On July 14, there were 11,772 new cases and 4 deaths.
The main contents of this issue are:
First, experts: The pathogenic ability of Omicron BA.5 is significantly weakened, similar to cold symptoms
Second, Singapore increased its number of confirmed cases by 18,000 yesterday, setting a new high
Third, 892 imported cases abroad exploded, a record high
4. Yesterday, 3 new deaths were reported, and the overall case fatality rate dropped to 0.092%
V. ICU ward reduced to 14 people, occupancy rate of 4.0%
Today is July 14, which is the 20th day of Singapore's further relaxation of epidemic prevention control in guest dormitories, and the 30th day of relaxing the epidemic prevention measures for nightclubs and KTV, so that customers do not need to show a negative certificate of coronavirus disease.
BA.5 pathogenicity is significantly weakened
The vast majority of people only experience cold-like symptoms
A few days ago, Yang Zhanqiu, a professor at the Institute of Virology of Wuhan University, said in an interview with CCTV that the pathogenic ability of Aomi Kerong BA.5 was significantly weakened, the number of symptomatic infected people was significantly reduced, most of the patients were asymptomatic, they may not feel anything, and they only found the infection when they were tested.
(On July 11, Yang Zhanqiu, deputy director of the Institute of Virology and deputy director of the Department of Pathogenic Biology of the Medical College of Wuhan University, was interviewed by Bai Yansong, host of "News 1+1")
Yang Zhanqiu said that compared with the past epidemic strains, the pathogenic ability of the Omikejong mutant strain BA.5 has been significantly weakened.
He noted that there has been a marked decrease in the number of severe cases, or symptomatic infections, following BA.5 infection. Most patients present with this asymptomatic infection, do not show any symptoms, and do not even know that they are infected. It's just that for some reason, or in some case, say, while being tested, you only found out that you were infected.
Yang Zhanqiu said that in terms of BA.5 pathogenicity, the degree of harm caused by it is significantly reduced.
He added that in the past, the new crown virus was mainly thought to cause lung damage, but for now, the Omiljung variant virus is only infected in the throat and upper respiratory tract, that is, symptoms such as colds, which do not cause serious symptoms of pneumonia.
According to Chinese media statistics, as of yesterday (July 13), there were seven BA.5 cases in Chinese mainland: Xi'an (July 5), Beijing (July 6), Dalian (July 7), Tianjin (July 8), Shanghai (July 8), Qingdao (July 11), Zhuhai (July 13).
Singapore's outbreak review increased by 16,870 yesterday to a new high
Singapore's surge of 16,870 confirmed cases yesterday, a new high for the current wave of the epidemic, is completely expected.
There are currently five waves of covid-19 in Singapore:
The first wave was a wave of original virus infection imported from abroad at the end of January 2020.
The second wave, which began in March 2020, was formed in the dormitories and communities of guest workers, and was also driven by the original virus.
The third wave is delta waves that appear in 2021.
The fourth wave is the Opmikron BA.1 and BA.2 waves that appeared at the end of last year and the beginning of this year.
It is currently experiencing a fifth wave, which is BA.4 and BA.5.
The past three days have been long weekends on public holidays, and many people are only tested on Tuesdays due to the weekend closures of some clinics; Some of the lagging data accumulated in the past three days was included in yesterday's noon statistics, so the confirmed data is high and completely reasonable.
A new wave of epidemics in Europe and the United States has struck
Imports from outside Singapore exploded 892 yesterday
In the past two weeks, the number of confirmed cases of coronavirus disease in the world has soared by 30%, and many places in Europe and the United States have become the epicenter of a new wave of the epidemic.
South Korea added more than 40,000 new cases on July 13, a single-day high in the past two months.
The epidemic in Southeast Asian countries has also rebounded. Malaysia confirmed 3,934 new cases on July 13, an increase of 1,589 cases over the previous day, with a total of 4,604,670 cases; Nine new deaths, totaling 35,828.
Indonesia yesterday
Yesterday, there were 892 new imported cases outside Singapore, a record high of 51,157.
Singapore opened its borders on the night of March 31, and travelers who have been fully vaccinated are exempt from testing and quarantine. This policy has been in place for 103 days.
Confirmed growth rate rebounded to 1.01
On 13 July, the seven-day mobile growth rate of indigenous cases rose to 1.01 from 0.91 the previous day, meaning that there were 100 cases in the seven days of the previous phase and 101 cases in the seven days of the current phase.
The Singapore Eye estimates that the next few days are likely to fluctuate between 0.91 and 1.0.
We have repeatedly suggested that the growth rate should fluctuate around 1.0 until it reaches herd immunity. The so-called "herd immunity" is not that the virus is no longer infected, but the speed of infection is slowed down, the severe illness rate and mortality rate are maintained at a low level, medical resources will not be squeezed, the people are not panicked, the mentality is peaceful, and the normal production, life and learning order is maintained.
Yesterday, 3 new deaths were reported
Overall case fatality rate reduced to 0.092%
The Ministry of Health reported 5 new deaths last night, bringing in a total of 1440, and the overall case fatality rate fell to 0.092% from 0.093% the previous day.
Divided by the type of strain, Singapore experienced the original virus wave, entering Delta Wave last year and now the Opicron Wave. The case fatality rate remained at 0.048 per cent, half the case fatality rate of influenza.
The above-mentioned Opmi Kejung Wave is only a rough division of the Singapore Eye, and some of the deaths are infected with the Delta strain, but the time of death occurs during the Opmi Kejung Wave, so we still classify it as the Opmi Kejung wave statistics.
The vast majority of singapore's original virus wave infections were dormitory guest workers, who were young and strong, and died of illness and 2 people; Deltapo and Omikronpo mainly infect communities, and most of the deceased are elderly and frail in old age.
Severe ICU illness dropped to 14 people
Yesterday there were 14 people in the intensive care unit of the ICU, 1 less than the day before; The occupancy rate of ICU wards was 4.0%.
According to the disease, there were 6 people (=) under ICU oxygen transfusion observation, and 8 people with critical intubation (-1); The numbers in parentheses are comparisons between today and yesterday.
Of the 6 people observed in the ICU for oxygen delivery, 1 person was not vaccinated/did not complete the full vaccination, and 5 people had completed the full vaccination and all had been vaccinated with booster injections.
Of the 8 people who were critically intubated, 1 was un-vaccinated/did not complete the full vaccination, 7 had been fully vaccinated, and 6 of them had been vaccinated with boosters.
99.7% were mild/asymptomatic
In the past 28 days, there have been a cumulative total of 192,333 confirmed cases in Singapore, of which 99.7% are asymptomatic/mild, 0.2% have needed/are in need of ordinary oxygen, 0.03% have been/are still in the ICU severe, and 0.02% have died.
Under the National Vaccination Scheme, 92% of Singapore's population has been fully vaccinated, and 78% of the population has been vaccinated with boosters. People over the age of 50 have been offered a free second dose of mRNA booster.
Yesterday's vaccinations for patients at all levels were as follows:
Community positivity rate 27.31%
The actual proportion is certainly higher
Among the new confirmed cases yesterday, 944 (6%) tested positive for PCR and 15,926 (94%) tested positive for ART antigen.
Singapore does not do nucleic acid testing for all employees, but lets people do antigen ART self-testing on their own. Although less sensitive than nucleic acids, antigen detection is fast, low cost, and avoids the risk of collective testing, making it particularly suitable for use in cities where outbreaks have already occurred.
In addition to Singapore, many countries have also adopted this model. Some countries do neither FULL PCR nucleic acid testing nor ART antigen self-testing, such as Russia and North Korea. China's Hong Kong Special Administrative Region originally also identified positive ART as a confirmed diagnosis, but later believed that the proportion of "false positives" was high, resulting in a false high number of confirmed data, so it was no longer confirmed by positive ART, but must be verified by PCR to be confirmed.
According to the data of the Ministry of Health, the positive rate in Singapore is 27.31%, in other words, 2731 people are diagnosed for every 10,000 people.
The Ministry of Health has repeatedly pointed out that considering that many ART antigen self-tests are not reported, the number of infections is actually higher, and the overall positive rate is definitely higher. Some experts have judged that the overall positive rate may have reached 70% or 80%.
The higher the positive rate and the closer it is to herd immunity, the virus will still spread, but the rate will slow down, severe illness and death will decrease. The authorities formulate policies that do not consider the number of infections, but severe illness and death, and open up as wide a range as possible as soon as possible without the risk of a run on medical resources.
The number of common oxygen patients increased to 90
The number of ordinary hospitalized patients increased to 630
There were 90 people with common oxygen transfusion disease, an increase of 8 over the previous day.
Ordinary oxygen patients use ordinary isolation wards and masked ventilators, which are noninvasive, do not need to establish artificial airways, and do not have intubation.
Of the 90 people who received regular oxygen, 17 were not vaccinated/did not complete the full vaccination, 73 had been fully vaccinated, of which 66 had been vaccinated with boosters.
There were 630 ordinary patients in the isolation ward, an increase of 48 from the previous day.
Of the 630 generally hospitalized patients, 116 were unvaccinated/incomplete, 514 had been fully vaccinated, and 447 of them had been given boosters.
0.8% of Delta infected patients need oxygen, and less than 0.3% of Omikeron infected patients need oxygen.
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