, Iran will pay more attention to military development and will give more support to anti-Israel forces, and the war will inevitably become more and more fierce. It's just that, compared to the one-sided past, life in Israel will be more and more difficult in the future.
On the one hand, Israel is unwilling to withdraw its troops and is ready to return to southern Gaza at any time; The battle will definitely get bigger and bigger, and no one can stop it!