This article was compiled from: The Athletic
By Andrew DeWitt, Jovan Buha
原标题：Will LeBron James score 40 on Saturday night after Dillon Brooks’ ‘old’ comment? Vegas, experts don’t think so
Dillon Brooks, after the second game between the Lakers and Grizzlies, told the world what he thought of the abilities of the 38-year-old James, who he thought was old.
"I won't respect anyone unless he cuts 40 points on my head." Dillon said. This may not be a good strategy, angering James and raising suspicions that the Grizzlies would benefit from it.
However, in fact, neither in the Lakers nor in the Cavaliers, James scored more than 40 points against Dillon.
Moreover, James has not scored more than 40 points since scoring 41 points in the 121-125 overtime loss to the Celtics in late January.
So far, James is averaging 24.5 points per game in the playoffs, 28 so far in April, and back in February, he averaged 33.8 points per game, but then suffered a tendon injury in his right foot that caused him to miss most of March.
So, how many points can James score in Game 3 against the Grizzlies?
The odds are bearish Zhan Huanghong 40+
The odds show that James scored around 28 points in the third game, and if bet on James scoring no more than 28 points, a bet of $125 would win $100, and if he bet on James scoring 29 points or more, a bettor who bet $110 would win $100.
Meanwhile, on a bet where James scored 40+, the odds are +600, and you get $600 by betting $100.
Obviously, the odds are not favored by James hitting 40+. In addition, the data model analysis shows that the probability that James scored 40+ is only 6.2%.
Famous Ji predicts that Lao Zhan Hong 30+ triple-doubles
Lakers and Jovan Buha spoke about Dillon's strategy to provoke James, saying it wasn't a wise choice, and James has proven time and time again in his more than decade playoff career that when he is outraged, he responds with his own performance, not words. For example, before Sean Stevenson, Lance Stephenson, Jason Terry, Dream Chaser, etc., their trash talk did not work.
"I think Dillon gave James and the Lakers extra motivation as a team." Jovan Buka said.
However, Jovan Buka believes that James will not necessarily be able to score 40 points in Game 3, predicting that James will lead the team to win with a 30+ triple-double.
According to official website statistics, in the first two games of this series, when Dillon was the main defender, James scored a total of 26 points, 0 turnovers, shooting 61.1% from the field and 42.9% from three-point range. Even the 38-year-old James can easily blast Dillon.
In fact, James ignored Dillon's trash talk, and he responded to Dillon's provocative topic by simply saying, "I don't want to say more." I'm not here to talk about these dog X, I'm ready to play, there's a great game tomorrow and that's it. The series will always be who wins the first four games to advance, it has always been like this, it will always be like this. ”
For the battle-hardened James, winning comes first, and Dillon's deliberate provocation didn't make him mentally unbalanced.