This article was first published as "Policy Debate", and the author authorized the push
On the afternoon of April 26, an explosion near the Confucius Institute at the University of Karachi in Pakistan killed four people, three of whom were Chinese citizens and one of whom was a Pakistani driver.
The excitement of the moment is indignant! China has stated that "the blood of the Chinese cannot be shed in vain, and the black hand behind this incident will definitely pay the price." Counting this, in less than a year, the terrorist attacks directly targeting Chinese in Pakistan are already the third.
On July 14, 2021, a terrorist attack on a commuter bus for Chinese enterprises killed 13 people, including nine Chinese citizens, and injured 28 others.
On August 20, 2021, a suicide bomber blew himself up near a Chinese convoy of cars, killing two local children playing nearby and slightly injuring one Chinese citizen.
The 7.14 terrorist attack in Pakistan was investigated and declared to have been committed by the terrorist organization Bata. The 8.20 suicide attack and the 4.26 suicide attack, the terrorist organization "Baloch Riot Terrorist Army" (the media directly quoted the Us-Ukin definition translated as Balochistan Liberation Army is extremely inappropriate) claimed responsibility.
Partners generally intuitively feel that the above three incidents and the CIA are inseparable. Because India recently held a meeting of 40 intelligence organizations to talk about China, many partners also believe that India is also one of the black hands.
So is this the truth?
At the same time, the partners have emotions, believing that China is showing too much restraint and should send special forces to join forces with pakistan to fight terrorists and find out the black hand behind the scenes.
Is China really not acting?
To answer the above two questions, we should all enlarge the perspective to analyze the background of the Sino-US game and the great changes in the world, otherwise it is easy to go to extremes and be deceived.
I wonder if you have noticed the high frequency of terrorist attacks in Pakistan in recent years: Gwadar and Karachi. If you search for the Baloch terrorist army entry, you will find that it mainly carried out terrorist attacks against China after 2018. Let's first look at the location of Gwadar and Karachi, as shown below:
The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is a star project and model of the Belt and Road Initiative, and Gwadar Port is the pearl of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Since the geographical discovery of Columbus, the sea outlet has always been the engine driving the economic development of a city and a region.
Not only is the economic position important, but geographically we zoom in on the area to look at Gwadar.
It is not difficult to see that Gwadar has the potential to control the Persian Gulf in the Middle East. Together with the construction of the China-Pakistan oil and gas pipeline, It will greatly improve China's energy security.
Therefore, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, especially Gwadar, has become a thorn in the eyes and a thorn in the heart of the United States. Note that the Balochistan Riot Terror Army above focuses on China time: 2018. It was this year that the United States introduced the "great power competition" strategy, regarded China as its number one rival, and launched a full-scale economic war against China in this year.
As for Karachi, the city is the largest city in Pakistan, and China has a consulate here. Note that after the two terrorist attacks in 2021, Pakistan and China have significantly strengthened their relevant preparedness measures. So this time the terrorist organization chose Karachi to carry it out. If you continue to pay attention to the follow-up today, you must know that in order to carry out this attack, the terrorist organization and the black people behind the scenes have lost their blood.
According to local Pakistani media reports, the suicide bomber was a highly educated woman named Sally, with a double master's degree, married and child-bearing children, a good family condition, a father who was a government agency supervisor who served as a district council member for three years, a brother-in-law who was a lecturer, an uncle and a writer, and a former professor.
Obviously, this person is a high-value spy, both for terrorist organizations and for those behind the scenes, who is to perform high-value missions at critical moments. But they still chose to let her carry out a suicide attack at this moment. This illustrates two things:
First, after the Gwadar-related terrorist attacks, it became more difficult for terrorist organizations and behind-the-scenes black hands to perform related tasks, and they had to use key chess pieces.
Second, the black hand behind the scenes believes that it has reached a critical moment and needs to contain China.
If you want to say that Baloch has global interests and conflicts with China, you are talking nonsense. The only one with china who has global conflict interests is the United States. Maybe India too. However, we should note that some time ago, India repeatedly opposed the United States in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which showed India's profound understanding of its own strategic interests. India's move closer to China and Russia is a major variable that is extremely unfavorable to the US strategy. Therefore, various means of distancing are needed.
The recent shuttle diplomacy between the United States and the West against India is proof of this. And what better and less costly option to achieve dissension than to use the Balochistan terrorist army, which was previously unclear with Indian intelligence agencies, to carry out a terrorist attack against China?
Therefore, the only person behind the scenes this time is the CIA, and the core goal is to separate India from China and Russia. For example, after the incident, a large number of relevant commentators pointed directly at the three pots and shouted at them to kill. There are both the masses who don't know the truth and the rhythmic 1450.
To answer the second question, is China really not acting?
The terrorist attack made a highly educated, well-educated secret spy worthy of key training as cannon fodder, which actually explains the effectiveness of China's relevant actions after the 2021 terrorist attack.
More than that, we also need to look at the world. as follows:
The picture above is a schematic map of the Belt and Road Initiative, and the red sign is the area where the recent hot events have occurred. Is it a clear picture of today's Sino-US game, or the evolution of the world pattern?
It looks like just Eurasia, but Eurasia is known as the world's island. In geopolitical circles, it is often said that controlling the world island is controlling the world. In fact, many major events in the world mainly occur on the world island.
Why does the above figure clearly show the Sino-US game?
Red signs basically occur along the way, such as a strange epidemic in a certain place, the storm in the Taiwan Strait, the new president of South Korea claiming to join the "Indo-Pacific Strategy", the US-ASEAN summit in May, the turmoil in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh being heavily invested by the United States, the Solomon Islands agreement incident and so on. The above incident as a whole is that the United States is on the offensive, stirring up trouble to undermine the development situation in China and its surrounding areas.
In the hinterland of Eurasia, whether it is the United States withdrawing from Afghanistan in August 2021 and staging the Kabul moment, or in January 2022, Kazakhstan and Russia joined forces to make the color revolution it manipulate failed, and its important agent Massimos was arrested, all of which show that the United States is being cleaned up and it is on the defensive.
In fact, russia's military operation against Ukraine, the focus of the strike is not also a US proxy force? Russia, while seemingly not making good progress, has been more than expected to strike at the U.S. system at the global level. In the aftermath of the April 26 attacks, China announced the defense minister's visit to Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Iran.
What does that mean, you say?
On the whole, today's Sino-US game is a land-sea showdown: China's land power advantage, the United States gradually retreated in the belt; the United States still has the advantage of sea power, and it is making waves along the way. However, with the birth of the third child of China's aircraft carriers, large ships such as 055 have dumplings, and the sea power advantage of the American, British, and Ansaks is running out. Solomon Islands will never be alone, and his safety will never be decided by the Anthony!