It can be seen from Slovakia's willingness to buy Russian gas in rubles, India's joint efforts with Russia to de-dollarize, Turkey's import of Russian oil, and Germany's supply of weapons for Ukraine, as can be seen, that the Russian-Ukrainian war is changing the direction of the world situation.
Far more than European countries are affected, Japan is preparing for rearmament, and the United States is also preparing to return to the Asia-Pacific layout. There are growing signs that once Russia is in a strategic bind, the United States will adjust its strategy and target its next adversary.
The situation is changing, and at least 3 of these things are worth noting.
First, the Prime Minister of Pakistan was dismissed.
There is nothing more appropriate to describe Imran Khan's experience in one sentence than "invert and reverse again". On April 3, the same day that Imran Khan announced that he had "called for the dissolution of the National Assembly and the early holding of general elections in Pakistan," Pakistani President Alvi announced the dismissal of Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan.
Alvi told Imran Khan and Sharif that he could nominate the right person for Pakistan's interim prime minister, until imran Khan would continue to perform his duties.
In addition, Alvi supported Imran Khan's decision to "dissolve the National Assembly and hold general elections in Pakistan ahead of schedule."
In order to mediate the conflict, Alvi chose to slow down the army, and the discerning people knew that Sharif, who wanted to force Imran Khan to step down through a vote of no confidence, could not reach an agreement with Imran Khan.
When the situation in Pakistan will stabilize depends mainly on three factors.
1, what is the result of the general election in Pakistan. Pakistan will complete the general election within 90 days, the opposition Sharif's support rate remains high, the voice for Imran Khan is quite high, and who loses and who wins is still unknown.
2, the result of the intervention of the Supreme Court of Pakistan. Suri, deputy speaker of Pakistan's National Assembly, chose to support Imran Khan and vetoed a vote of no confidence against Imran Khan.
Sharif believes that Deputy Speaker Suri's decision may violate Pakistan's constitution and that Pakistan's Supreme Court should intervene in the matter.
On the 4th, Pakistan's Supreme Court will hold a hearing on this matter, and Justice Bandil said that he has told pakistan's defense minister, interior minister, minister of justice, speaker and deputy speaker that Pakistan's order cannot be undermined.
If Pakistan's Supreme Court rejects Deputy Speaker Suri's decision, it means that the "vote of no confidence" is likely to continue. This is not good news for Imran Khan, as Sharif has an advantage in parliament and more MPs who support Sharif.
3, how the Pakistani military moves. On April 2, Pakistan's military made a high profile of its pro-U.S. military expressing its willingness to strengthen cooperation with the United States, stressing that the United States remains Pakistan's largest exporter.
In the context of Imran Khan's condemnation of U.S. interference in Pakistan's internal affairs, the Pakistani military has made such a statement, apparently more inclined to support the opposition Sharif.
If Pakistan is in chaos, the military's choice is crucial.
For now, Imran Khan faces a serious challenge, and the man behind everything is the White House, which is dissatisfied with Imran Khan. The reason for this situation is that Pakistan's economy is not optimistic, the promoters are ill-intentioned, want to force Imran Khan to step down the White House, and the trigger is the escalating Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
Unlike Imran Khan, who refused to take sides, pakistan's military's choice is to condemn Russia.
Because Imran Khan went to Moscow to meet with Putin, decided to import 2 million tons of Russian wheat, and refused to keep a distance from Russia, the Western countries led by the United States wanted to support relatively "left and right" forces to come to power.
No matter who is in charge of Pakistan, Pakistani Iron and That Pakistani Iron and Steel are always hardcore brothers, and compared with Imran Khan, Sharif may not be so tough on the United States.
Second, Poland wants to deploy U.S. nuclear weapons.
On April 3, Polish Deputy Prime Minister Kaczynski said he called on the United States to increase its military deployment in Europe, and Poland was ready to deploy U.S. nuclear weapons.
Earlier, Poland had also called out to Russia that Kaliningrad was part of Poland and that Russia should return it.
Poland even said that NATO should send maintenance troops to Ukraine, to put it bluntly, Poland wants NATO to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Of course, the United States and NATO rejected the offer.
The United States is well aware of what it means for NATO armed forces to enter Ukraine, which is a blatant provocation to Russia's bottom line, and Putin will not tolerate it.
Russia has warned Poland that Poland is becoming the front line of NATO, which is dangerous for Europe, and for Poland, it is also desperate, and Polish interests may be damaged.
Russia stressed that Kaliningrad has always been Russian, and Poland would do well to dismiss the idea of claiming territory from Russia.
The problem is that Poland did not heed Russia's warnings, and many of the mercenaries rushing to Ukraine from the Middle East, the United States and Europe, and the weapons provided by NATO to Ukraine were transported from Poland to Lviv and then to the Ukrainian front.
Like Japan, Poland would like to take the opportunity to put pressure on Russia, fearing that Russia would show a nuclear deterrent.
Third, Sweden and Finland want to join NATO.
On April 3, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said nato had engaged in dialogue with Sweden and Finland, and that the 30 NATO countries would soon agree to it if the two countries were interested in joining NATO.
Stoltenberg's statement is equivalent to giving Sweden and Finland a "reassurance pill", as if to tell the two countries that the opportunity must not be lost and will not come again, taking advantage of the fact that the Russian army has no time to take care of Sweden and Finland, referendum to join NATO.
On April 2, Finnish Prime Minister Sannah said that the Conflict between Russia and Ukraine had changed the situation in Europe, and that Russia's "invasion" of Ukraine had made Finland discover that Russia was not the neighbor finland considered it to be, and that it was time for Finland to make a decision on "whether to join NATO" or not. Sanna stressed that some NATO members have expressed their welcome to Finland's accession to NATO.
According to a Finnish poll, 62% of the Finnish public believes that it is time for Finland to join NATO, and the Finnish Ministry of Defence believes that now is not the best time to join NATO.
The Russian Foreign Ministry said that if Finland joins NATO, Russia is likely to respond, and Finland may pay the price.
Sanna believes that Finland will bear the corresponding price whether it joins NATO or not.
Like Finland, Sweden is preparing to join NATO.
It is worth mentioning that after the war between Russia and Ukraine, Sweden and Finland had the idea of "joining NATO", and Putin warned the two countries at that time. Russia revealed that if Sweden and Finland join NATO, Russia may retaliate.
Subsequently, Sweden and Finland chose silence. More than a month has passed, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has reached the 40th day, Poland, Japan, Finland and Sweden seem to find that the Russian army, which is advancing slowly in Ukraine, does not seem to be so "invincible", and at this moment, it is not necessarily a good trick to join NATO directly.
The international situation often affects the whole body, especially in war, and the Russian army does not have the chips on the battlefield, and it is difficult to get them at the negotiating table. If the Russian military's performance in Ukraine is to destroy and break the situation, rather than a war situation, Sweden, Finland and Poland will throw a rat trap, and the Pakistani military may not be high-profile pro-American and condemn Russia.
From this point of view, it is understandable that Putin does not accept that the Russian army has returned without success, and if the Russian army gains nothing, Russia will face more strategic difficulties in the next few years.
War has never been the goal of the United States, war is only one of the solutions of the United States to achieve strategic goals, infiltrating Pakistan and the Philippines, co-opting South Korea and India, constantly promoting NATO's eastward expansion, reducing Russia's influence, and finally achieving the purpose of maintaining dollar hegemony is the result that the United States wants most.
The War between Russia and Ukraine is not over, and the result of continuing to fight can only be to let the United States reap the benefits, and it is the Russian-Ukrainian European Union that pays the price, and more and more countries will be affected.
Finally, I still hope that Russia and Ukraine can exercise restraint, shake hands and make peace, as for what the United States will do next, and wait and see.