After the close of the week, the all-A index and the ChiNext index have come out of the anti-pumping K line of the yin line and the largest amount in the near future, see the following two charts. The weighted index SSE 50 and SSE index are a big yin line, and the SSE 50 has already fallen below the 60-week lifeline (consistent with my judgment of the technical bear market in previous weeks). The weekly line of the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded in the 60-week lifeline, and the long needle of the rebound was much shorter than that of the ChiNext board and the all-A index. This is also a vivid display of the differentiated plate. The general upward sentiment is still high, but it still does not move the trend of weight, and the division of the disk is still deepening. And the three days of individual stock rebound, it is obvious that the appeal of bank brokers is insufficient, although the intraday popular stocks pull up the banner, helplessly no one follows.
Weekly all-A index
ChiNext Index Weekly Line
Huaxia SSE 50 ETF weekly line
From the short-term theory, the comparison between the general rise index and the weight index, as well as the performance of the Chinese military sector and hot stocks, the market's sentiment of rebounding is very high, rebounding for three consecutive days, and the theme stocks are basically like a continuous ball cannon. In particular, on Friday, the core Chinese army energy storage plate once again fully exploded, which is what I repeatedly emphasized in the previous article that if the energy storage plate does not recede, the market will not end. They still maintain a strong fighting spirit at this node and stand up, indicating that the medium- and long-term lock-up funds in the Chinese army have not been loosened at this stage, and the short-term funds have just seen this, so they have carried out the third acceleration to catch up.
Why I say this is an acceleration to catch up, the following figure is the plate index of lithium batteries, the rebound at the two support moving averages, it can be seen that the trend of the Chinese military plate has not been fatally hit, it is still very strong. And isn't this exactly the second-order acceleration of the trend double bottom that I often talk about? In fact, if the second-order acceleration continues to amplify the volume price, there will indeed be a second wave of symmetrical height main rise after the hub. However, if the amount can not keep up, can not break through the previous head, it will evolve into a double-headed form. The lithium battery plate of the Chinese army has just arrived at this critical moment. After one unexpected outbreak after another, we have reason to judge that this time the Chinese military plate is more fierce and less auspicious. Making a head means tempting more to prepare for shipments, look at the amount of accumulation below, the amount of accumulation in the oscillation range can not be a good thing, of course, whether it is a breakthrough or a double head, you can see the difference in two days next week.
Lithium battery sector index daily
Friday's stock rally is another hidden worry, and it has not been such a high success rate for the second board for a long time. At the close of the market on Friday, the two-board stocks on the full screen gave people the illusion of a general bull market. Friends who often read my review articles understand such a rhythm law, emotional climax is bound to be differentiated after the climax, today's appearance of drumming in unison is easy to cause the illusion of temptation, often in the next day there is a large area of collapse and differentiation.
Screenshots of individual stocks on the board
Screenshot of the second board stock
I will not analyze the specific individual stocks of the board today. A phenomenon is that the height of the stocks on the board is once again limited to 3 boards, and how many of the two boards can continue to advance, which is a big problem from the selection of floating stocks, so this is not a good situation of general growth, but a red signal that needs to be guarded against. Especially in this position, the index is so unusual. Of course, the market is always right, if it is really a general rise super bull market coming, we will not be too late to continue to follow, and there will be no dilemma of stepping on the air without getting the first hand.
I said in a recap article that the initial plunge can be speculated and rebounded, and the panic of others can just make a greedy money, but the rebound is not a rebound, and the trend reversal needs to go out of the recent shock center, that is, if the A wave is not involved, it is best to wait for C and E, which is the safest entry point. Of course, the five-wave tactic is limited to the purchase point in the success of bottoming or trend, if the trend is downward, it is necessary to start tracking when to stabilize and rebuild the bottom, rebuild the trend, never blindly copy the bottom in the fall, and take the flying knife in the air.
The trend acceleration of the core faucet is to play a better position to ship. I have always stressed that if you do not get the lead, or do not follow the hold when the trend starts, then when the trend accelerates very crazy, try not to chase, the majority of retail investors (leeks) how much bloody lessons are still vividly remembered. For example, the rare earth core leader Northern Rare Earth in the figure below, this trend first made a center that did pull and wash, and then the main rise acceleration began, theoretically the acceleration area height has three plates, and then it will return to shock or fall sharply. If the first up-and-down acceleration does not go to play, it will often produce the illusion that the height of the ticket board is unlimited, which is the illusion created by the main force for the followers.
Northern rare earths led the rally
Why I have always said that the data of the dragon and tiger list of floating funds is basically scrapped the next day, do not follow the dragon and tiger list to buy, the floating funds are the initiators of the fanfare, and their data is released without any intervention to follow and buy meaning. If you do not intervene synchronously on the same day, because they generally have the advantage of the bottom position, even if they pull the single board into the day, there is also the initiative and cost advantage, the next day or they hurt each other, or the nuclear button escapes, the follower can easily become a receiver. The starting point of the ignition is the core rule of the floating capital tactics, not buying tickets according to the dragon and tiger list.
The role of the Dragon and Tiger List is to continue to hold or make the basis for the preparation of goods in advance the next day, judging the possible situation of this strong stock today or the trend of the future market from the common habits and methods of floating funds of all parties, these things can be seen from the Dragon and Tiger list.
Speaking of the Dragon and Tiger list, a very interesting phenomenon, the little crocodile last run and software a big victory, the last month actually rarely shot, it is estimated that a year of more than expected to hand, so lock in profits. Composer Xinyi, Fang Xinxia, Song God and famous assassins, including the little crocodile are the five most obvious roles of the market vane, Friday Dragon and Tiger List, let's take a look at the operation of their seats.
New one
The new one's method is very comprehensive, or high-handed, or the trend starting point to intervene, Friday is to continue to hold high the style, heavy hand intervention of Tianqi Lithium, Sunshine Power is the core leader of the trend acceleration, who called the market sentiment burst it. We also know that the success rate of the usual new one is average, and the success rate of intervention is not as high as the pattern of his trend. Often the mistake of high standard killing and falling is put on his head, and the insult of "evil Zhuang" has been carried a lot this year. As I just said in the text, most of the fleeing funds are mutually injurious, the new one's insult is definitely just a back pot, and the number of new kills and shipments is very small, in fact, he was often just a receiver and was secretly calculated at that time.
Fang Xinxia
Fang Xinxia is estimated to have also smelled the smell of risk, this week's operation is also rare, and the timing of Baichuan shares' intervention is precisely the time when the leading card slot and emotions are released.
Song God
It cannot be said that the god of song is really a bold artist, this year the scale and frequency of the god of song shots have been greatly improved, and there are many qualitative leaps in the second half of the process, all of which are band intervention, first intervention, the probability of "cutting god" appearing is greatly reduced, and this nickname can be changed. Last time I posted the analysis of the big finance of the geshen pattern, although it was not successful, I can feel that the geshen competition for the market banner and the intention of the leader, including these operations this week, can clearly see the breath of the first hand and leadership.
a famous assassin
The famous assassin's operation this week is a bit complicated, or a little chaotic, compared with the song god, the new one of the pattern is much inferior.
Trend is king, the dragon head wins, I just talk about dry goods @ Spring Tree second uncle, if you are interested in short-term tactics, or very confused about the trend trend, you can pay attention to the collection, wonderful dry goods continue to update...