“江疏影没来”刷屏！A股上热搜，原因找到了

伴随着明星“爆仓”的传闻及后续澄清，A股今日包揽多个热搜。机构专家认为，现在是大盘的匍匐期，建议投资者轻仓观望等待。

1月22日，市场全天低开低走，三大指数均跌超2%再创阶段新低，沪指失守2800点。截至收盘，沪指跌2.68%，深成指跌3.5%，创业板指跌2.83%。

今日，总体上个股跌多涨少，全市场近5200只个股下跌，上涨个股不足200只，逾200股跌超9%。沪深两市成交额7940亿元，较上个交易日放量1274亿元。北向资金全天净买入10.47亿元，其中沪股通净买入7.39亿元，深股通净买入3.09亿元。

伴随着市场的下跌，午后社交平台上开始“疯传”江疏影的雪球爆仓，并跑去申万宏源总部的消息。不过，据媒体报道，申万宏源一位相关负责人表示“别问了，江疏影没来”。而网传的照片在角落显示有摄像机，应该为片场工作照。

对于未来的市场走势，受访人士认为，接下来市场或仍有一定超跌反弹的需求，沪指2800点下方是具有较高投资性价比的区间。但春节长假已逐渐临近，长假前机构资金大幅流入的概率较低，多空双方或在沪指2800点附近展开拉锯，底部将有可能继续反复。长期来看，当前是长线资金的配置良机。

传媒领跌银保护盘

周一，A股三大指数延续探底走势，齐创阶段新低。截至收盘，沪指跌2.68%，收报2756.34点；深证成指跌3.5%，收报8479.55点；创业板指跌2.83%，收报1666.88点。

从申万一级行业指数来看，无一行业板块收涨，满盘皆绿。从板块热图来看，也是一片“绿油油”。

下跌方面，申万一级行业中，传媒板块以6.55%的跌幅领跌。社会服务、美容护理、环保、计算机、轻工制造、商贸零售、纺织服饰、基础化工等行业板块跌超5%。

从申万二级行业指数来看，仍有三个行业板块相对坚挺，以微弱的涨幅收涨。其中，股份制银行收涨0.38%，保险收涨0.2%，国有大型银行收涨0.16%。

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本次下跌成因多面

关于今日大跌的原因，黑崎资本首席投资执行官陈兴文认为，有多方面原因：

一是在中期来看，需求的弹性与供给的不足之间存在着不平衡。供给端释放的压力正变得越发明显。同时，在短期内，市场的筹码结构恢复缓慢，这导致市场定价的边际改善受到限制。

二是恐慌的情绪在肆无忌惮地蔓延，导致资金和市场形成了负面情绪的持续强烈共振。

三是投资者的信心遭受持续重创后，资金流动性枯竭，导致市场在融资和资源配置方面的效率显著下降。

四是机构赎回压力巨大，持续的卖出导致市场坍塌。

五是上市企业面临市值管理的巨大压力，这可能干扰它们的正常运营和发展规划。如果这种状况持续存在，可能会引发市场生态的恶性循环，最终导致所有参与者面临困境，难以持续下去。

六是受到经济数据和政策端的影响。

“市场剧烈震荡，破位下跌打击市场情绪，雪球集中敲入的顾虑则可能加重了场内外资金的担忧。”排排网财富研究部副总监刘有华向记者表示。

关于市场大跌原因，磐耀资产表示，一方面，目前仍旧存在数千亿级别的雪球结构产品。另一方面，资金压力来自公募、私募产品的赎回。目前市场的情绪极致，基本面定价极度扭曲，投资人对于利空信息的敏感度空前，市场进入博弈2023年和2024Q1业绩的阶段，部分存在季报/年报风险的行业板块恐慌盘尽出，全板块流动加速。

在圆融投资股票部总经理王将看来，当前市场比较充分地定价了经济复苏的曲折性，短期市场可能阶段性地受到非基本面和流动性因素扰动。

建议轻仓观望等待

在陈兴文看来，现在就是大盘漫长而痛苦的匍匐期，建议投资者轻仓观望等待，拿着受伤的筹码“躲雨”。“我们需要彻底、重新审视股市，不仅仅视其为融资的工具，更需理解其作为经济体系一部分的活力和生命力”。

“构建一个历史性的市场底部是一个艰难的过程，这需要投资者展现出极大的耐心和坚韧。”陈兴文表示，当前正处于构建历史性底部的阶段，这个过程通常是非常艰难的。一方面，指数的下跌可能引发投资者的恐慌情绪；另一方面，由于市场当前的极端低估值，许多人又担心过早卖出可能导致无法恢复的损失。投资者在这种复杂情绪的影响下，可能会在犹豫和挣扎中持续度过这段时间。

刘有华认为，接下来市场或仍有一定超跌反弹的需求，沪指2800点下方是具有较高投资性价比的区间，但春节长假已逐渐临近，长假前机构资金大幅流入的概率较低，多空双方或在沪指2800点附近展开拉锯，底部将有可能继续反复。长期来看，当前是长线资金的配置良机。

对于后市，大道兴业投资总经理黄华艳向记者表示，不可否认目前是市场的相对低点，但节前建议投资者不宜对市场期望太高，能稳住基本盘即可。目前来看，制约资金进场的因素并没有消除，同时政策端仍有待进一步发力，且各大指数仍处于下降通道。

磐耀资产认为，在当下反而不似先前悲观，当恐慌盘出尽，筹码结构将得到稳固。每一波牛熊市顶部和底部的乐观和悲观理由都不尽相同，但每次不一样背后不变的共性是人性。市场此时人人弃如弊履的恐慌跟三年前人人趋之若鹜的疯狂是何其的相似，都是一种情绪的极致。退潮之后历来都是赶海良机，守好阵地，不要慌张。

展望后市，王将指出，在快速下跌后，下跌动能获得比较充分的释放。接下来，市场可能对向上的边际变化更为敏感，呵护市场的政策或者分子端的盈利改善都可能助推市场。预计2024年A股市场主要指数的表现优于2023年，后续可能呈现震荡整理甚至震荡偏多的行情。

记者 陆怡雯

编辑 陈偲

责任编辑 孙霄

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#3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-theme=dark]{--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc)body:not(.pages_skin_pc){background:#191919;background:var(--weui-BG-2)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .85);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .65);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .35);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen 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#10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: #e6e6e6}.wx-root,body{--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: 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#373737}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-6: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: 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174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) :root{--appmsgPageGap: 20px;--appmsgPageBottomGap: 40px}}:root{--articleFontsize: 17px}:root{--sab: env(safe-area-inset-bottom)}:root{--wxBorderAvatarRatio: 3}:root{--discussPageGap: 20px}:root{--appmsgPageGap: 20px;--appmsgPageBottomGap: 40px}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]) .rich_media_content img:not(.wx_img_placeholder){filter:brightness(.8)}}*{margin:0;padding:0}.rich_media_content *{max-width:100%!important;box-sizing:border-box!important;-webkit-box-sizing:border-box!important;word-wrap:break-word!important}.rich_media_content p{clear:both;min-height:1em}td p{margin:0;padding:0}

div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}