The time came to April 4, and it had been 40 days since the Russian-Ukrainian incident. The United States captured Iraq in 42 days, while the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations still have big differences. Judging from the whole, perhaps the situation has reached a crossroads, is it peace in April, or is it going to the abyss?
1. Ukraine claims that Russian troops killed local civilians, which the Russian side denies
On April 3, local time, Ukrainian media released a series of pictures and videos of civilian deaths in Bucha City, and the Ukrainian government blamed the Russian army for killing these civilians.
In response, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova's latest response: the purpose of the Ukrainian side is to "undermine peace negotiations", and wrote on Telegram: "Russia asks the UN Security Council to hold a meeting on April 4, 2022 on the provocations launched by Ukrainian troops and militants in Bucha." The essence of another crime committed by the Kiev regime is the disruption of peace negotiations and the escalation of violence. ”
The Bucha incident is indeed eye-catching, conveying a lot of information and heavy signals. First, this was announced by the Ukrainian media, and the Ukrainian authorities also accused the Russian military of killing civilians; second, the Russian spokesman expressed his request for a meeting on the Bucha incident, pointing out that this was a breach of peace negotiations and escalation of violence; third, the people's will and international morality have been the focus of both sides.
This may show that Russia and Ukraine not only have different views on the current situation, but also have endless moves outside the plate. (Previously, the US media exposed the Ukrainian intelligence bureau that Kharkiv residents sent poisoned cakes and poisoned wine to Russian soldiers, resulting in 2 deaths and 500 injuries on the Russian side)
In short, these events undoubtedly cast a shadow over the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations. And believing in these events, no matter from which aspect, Russia and Ukraine will try to prove themselves. The bad effects of this incident cannot be said to have passed easily. It is conceivable that in the following days, the two sides will continue to clash over the Bucha incident.
Second, the United States watches the fire from across the shore and thinks that good things will be occupied
The moon rises over the city skyline in Tacoma Washington, USA
On the one hand, the United States said that "more action will be taken against Russia soon." On April 3, local time, US State Department spokesman Ned Price hinted in an interview with the media that the United States will take more action against Russia "soon". "The United States will continue to put pressure on the Kremlin, Russian President Vladimir Putin and everyone around him, and one will soon see the United States exerting additional pressure and sanctions on Russia."
On the other hand, it has increased the production of Russian oil. Russia said U.S. production of Russian oil purchases increased by 43 percent over the past week to 100,000 barrels per day.
In response, Russian officials said that the United States imported a large increase in oil imports from Russia, while forcing Europe to sanction Russia. Moreover, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov said in an interview with Russian media on the 3rd that due to the weakening of the credibility of the DOLLAR and the euro due to the sanctions imposed by Western countries on Russia, Russia will expand the scope of application of the "ruble settlement order" from natural gas at this stage to other export goods.
It is worth mentioning that Slovakia, a member of the European Union, has expressed its willingness to buy Russian gas in rubles. Perhaps, the russian-European contest is becoming more and more obvious.
Combined with russia's criticism of the United States in the five rounds of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, it is said that it is behind the will to sway Ukraine's negotiations. Today, 40 days have passed since the Russian-Ukrainian incident. Perhaps, the attitude and position of the United States are becoming clearer. Watching the fire from the other side, laughing at the wind and clouds, the wishful thinking has been revealed.
Thirdly, Russia has expressed its readiness to open more humanitarian corridors in any direction
Zelenskiy blamed Russia for killing civilians and demanded greater Western sanctions
On April 3, local time, Mizintsev, head of the Russian State Defense Command Center, said that at the initiative of the Turkish side, the Russian side will open the humanitarian corridor from Mariupol to Berdyansk on April 4. In addition, the Russian side is ready to "open more humanitarian corridors in any direction."
In addition, Mizintsev said: Since March 2, Russia has delivered 7842.3 tons of humanitarian supplies to Ukraine and carried out 739 humanitarian operations. Since Russia launched a special military operation, 585458 people have been evacuated to Russia from dangerous areas, including 117405 children.
Of course, objectively speaking, most of Russia's humanitarian supplies are delivered in the Donbass region. But since the events of the conflict, Russia has indeed maintained considerable restraint. Kiev is also a strategy of encircling and not attacking, and other regions are also demilitating and attacking military facilities as the main military core objectives.
In general, Russia's greater restraint is based on all-round considerations, not just homogeneity. In fact, it is difficult for Ukraine to identify the current all-people soldiers. Because of the obvious fact that Ukraine is already deeply divided, it is clear that there are differences in the sense of identity of Ukraine in the east, central and west.
It should perhaps be said that Russia's special military operations are also different from all the wars of the past three decades. Russia's exercise of greater restraint should also be understood as a comprehensive strategic consideration. So far, negotiations and humanitarian access have remained, at least to show that peace negotiations, despite their difficulties, have always been the primary option.
Fourth, write at the end
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict continues, and the risk will spread to many regions. Intuitively affected the economy and people's livelihood of Russia and Ukraine.
In Ukraine, according to the latest data from the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, more than 3.38 million Ukrainian refugees have fled to neighboring countries, and Poland alone has hosted more than 2.05 million Ukrainian refugees. The World Bank has also sharply lowered economic expectations for both sides, while Ukrainian officials have said they have lost nearly $600 billion directly (equivalent to three times GDP in 2021).
Many civilians in Russia have been subjected to unreasonable Western sanctions, and even Russian writers and books have been banned, while also causing social inflation. Some Chinese bloggers who have settled in Russia have said through videos such as live supermarkets that the sanctions have indeed brought some negative effects on people's lives.
At the same time, the continuation of the conflict will not only affect both sides, Europe will also be plunged into a double crisis of energy and refugees, and the spreading yellow vest movement also has hidden concerns. In fact, large-scale protests have erupted in britain, Germany, Spain and other countries.
In short, as a third party, based on the complexity of reality, rational judgment conflicts will continue to last. However, I personally hope that the two sides can conclude the war through peace negotiations as soon as possible, and hope that other parties will not exacerbate the tension but promote peace negotiations.