"Jiang Shuying didn't come" swiped the screen! A share on the hot search, the reason was found

With the rumors of celebrities' "liquidation" and subsequent clarifications, A-shares have won a number of hot searches today. Institutional experts believe that now is the prostrate period of the broader market, and it is recommended that investors wait and see.

On January 22, the market opened low throughout the day, and the three major indexes all fell by more than 2% to hit a new low, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell below 2,800 points. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 2.68%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 3.5%, and the ChiNext Index fell 2.83%.

Today, on the whole, stocks fell more than they rose, nearly 5,200 stocks fell in the whole market, less than 200 stocks rose, and more than 200 stocks fell more than 9%. The turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 794 billion yuan, an increase of 127.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Northbound funds bought a net of 1.047 billion yuan throughout the day, including a net purchase of 739 million yuan in Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and a net purchase of 309 million yuan in Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect.

With the decline of the market, in the afternoon, the news that Jiang Shuying's snowball exploded on the social platform and went to the headquarters of Shenwan Hongyuan. However, according to media reports, a relevant person in charge of Shenwan Hongyuan said, "Don't ask, Jiang Shuying didn't come." The photos posted online show a camera in the corner, which should be a working photo on the set.

For the future market trend, the interviewee believes that the market may still have a certain demand for a rebound, and the Shanghai Index below 2800 points is a range with high investment cost performance. However, the Spring Festival holiday is gradually approaching, and the probability of a large inflow of institutional funds before the long holiday is low, and the long and short sides may start a tug of war near 2800 points in the Shanghai Composite Index, and the bottom will likely continue to repeat. In the long run, it is a good opportunity to allocate long-term funds.

The media led the decline in silver protection

On Monday, the three major A-share indexes continued to bottom out, hitting new lows together. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 2.68% to close at 2,756.34 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 3.5% to close at 8,479.55 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 2.83% to close at 1,666.88 points.

Judging from the Shenwan first-level industry index, none of the industry sectors closed up, and the market was all green. Judging from the plate heat map, it is also a "green oil".

In terms of decline, among the first-class industries of Shenwan, the media sector led the decline with a decline of 6.55%. Social services, beauty care, environmental protection, computers, light manufacturing, commerce and retail, textiles and apparel, basic chemicals and other industry sectors fell more than 5%.

Judging from the Shenwan secondary industry index, there are still three industry sectors that are relatively strong and close up with a slight increase. Among them, joint-stock banks closed up 0.38%, insurance closed up 0.2%, and large state-owned banks closed up 0.16%.

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The reasons for this decline are multifaceted

Regarding the reasons for today's sharp fall, Chen Xingwen, chief investment officer of Blacksaki Capital, believes that there are many reasons:

First, in the medium term, there is an imbalance between the elasticity of demand and the lack of supply. The pressure to release from the supply side is becoming more and more apparent. At the same time, in the short term, the market's chip structure has been slow to recover, which has limited marginal improvements in market pricing.

Second, panic is spreading unscrupulously, resulting in a continuous and strong resonance of negative emotions in funds and markets.

Third, after the continuous heavy damage to investor confidence, the liquidity of funds dried up, resulting in a significant decline in the efficiency of the market in financing and resource allocation.

Fourth, the institutional redemption pressure is huge, and the continuous selling has led to the collapse of the market.

Fifth, listed companies are facing tremendous pressure on market value management, which may interfere with their normal operations and development plans. If this situation persists, it may trigger a vicious circle in the market ecology, which will eventually lead to difficulties for all participants to sustain.

Sixth, it is affected by economic data and policies.

"The market is volatile, and the market sentiment has been hit by the breakdown, and the concerns of the snowball concentrated knock-in may have aggravated the concerns of funds on and off the market. Liu Youhua, deputy director of the wealth research department of Paipai.com, told reporters.

Regarding the reasons for the sharp decline in the market, Panyao Assets said that on the one hand, there are still hundreds of billions of snowball structure products. On the other hand, the financial pressure comes from the redemption of public and private products. At present, the market sentiment is extreme, the fundamental pricing is extremely distorted, and the sensitivity of investors to bearish information is unprecedented, and the market has entered the stage of gambling on the performance of 2023 and 2024Q1.

In the view of Wang Jiang, general manager of the equity department of Yuanrong Investment, the current market has fully priced in the twists and turns of the economic recovery, and the short-term market may be disturbed by non-fundamental and liquidity factors in stages.

It is recommended to wait and see

In Chen Xingwen's view, now is the long and painful creeping period of the market, and it is recommended that investors wait and see, and "hide from the rain" with injured chips. "We need to take a thorough and fresh look at the stock market, not just as a tool for financing, but also as a dynamic and vital part of the economic system."

"Constructing a historic market bottom is a difficult process, and it requires a lot of patience and tenacity on the part of investors. Chen Xingwen said that the current stage of building a historic bottom is usually very difficult. On the one hand, the decline in the index may trigger panic among investors, and on the other hand, due to the market's current extremely low valuation, many people are concerned that selling too early could lead to unrecoverable losses. Investors, under the influence of this mixed emotions, may continue to move through this period of hesitation and struggle.

Liu Youhua believes that the next market or there is still a certain demand for a rebound, the Shanghai Index below 2800 points is a range with a high investment cost performance, but the Spring Festival holiday is gradually approaching, the probability of a large inflow of institutional funds before the long holiday is low, the long and short sides or in the Shanghai Index near 2800 points to start a see-saw, the bottom will likely continue to repeat. In the long run, it is a good opportunity to allocate long-term funds.

For the market outlook, Huang Huayan, general manager of Dadao Industrial Investment, told reporters that it is undeniable that it is a relatively low point in the market, but before the holiday, it is recommended that investors should not expect too much from the market, and they can stabilize the fundamentals. At present, the factors restricting the entry of funds have not been eliminated, and the policy side still needs to be further strengthened, and the major indices are still in a downward channel.

Panyao Asset believes that at present, it is not as pessimistic as before, and when the panic is exhausted, the chip structure will be stabilized. The reasons for optimism and pessimism at the top and bottom of each bull and bear market are different, but the common denominator behind each change is human nature. The panic that everyone is abandoning at this time in the market is similar to the madness that everyone rushed to three years ago, and it is the ultimate emotion. After the low tide, it has always been a good opportunity to catch the sea, hold your position, and don't panic.

Looking ahead, Wang will point out that after the rapid decline, the downward momentum has been fully released. Next, the market may be more sensitive to upward marginal changes, and policies to protect the market or improve earnings on the molecular end may boost the market. It is expected that the performance of the main indexes of the A-share market in 2024 will be better than that in 2023, and the subsequent market may show a volatile consolidation or even more volatility.

Reporter Lu Yiwen

Edited by Chen Si

Editor-in-charge: Sun Xiao

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255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and 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rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){-appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]).my_comment_empty_data{ background-color:#111}}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-6: rgba(0, 0, 0, .. 05);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.wx-root{--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 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#ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, 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#1E1E1E}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--APPMSGCARD-LINE-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .07)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: #373737}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([ data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-6: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, ..1);-weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, ..1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .. 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, 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#8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .. 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){-appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) :root{--appmsgPageGap: 20px;--appmsgPageBottomGap: 40px}}:root{--articleFontsize: 17px}:root{--sab: env(safe-area-input-bottom)}:root{--wxBorderAvatarRatio: 3}:root{--discussPageGap: 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