The reason why Russia will attack Ukraine this time is inseparable from Ukraine's long-term unrealistic illusions about the West. If it were not for the intensive efforts of NATO and the European Union to draw a pie on Ukraine, Ukraine would not have fallen to where it is today. After the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian War, it was widely believed that the EU would pull down its old face no matter what, give Ukraine as much aid as possible, and give Ukraine the green light to join the EU.
But it turned out that the sacrifices of the Ukrainian army and people did not exchange for the mercy of the European Union, and zelenskiy's government was once again solid. What they can get from the EU countries is nothing but a whole bunch of weapons and equipment that simply cannot be transported into the besieged cities. After all, EU sanctions against Russia will not directly benefit Ukraine on the ground battlefield in a short period of time.
The Western sanctions against Russia are the most intense in history, and the Western sanctions against Russia are more than an order of magnitude higher than after the Crimean crisis in 2014. The result of the sanctions that year was to cut off Russia's gross national product, and this time the sanctions are to directly turn Russia into a big Iran in the future.
But what good is this for Ukrainians who are suffering on the front lines? The National Economic Sector of Ukraine has made it clear that after the outbreak of the war, Ukraine's gross national product will be only 50% of what it was before the war. And even in this case, EU countries are not willing to immediately break off energy ties with Russia, don't look at a lot of European white left all day long to light up the ukrainian lights vigil, once the price of natural gas soared, they simply can't hold back.
Reuters released the latest draft eu declaration on March 10, showing that the EU has decided to gradually reduce the purchase of Russian oil and gas and coal in the future, but the intriguing part is that they have not drawn a clear final line for complete decoupling from the Russian economy. In fact, EU countries have been shouting so-called energy autonomy and diversification for many years, and as a result, by the end of 2021, their dependence on Russia's energy supply is still more than 40%, and in the first quarter of 2021, the size of EU gas imports from Russia increased by more than 20% compared with the same period.
In addition, in the attitude towards Ukraine, EU countries have shown their shamelessness. They falsely announced that they would provide strong support for Ukraine, but in the face of Ukraine's most pressing demand , joining the European Union , they made it clear that it was unlikely. EU officials are even more blunt, saying that the EU at this stage allows Ukraine to cooperate within the framework of the EU at most, but it is unlikely to give Ukraine the status of a candidate country.
It is also worth mentioning that even if it really becomes a candidate country, it is far from actually joining the EU. Turkey, for example, was a candidate for the EU in 1999, but it is still working towards EU accession. The EU is willing to paint a pie for Turkey, but in the face of Ukraine, it is too lazy to draw a pie.
After the end of the war, Ukraine is likely to have only half of the country left, and one of the criteria for joining the EU is that there can be no serious territorial conflict, and Ukraine obviously cannot meet this. At the same time, it is simply impossible for the EU to accept a Ukraine that is holding itself back economically, and today Ukraine's per capita GROSS NATIONAL product is not even 40% of bulgaria at the bottom of the EU.
There are no eternal enemies and friends, only eternal interests, and this saying applies at all times. If Ukraine is unable to see the West after the end of this war, then it can only be said that they have no cure for themselves. This war is also partly the price of Ukraine's excessive superstition of the West.