The July night is low in the sky and full of stars. On this quiet night, nature has turned a sea change. Super Typhoon Du Surui, like a giant beast, quietly approached, has arrived at the entrance of the Bus Strait, and is about to break into the mainland's cordon. Worryingly, this powerful cyclone continues to strengthen, with winds climbing from category 16 to staggering speeds above category 17, even if it weakens slightly at nightfall.
The satellite cloud image shows the clear stability of the eye of Typhoon Dusuri, gradually becoming rounded, while the cloud wall around it rotates at high speed, like a solid city wall, guarding the center of this powerful cyclone. At the same time, huge rain belts are scattered in all directions like blooming petals, covering every corner of the typhoon. This sight only speaks to the fact that Dusuri has become an unusually stable and powerful large, super typhoon.
More notably, this huge typhoon bypassed the high mountains of the Philippine island of Luzon. As of 8 p.m. on July 25, the center of Du Suri was already located north of the northeast corner of Luzon, effectively deviating from Luzon without direct contact with its alpine terrain. This means that the typhoon defense line constructed by Luzon has completely failed. At the same time, the warm waters of the Bass Strait provide Dusuri with a steady stream of energy, which could lead to radiation in the region, further strengthening its power and maintaining the intensity of its super typhoon until it approaches the waters off eastern Guangdong or southern Fujian.
However, so far, there is no agreement on which province Du Suri will land in the mainland, and various weather models and artificial intelligence models have not agreed. Some predictions suggest that the Western model predicts that Du Suri will continue to advance northwest after entering the Basi Strait, and eventually land in eastern Guangdong; The Eastern model, on the other hand, believes that Du Surui will gradually change his path after entering the Bus Strait, turn north, and finally land in southern Fujian on July 28.
At present, a number of meteorological agencies, including the AI model of Zhongqi Ai, Kunyu and Huawei's Pangu model, tend to support the Eastern view that Du Surui is more likely to land in southern Fujian. The divergence may be that another wind embryo 91W east of Dusuri is developing rapidly, and if it quickly escalates to Typhoon Kanu No. 6, then Dussuri is more likely to move westward; And if its development is slower, then Du Suri may be more inclined to the eastern path.
However, whether Du Surui eventually landed in Guangdong or Fujian, it brought great risks and threats. This typhoon, which has not been weakened by the Philippine island of Luzon and the mainland island of Taiwan, will make landfall directly with its powerful force, and its impact and harm cannot be underestimated. Previous typhoons with similar circumstances, such as Typhoon 82, which made landfall on August 2, 1922, Typhoon Viona No. 6903, which made landfall on July 28, 1969, and Typhoon Emmy No. 9107, which made landfall on July 19, 1991, all caused huge damage and economic losses.
Such strong typhoons have also hit the Xiamen Zhangquan area, such as Typhoon Iris No. 5903, which made landfall on August 23, 1959, Typhoon Wayne No. 8304, which made landfall on July 25, 1983, and Typhoon Dane No. 9914, which made landfall on October 9, 1999, and Typhoon Moranti, which made landfall on September 15, 2016. Almost all of these typhoons reached the level of strong or super typhoons, causing serious damage and casualties to the local area, including Super Typhoon Moranti in 2016 that Xiamen citizens remembered.
From the current situation, although Dussuri does not have the maximum wind speed of Moranti, its ability to avoid mountains may be better, reducing the degree of being weakened by the terrain. Therefore, the intensity of landfall may be comparable to that of Moranti, and with greater circulation and richer water vapor, it has the potential to penetrate deep inland, bringing a lot of rainfall to the North China Plain. In short, Dusu
Rui is likely to become the largest typhoon to be encountered in eastern Guangdong and southern Fujian since 2016, and arguably the most powerful typhoon facing the mainland since 2023. Therefore, for friends in eastern Guangdong and southern Fujian, it is necessary to deal with this threat with the highest vigilance and preparedness.
The power of super typhoons cannot be underestimated, and past typhoon disasters have left a profound lesson. Just like those historical typhoons, whether they landed in the Chaoshan area or the Xiamen Zhangquan area, they caused great damage. Vast swathes of houses were destroyed, windows shattered, tall buildings crumbled and the city was thrown into chaos. People feel small and helpless in the face of the forces of nature.
However, human science and technology and wisdom are also constantly improving, and early warning systems, defensive measures, rescue plans, etc. are constantly improving. From history, we can see that in the face of disasters, people have united to fight disasters together, showing human resilience and bravery. Every disaster is a grind, a wake-up call, allowing us to understand the power of nature more and cherish the preciousness of life.
With Dusuri just around the corner, we need to be well prepared no matter which area it ultimately chooses to land in. Governments at all levels and meteorological departments should release and guide information in advance, so that the public can understand the trend of typhoons and take corresponding countermeasures. People should also take protective measures according to local weather warnings to avoid unnecessary risks.
Although typhoons are powerful, human wisdom and courage cannot be underestimated