Positive and negative league bottom, how long does Wiseman have trial and error time? Wiggins returns as the last reinforcement of the Warriors?

1

Wiseman played in 20 games with the Pistons, averaging 13.1 points + 8.5 rebounds and seven double-doubles. The news said that Wiseman was at the bottom of the league in the same period, in fact, it was not the lowest, and the positive and negative values of Hays and Ive on the same team were lower than Wiseman's in the same period, and there were several big brothers of the Rockets and Blazers pressed below. Even if you look at the 100-round ON/OFF data, Wiseman is not the lowest Pistons in the same period, when Wiseman is present, the Pistons lose 14.6 points per 100 rounds, and when he is not on the floor, the Pistons lose 2.8 points per 100 rounds, and Hays in the same period, these two data are -15.3 and -0.5, the difference is even larger than Wiseman.

When I say this, of course, I don't want to help Huaiko find a cushion. As a swinging team, young people can easily magnify each other's flaws in one piece, and after the flaws are superimposed, it is normal for the plus-minus to rush to the Mariana Trench. Wiseman's decent profile stats are also deceptive, ostensibly, he has doubled the double-doubles of his Warriors career in 20 games for the Pistons, but in fact, with improved playing time and slightly modified positioning, it is easy to achieve this effect.

Arguably, the data overestimated both Wiseman's damage (plus or minus) and Wiseman's progress (panel data).

So, is Wiseman improving?

Or improved, and the area of improvement is the more ugly defense in the data. In the Pistons' 20 games, when Huaiko was on the floor, the Pistons conceded 10 more points per 100 games, and the negative impact on this end looked much more serious than his offense with only 2 fewer points on the floor. I say he's improved because Waiko's defensive starting point is too low, and in the first few games of the season, Wiseman is no different from air on the field, and air may not foul, and Wiseman will be useless, worse than his rookie season.

With no games played for more than a year, Wiseman's stadium at the beginning of the season felt bad, and with Cole trying, the all-fresh meat team leaking inside and out, and the prince as the last barrier was inevitably beaten one by one. When it was reactivated this season, Huaiko's defense was better than it was at the beginning of the season, and it was basically this version after going to the Pistons. This version is probably like this:

You can tell he's a 2.13m centre-forward.

Compared to the past when he squeezed like a piece of paper, Wiseman can do some rebounding slots, frontal defense opponents with few changes, his size will produce some deterrence, and some blockers will give up direct rushing to the basket. When defending one-on-one breakthroughs, know to turn sideways to one side, and then rely on your body to cover the opponent's attack basket route. Hooks, throws, jump shots that are a little away from him, he can have some interference effects. These are all things a center should do.

That's pretty much it. Wiseman's defense is still very poor, and the basket that occurs in confrontation cannot be protected, and it cannot be protected in the face of some attacks that do not seem fierce. Compared with his rookie season, Wiseman was lit up a little less often, but when protecting the basket, there was a sense of "one frame slower" delay, so there would be a protective but unprotected effect. His instant reaction speed may not be a strong point, and he needs more experience to take advantage of his size. As for more complex situations, such as some pass scheduling in the opponent's blocking, hitting him behind him, it is difficult for him not to lose position. If Downs' defensive highlights are replaced by Wiseman, it is not at all inconsistent.

As the most important position on the defensive end, the shortcomings of the center are difficult to make up for by integrity. Even if the Pistons' expectations of the prince are just puzzle pieces, it will be difficult to become a player of positive value until his defense is completely evolved. Confrontation can be practiced, and after the strength comes up, some links can be improved, but the defense is not easy to completely repair, otherwise the Timberwolves will not be dead set on the prospect of Downs playing the No. 5 position.

The part of Wiseman's greater potential is offense. During the Warriors period, the Kerr system needed the center to play the policy point, to do a lot of cover, but also to constantly observe and read, to cooperate with the main attacker in the backcourt to play a changeable, random game content. This is, of course, something that Wiseman does not understand, and even, he does not have the will to seriously do cover, and the cooperation with the shooter does not provide the value related to "development" at all. Wiseman cuts the end of the pie from the bottom line when the Warriors are only suitable for one role, the library chasing and dismantling. But the Warriors will not always chase and dismantle the hand, Wiseman will inevitably go to the top of the arc to participate in tactics in large numbers, and what he needs is a fake block to remove the empty catch cake in advance or catch the ball near the basket area to turn and hook, Curry needs a high-quality cover, or catch Curry's strategy after the ball is launched again, the two can't pee in a pot at all.

Wiseman averaged 0.7 assists per game, 13 assists in 20 games for the Pistons but 32 turnovers, and the problem of covering has not changed substantially with the Warriors, and his strong willingness to finish has been consolidated in the Pistons. This completely self-centered style of play requires the blockers who cooperate with him to be prepared like this:

It is necessary to have the consciousness to completely rely on one's personal ability to get rid of the defense, especially after entering the three-point line, you can slow down to hit one from mid-range. Because the center does not provide cover, and it is impossible for the ball to come back after it reaches the center, the shooting space is almost entirely created by the individual blocker.

Defenders who rely on height and strength to slow down and play throws, mid-range, and feed the pie will be more suitable for Wiseman than defenders who cover their ball-holding shots. CC has some basic conditions that meet the requirements, but objectively speaking, before CC makes great progress, he is only on the right path, and his ability is still debatable.

It's a bit embarrassing. Wiseman is a style of play that completely needs teammates to create an environment for him, but can't create an environment for teammates, his ability to block and dismantle partners is not low, but he can only play a stop lower than Ayton's finishing firepower, other areas - defense, cover, ball handling - are much worse, for a center with core treatment, this input-output ratio is too low, because this is 3 second-round Lakers version of Thomas Bryant can do better, Wiseman is even far from that small goal.

Wiseman is also difficult to completely switch to low-scene puzzle play. He can shoot three-pointers and threatens to the level of a space-type interior. He has the size and athleticism, but he doesn't have enough strength and energy to fight a lot of front board, so don't expect him to do a job similar to Miro's.

What is this concept?

Wiseman is the real "prince". The order of "prince", the style of play of "master". He is not an arrogant person, low-key, friendly, humble, and when not on the field, he attracts people. But he really didn't do a good job as a puzzle player, whether it was a little direction or personal will, he went to the core, and the NBA couldn't provide him with a core playing environment. This misalignment of demand and direction is partly due to his luck, and he began his career with a winning team with a championship core, rather than a swing team that could be built entirely around him. But the objective reality is that in the current NBA, a core center who is only responsible for finishing with bad defense, really, there is no such creature.

The Pistons can give half a season to trial and error after getting Wiseman. What happens after this year's draft? With a large interior line, can the pistons still stick to this in the future?

After a full game, there are only 82+4 games left in the 4-year rookie contract. Time flies by quickly, and the NBA doesn't have much patience.

2

Wiggins is back, and he has continued training during his departure, possibly against the Kings or Trail Blazers. It couldn't be better news for the Warriors, who not only wouldn't miss the first round, but also didn't need to look for form after the playoffs began.

The question is, the Warriors have been around this season, and the pattern of introducing new variables and losing will this continue? Before Curry returned to lose, the Warriors can spend some time to adapt to the new rotation method, now there is no cost of trial and error, after losing to the Timberwolves and Nuggets, in order to ensure that they do not play the playoffs, the Warriors cannot afford to lose one of the next 3 games, Kerr must immediately find the right rotation answer, or, just leave the team and Wiggins a game of run-in time.

In fact, Kerr hasn't even addressed the rotation after Payton's return. Payton played 4 games with the Warriors, and his individual performance was no different from last season, but the plus-minus values were -9, -14, 13, -12, respectively. The positive and negative values of a single game under a small sample are not fake, and the law of Payton playing the second position to win the score and playing the third position to lose points also exists. On the other hand, Lamb shot only 29.5 percent from three-point range after being activated again. Compared to Kuminga, Lamb is still the No. 4 space point that Cole trusts more, especially when using Payton, Cole is more inclined to put Lamb and even Thompson in the No. 4 position to balance space and defense. This way of employing people actually neutralizes the defensive advantage that Payton brought back.

This is the problem that Wiggins' return will solve, and it is also the difference between his return and the return of Curry and Payton - he fills the most missing position for the Warriors, and the return of Curry and Payton has exacerbated the Warriors' size disadvantage. Especially after Payton's return, Jaggin also withdrew from the rotation at the same time, even if the latter's defense is far inferior to the former, removing an interior size and adding a point guard size, the height downgrade is still an impact that cannot be ignored. Wiggins is the Warriors' starting small forward, and his return won't eat just one person's time, but no matter whose time it takes, the Warriors can't get shorter.

The hidden danger is at which level Wiggins' personal status is. He played poorly before leaving, didn't play with the team for a long time, and didn't play the Thunder and came back immediately, which also shows that he and the team need some buffer transition. Moreover, it has not been confirmed at the moment, Wiggins' personal problems are completely solved, and there are also doubts about his mental state.

Wiggins returned, but not plug-and-play, instantly turning the Warriors back to their best. He needs a little recovery time, and Cole's adjustment of the rotation answer sheet is unknown. But in any case, this is much better than if he does not return, at least now, the ceiling of the team has been raised, and the problem of the Warriors' inability to balance space and size has some possibility of solving.

This season, the Warriors have almost shouted "championship home" many times, and finally they were all shattered with a-feeding loss. Wiggins' return is the last reinforcement of the season and the Warriors' last chance to shout the word.

Good luck to the warriors.