In the Black Sea, a Grim Reaper drone crashed, sparking widespread discussion and tension. The incident was of particular concern to both sides, with many statements from senior officials and actions underway. One of the parties asked not to salvage the drone, a position the United States upholds. Russia firmly believes that it has the right to salvage in the area where the incident occurred. As a result, various salvage work was carried out around the crash site, and progress progressed rapidly. Russia has a geographical advantage, its ships have already arrived in the designated sea area and blocked. As a next step, the two sides could employ high-end technology to salvage drones, which could both humiliate the United States and reveal previously undiscovered secrets.
To further exacerbate the situation, the United States sent destroyers into the Black Sea through the Bosphorus, aiming to establish American-style controls in specific sea areas. But if the drone is as useless as the U.S. claims and can't access more defense secrets, then the U.S. drone operation doesn't seem to have much to do with previous "reconnaissance and crossing" behavior. The United States may be deliberately provoking trouble in the Black Sea and provoking some form of maritime conflict with Russia. Previously, the United States had suggested that Ukraine salvage the drone, but if Ukraine takes such a move, a military confrontation or even conflict at sea could soon occur. The United States seems to have placed Ukraine in the role of the first echelon, while its own destroyers and other combat forces are located in the rear in order to form a double echelon against Russia in the Black Sea.
This pattern of deployment could trigger different levels of maritime contention in the Black Sea region, such as the blockade of the relevant maritime areas. If Russia blocks the relevant waters and the United States forcibly enters, Russia has made it clear that it will respond by force. If the United States deploys warships in the region and declares, "This is my thing, American asset," then the United States deserves that right. This tension could lead to head-on collisions between warships from both countries at sea. In addition, if Ukraine uses special forces and other means to enter the relevant sea area, it may also trigger a maritime conflict with Russia.
Therefore, the crash of this drone may have little to do with factors such as technical failures, interception or impact. The goal of the United States seems to be to deliberately create tension in the Black Sea or, after some kind of contact friction, deliberately crash the drone into the sea. If it is true that the US military deliberately guided the drone to crash in this sea area, about 120 kilometers from Crimea, or even closer, then American warships can stay within 120 or 60 kilometers of Crimea for a long time. But whether or not the drone is successfully salvaged, it doesn't seem to be that important to both sides.
Especially for the United States, which is trying to find opportunities to consider itself a "Black Sea littoral state." Through this incident, whether the salvage is successful or not, it is not the most important thing for both sides. What's more, through tensions in the Black Sea, the United States can enhance its military deployments at sea, including ships and aircraft. If a local conflict in the Black Sea is successfully created, the likelihood of a head-on confrontation between the two sides increases significantly. However, in any case, as long as friction occurs, it will provoke a head-on confrontation between the two sides, which is the desire of the United States to provoke a local conflict with Russia through such friction in the air.
The United States and NATO have absolute superiority, and it is quite difficult for Russia to completely resist the actions of the United States and NATO countries in the Black Sea in terms of air, space and sea forces. Thus, it seems that the United States is developing a new strategy of naval and air combat in the Black Sea through the drone incident. Such a confrontation will help the United States strengthen its military forward deployment in the Black Sea. For both sides, the success of salvage is not the most critical issue, but through this incident, a new model of naval and air combat will be formed, and the development of future combat rules, combat environment, UAVs and cyber warfare will be promoted.