After the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian War, the Western countries pushed the responsibility for detonating the war to Russia, and the spearhead was also aimed at Putin. Recently, Western countries have successively demanded that Russia be "removed" from certain international organizations. First, the United States and Britain threatened to kick Russia out of the permanent membership of the UN Security Council, and then Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio shouted that the United Nations urgently needed reform and that Japan should "become normal" in the united nations. A few days ago, Poland jumped out again, demanding that Russia be squeezed out of the G20 and let itself be on.
According to the Observer Network reported on the 16th, recently, During his visit to the United States, Polish Minister of Development and Technology Peter Novak said during a meeting with U.S. Trade Representative Dai Qi that Russia's "invasion" of Ukraine has violated the principle of international cooperation, so it is reasonable to kick Russia out of a series of international economic and financial organizations, including the G20. Novak hopes Poland can take Russia's place in the G20.
The G20 is the Group of 20, which includes 19 countries in the United States, China, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, Italy, Mexico, Brazil and Argentina, plus one regional organization of the European Union.
G20 was established in 1999, and before 2008, the foreign ministers of all members met annually to focus on exploring and resolving problems in the international financial system and promoting the development of the world economy. After the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008, in order to promote economic recovery, under the proposal of the United States, the G20 annual meeting was upgraded from the level of foreign ministers to the top leadership level of members, referred to as the G20 Summit.
Since its inception, after years of development, the G20 mechanism has become the world's most representative multilateral cooperation mechanism for solving international financial and economic problems, and has played an irreplaceable top-level design role in global economic governance. According to statistics, the current population of G20 member countries exceeds 4.5 billion, accounting for nearly 60% of the total global population, and the total economic volume of G20 member countries accounts for 85% of the global economy.
Every G20 member has a very big impact on global economic development. For example, the United States and China, the world's top two economies, are the engine of world economic growth. Countries such as South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia and Brazil represent the level of economic development in Africa, the Middle East, Southeast Asia and South America.
Russia is the world's largest energy exporter and is known as the "global gas station"; India is regarded as the economy with the most market potential, while the European Union is the representative of regional economic integration. It is not difficult to see from this that the status and role of each G20 Member State in this mechanism is irreplaceable. Being able to enter the G20 naturally has a certain strength, and it is not possible to enter if you want to enter.
Let's analyze whether Poland will have the strength to take its place if Russia is removed from the G20. Let's look at the economic power of Poland and Russia. Taking the 2020 data as a reference, Poland's total GDP is 594.2 billion US dollars, ranking 21st in the world, and Russia's total GDP is 1.47 trillion US dollars, ranking 11th in the world.
In terms of economic aggregates, Russia is more than twice as large as Poland. Look at its influence on global economic development. Since the economic volume of the two countries is not too large, from the data alone, the economic influence of the two countries is very limited. However, from the actual situation, Poland's economic influence is mainly concentrated in Eastern Europe, which is the largest economy in Eastern Europe. Russia, on the other hand, has the power to influence the development of the world economy.
As the world's largest energy exporter, Russia's every move affects global energy prices and supplies. As an indispensable commodity for economic development, energy affects the development of the world economy. After the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian war, global energy prices soared in a short period of time, which is enough to see Russia's influence.
Taking Poland's economic output as the 21st in the world, if Russia is excluded from the G20, it is indeed eligible to enter the G20. However, at present, the G20 already exists in the EU, and Poland is a member of the EU, and the EU can fully represent Poland in the G20.
In response to the current proposal of some Western countries to exclude Russia from the G20, the Indonesian side of the G20 presidency responded that every country is qualified to express its views and concerns on the current situation in Russia and Ukraine. However, the G20 is a multilateral cooperation mechanism focused on the economy, and the most important work of the current G20 is to fulfill the commitments in the Rome Declaration issued at last year's G20 summit, and the situation between Russia and Ukraine should not be included in the agenda of the G20 meeting.
In this regard, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said that the G20 is the main forum for international economic cooperation, not a suitable place to discuss political and security issues such as Ukraine. China supports the Indonesian presidency in promoting G20 cooperation in various fields in accordance with the established agenda.
As a professional economy-oriented multilateral cooperation organization, maintaining the security and stability of the global financial system and promoting the development of the world economy is the first priority of the G20, rather than carrying out political struggle under the framework of the G20. At present, the various sanctions imposed by Western countries on Russia not only fail to solve the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, but also undermine the global economic recovery. Poland's proposal is even more contrary to the original intention of the G20.