More than a decade has passed since the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian War, and the two warring sides seem to have reached a stalemate on the battlefield. Although the Russian army on the strong side drove all the way and encircled and encircled important cities such as Kiev, Kharkov, and Mariupol, it was unable to achieve a decisive and major victory. Although the Ukrainian army on the weak side continued to retreat, the resistance was still quite tenacious, causing no small casualties and equipment losses to the Russian army. The current situation is completely different from the traditional impression of the Russian military's steel torrent destroying the opponent, and many people can't help but question and worry: Has Russia's military power declined to such a point? Coupled with its own severe international sanctions, in the face of Ukraine, which has a steady stream of assistance from Western countries, once it falls into the quagmire of a war of attrition, will Russia be in danger of losing the war?
Although the war took place between Russia and Ukraine, the whole world knows very well that this is actually a fierce game between Russia and the West, and it is closely related to our own strategic interests and geopolitical environment. For this issue, everyone is naturally concerned about chaos, hoping to get a most favorable result for us as soon as possible. The mood of rushing to achieve success is understandable, but the battlefield can only rely on real knives and guns to speak, often resulting in a situation where the desire is not reached. We should clearly see that although the Russian military has exposed many problems and shortcomings since the beginning of the war, such as the lack of technical means such as precision guided weapons and integrated unmanned aerial vehicles, and there has been some confusion in the links of command coordination and logistics support, it is undeniable that the overall strength of the Russian army should not be underestimated, and it also reflects that the construction of the Russian military system is effective.
In order to deter NATO, the Russian military retains most of its elite military strength and does not launch, and many new equipment that has been developed in recent years have not been unveiled, such as the Su-57 stealth fighter, T14 main battle tank, dagger hypersonic missile, zircon anti-ship missile, Swift nuclear-powered cruise missile, new nuclear submarine and so on. Of course, the Ukrainian battlefield is closer to the environment of asymmetric security warfare, and the above-mentioned high-precision equipment is not useful. Since a considerable part of the Russian army's limited military expenditure is consumed by the heavy weapons of these countries, the input that can be used for conventional ground operations is inevitably stretched, so it is not surprising that the Russian army's attack on Ukraine's belongings hit the main force with various old arms and legs. So we saw a large number of old towed artillery and even civilian transport vehicles appearing on the scene, and even retro armored trains showed a sense of existence, making people wonder if they had crossed back to World War II.
However, even so, the Russian army in the front of the dispatch of less than 100,000 troops into the territory of Ukraine (in addition to 40,000 to 50,000 East Ukrainian militia forces, Chechen local armed forces and other units to cooperate with the operation), still effectively suppressed more than 250,000 regular troops and more than 300,000 reserve troops + civilian armed forces, firmly grasp the initiative on the battlefield. At the same time, the use of air strikes and heavy firepower on the ground was strictly restricted, and no serious damage was caused to civilians and civilian facilities in Ukraine, which has to be said to be a rather remarkable achievement. It should be known that Ukraine's land area is more than 600,000 square kilometers, the population is more than 40 million, there is a relatively strong industrial base and military industrial strength, and the country has fought a civil war for eight years, the army has relatively rich experience in actual combat, the people also have a considerable degree of war bearing capacity, anti-Russian public opinion base is also quite deep, and the strong assistance of Western countries, is definitely not a small country that can be easily won.
We can compare the case of Germany and the Soviet Union attacking Poland during World War II, when Poland's land area and population were not as good as the current Ukraine, and there was no condition for obtaining foreign aid, although Britain and France declared war on Germany, but did not provide practical help, the German army sent more than 1.4 million troops, the Soviet army sent 800,000 troops, and spent 39 days to occupy the whole territory of Poland. There is also the Iraq war in 2003, Iraq has been under international sanctions for many years, has long been isolated and weak, most of the country is desert or no man's land, the total strength of the multinational coalition led by the United States exceeds 300,000, and it took a month to take the capital Baghdad all the way to full firepower. Today's military strength used by the Russian army and Ukraine's own resistance conditions are far from being comparable to the previous two cases, the so-called torrent of steel will sweep the opponent within a few days, or relying on a decapitation action to make the opponent tie his hands and give up resistance is unrealistic, and it is necessary to be prepared for a long battle.
The current situation for Russia, is to open the bow and arrow without turning back, even if the difficulties are more, the loss is greater, we must grit our teeth and resolutely resist, do not stop until the goal is achieved, as long as NATO does not directly send troops, Russia's subduion of Ukraine is only a matter of time and cost. If Russia abandons halfway, the prestige of PuJ will plummet, the hearts and minds of the people and the army in china will collapse, NATO will intensify its efforts to take advantage of the victory and chase, and Russia's national fortune will come to an end, which is definitely not the situation we hope to see. On the contrary, if Russia wins a victory, it will not only smash NATO's attempt to use Ukraine as an anti-Russian bridgehead, but also integrate and strengthen Ukraine's pro-Russian forces to the greatest extent, Russia's strength and influence will be further enhanced, and Europe will have to seek a certain degree of compromise with it, and at the same time unite with China and other third-party forces, fully qualified to break the US sanctions and encirclement, its far-reaching significance is no less than the Soviet Union won the Great Patriotic War, which coincides with our strategic interests. So the road is tortuous, the future is bright, it depends on whether Russia can seize the opportunity to change its destiny?
Author: Morning Speechless