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The biggest crisis facing Russia is the military threat from Western countries. NATO regularly conducts military exercises in western Russia, which poses a direct threat to Russia. In addition, the United States and Japan conduct exercises in Russia's eastern seas and intend to conduct joint exercises with nearby countries in the southern region, which disperses Russia's military forces. According to the Russian Global Network, Armenia in the southern region will conduct joint military exercises with the United States, with the aim of strengthening the military cooperation capabilities of the two countries.
The exercise is a preparation for Armenia's assessment of the NATO Conceptual Framework for Combat Capability, which means that the United States is developing Armenia as a "supernumerary member" of NATO. The Armenian Prime Minister said in a speech that Russia cannot guarantee Armenia's security, or even meet their security needs, because it is being limited by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which makes Armenia dissatisfied.
Armenia asked Russia to resolve its conflict with Azerbaijan, but Russia has not intervened, which makes Armenia need to find more "military base" to deal with a conflict that may occur at any time. The Armenian prime minister pointed out that it is no longer the era of the past, Armenia should no longer adhere to the concept of "cooperation only with Russia", it must seek more military allies to ensure its own security. Western media analysis said that this is a signal that Armenia is turning to Western countries, and it may want to strengthen cooperation with the United States or the European Union.
Armenia needs more military bases to guarantee its security, and the joint military exercises with the United States now will be an important step in Armenia's development of military allies, which also shows that the United States is trying to expand its influence in the region. Recently, Armenia announced a joint military exercise with the United States, which is remarkable. This also indicates that Armenia has begun to engage with the United States, trying to transition from the "Russian era" to the "American and NATO era". This is a clear security threat to Russia, given Armenia's proximity to Russian territory.
Russia must take a series of measures to guarantee security in the south and even strengthen its military presence in the Nagorno-Karabakh region. The strategic importance of the Nagorno-Karabakh region explains why Russia cannot tolerate the development of U.S. power there. As a result, a conflict could break out between the two countries on the ground, and Armenia, as an ally of Russia, would be under Russian pressure. If mishandled, it may even be under pressure from both the United States and Russia.
More dangerously, the United States and Russia have shown each other their strategic weapons, showing a posture of fighting without saying a word. This also means that in the event of a conflict between the two sides, Armenia will face enormous pressure. The Nagorno-Karabakh region is a region that needs to be solved by non-military means, and military confrontation will only complicate the problem. And Armenia's "wolf incurring" behavior cannot guarantee its own safety.
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